Football Stats Hub

Viking crestViking
v
Aalesund crestAalesund

Eliteserien | Sun 30 Aug, 16:00

Viking v Aalesund Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Viking arrive at Color Line Stadion as Eliteserien leaders, boasting 11 wins from their last 12 league matches and a potent attack that has scored at least twice in nine of their last ten games. Aalesund, positioned near the relegation zone, have shown improved scoring form with 11 goals in their last six matches but remain vulnerable defensively, having conceded 28 goals this season. The match promises a tactical battle with Aalesund likely to deploy a compact midfield to disrupt Viking's rhythm, while Viking will aim to exploit defensive gaps despite key suspensions. Both teams' recent scoring trends suggest an open, high-tempo encounter with significant stakes for league positioning and survival.

BT4Y best bet

Viking to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Viking have won 11 of their last 12 league matches, scoring 2+ goals in nine of their last 10 games.
  • Aalesund have scored in eight of their last nine matches, showing improved attacking form.
  • Aalesund have conceded 28 goals this season, the second-highest in the league, highlighting defensive frailty.
  • Both teams have scored in eight of Aalesund’s last nine fixtures, supporting a BTTS outcome.
  • Viking have kept only three clean sheets in 13 league matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Viking to Win & Both Teams to Score due to Viking's dominant recent form and prolific attack, scoring multiple goals in most matches. Aalesund's defensive struggles and improved scoring consistency increase the likelihood of both teams finding the net. The combined trends of high-scoring games and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides align well with this selection. The model's 53.4% chance exceeds the implied 40% , indicating positive value. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Viking's recent form11 wins in 12 league matches with frequent multiple goals
Strong positive
Aalesund's scoring consistencyScored in 8 of last 9 matches
Positive
Defensive vulnerabilitiesAalesund conceded 28 goals; Viking only 3 clean sheets in 13 matches
Strong positive
BTTS frequencyBoth teams scored in 8 of Aalesund's last 9 games
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Viking's relentless attacking form and league leadership make them strong favorites to win, while Aalesund's recent scoring surge ensures they will pose a threat. This combination suggests a competitive match with goals at both ends, reflecting Viking's offensive strength and Aalesund's resilience despite defensive issues.

Main risk

Defending deeper may reduce space behind the back line, but inviting Viking to dominate for 90 minutes would be a dangerous strategy.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome and scoring

“Viking's consistent goal-scoring and Aalesund's improved attack set the stage for an exciting contest where both sides are likely to find the net, making the combined win and BTTS bet a compelling choice.”

Key Data Signals

Viking to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Viking have won 11 of their last 12 league matches, scoring 2+ goals in nine of their last 10 games.

Aalesund have scored in eight of their last nine matches, showing improved attacking form.

Aalesund have conceded 28 goals this season, the second-highest in the league, highlighting defensive frailty.

Both teams have scored in eight of Aalesund’s last nine fixtures, supporting a BTTS outcome.

What To Watch In The Data

Viking to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating a tendency for open, high-scoring games.
  • Recent matches have frequently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by Viking's attacking pressure and Aalesund's defensive vulnerabilities, supporting expectations for a lively, goal-rich encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Viking1.8
Avg goals scored
Aalesund2
Viking1
Avg goals conceded
Aalesund3.8
Viking80%
BTTS rate
Aalesund100%
Viking80%
Over 2.5 goals
Aalesund60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have shown strong scoring trends recently, with Aalesund netting in eight of their last nine matches and Viking scoring multiple goals in nine of their last ten. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides have contributed to high-scoring games, supporting a BTTS outcome and an expectation of at least three goals in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 77% · edge -2.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Viking Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
The of 2.5 for Viking to Win & Both Teams to Score offer clear value compared to the model's 53.4% chance, reflecting Viking's dominant form and Aalesund's scoring ability. This price is attractive given Viking's offensive consistency and Aalesund's defensive frailty, making the market a positive value opportunity rather than just a watch-only angle.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

related match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Viking8.2
Avg corners for
Aalesund6.8
Viking14.2
Avg total corners
Aalesund14
Viking2.6
Avg yellow cards
Aalesund0.8
Viking13.2
Avg shots
Aalesund18.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 88% · edge -12.7 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Viking average 8.2 corners and 13.2 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure, while Aalesund's 6.8 corners and 18.6 shots per game reflect their offensive intent despite defensive struggles. Viking's higher yellow card average (2.6) compared to Aalesund (0.8) suggests a more aggressive approach, potentially influencing match tempo and set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Viking

LWWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
14 Aug 2026A Rosenborg1-2
08 Aug 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF2-1
01 Aug 2026A Start3-0
26 Jul 2026A Aalesund1-1
22 Jul 2026A Lillestrom2-1

Aalesund

DDLDL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 6D 2L
16 Aug 2026H Valerenga5-5
09 Aug 2026A Ham-Kam1-1
02 Aug 2026H Tromso2-6
26 Jul 2026H Viking1-1
16 Jul 2026A Valerenga1-6
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 91% · edge -4.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Load more odds for this section
Viking to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Viking Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Viking's recent form is exceptional, with 10 points from their last five matches and a high goal-scoring rate of 1.8 per game. Aalesund have struggled defensively, conceding 3.8 goals per match recently, but have maintained a solid scoring rate of 2 goals per game, indicating matches with goals at both ends and supporting the combined win and BTTS selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Viking wins
3Draws
2Aalesund wins
26 Jul 2026Aalesund v Viking1-1
18 Mar 2026Viking v Aalesund1-2
25 Jun 2025Aalesund v Viking0-1
26 Nov 2023Aalesund v Viking0-4
24 Jul 2023Viking v Aalesund3-1
02 Oct 2022Aalesund v Viking2-1
Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 77% · edge -2.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
The ten previous meetings between Viking and Aalesund have averaged 3.1 goals per game, with both teams scoring regularly. While Viking have generally dominated, Aalesund's ability to score against them is evident, making the BTTS element credible. However, the sample size is moderate, so current form and tactical setups carry more weight in predicting this fixture's outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Viking17
Played
Aalesund17
Viking2.4
Avg goals for
Aalesund1.6
Viking1
Avg goals against
Aalesund2.4
Viking5
Clean sheets
Aalesund0
Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 77% · edge -2.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Viking Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over the season, Viking have demonstrated a potent attack but a fragile defense, with only three clean sheets in 13 matches. Aalesund's defense has been porous, conceding 28 goals, while their attack has improved markedly in recent matches. These season-long trends underpin the expectation of a Viking win with goals from both teams.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Viking4017131323
15Aalesund1517296-14
Viking sit second in the Eliteserien with 40 points, reflecting their strong title challenge and consistent performance. Aalesund are 15th with 15 points, under pressure near the relegation zone. This disparity creates a scenario where Viking are favorites to win, but Aalesund's need for points and recent scoring form suggest they will attack, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Viking Over 2.5
60%Aalesund Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating a tendency for open, high-scoring games. Recent matches have frequently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by Viking's attacking pressure and Aalesund's defensive vulnerabilities, supporting expectations for a lively, goal-rich encounter.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Viking v Aalesund prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Bodo/Glimt v RosenborgEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 13:30Tromso v Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 16:00Sandefjord v BrannEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 16:00Start v KFUM OsloEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 16:00

Competition and hubs

related match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre