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Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt
v
Rosenborg crestRosenborg

Eliteserien | Sun 30 Aug, 13:30

Bodo/Glimt v Rosenborg Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bodo/Glimt face Rosenborg in Eliteserien on Sun 30 Aug, 13:30. Rosenborg's massive attacking deficiencies are evident with only seven goals scored all season, the worst record in the league. The recent defeats to Aalesund and KFUM Oslo have only increased scrutiny. Bodo/Glimt dominate through possession control, averaging 67.1% possession and 17 attempts per match.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Bodo/Glimt Win

  • At 1/2, Bodo/Glimt Win implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • Kjetil Knutsen's structurally superior side should confidently exploit a vulnerable home defence that has leaked 16 goals.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 12 for Rosenborg.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Bodo/Glimt Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Bodo/Glimt sit 1 in the table, while Rosenborg sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Bodo/Glimt Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 67% while the model sits nearer 59% (-8.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Rosenborg Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 4.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 59% for Bodo/Glimt Win sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 12 for Rosenborg. Kjetil Knutsen's structurally superior side should confidently exploit a vulnerable home defence that has leaked 16 goals.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 67% implied
Negative
Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Kjetil Knutsen's structurally superior side should confidently exploit a.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bodo/Glimt Win is the preferred angle because kjetil Knutsen's structurally superior side should confidently exploit a vulnerable home defence that has leaked that scoring level. Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 12 for Rosenborg. They can have the ball, but they rarely make opponents panic.

Main risk

They can have the ball, but they rarely make opponents panic.

Key Data Signals

Bodo/Glimt Win evidence

Kjetil Knutsen's structurally superior side should confidently exploit a vulnerable home defence that has leaked 16 goals.

Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 12 for Rosenborg.

Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Bodo/Glimt Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Bodo/Glimt sit 1 in the table, while Rosenborg sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Bodo/Glimt Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Bodo/Glimt9.2
    Avg corners for
    Rosenborg8
    Bodo/Glimt11.8
    Avg total corners
    Rosenborg13.4
    Bodo/Glimt0.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Rosenborg2.4
    Bodo/Glimt16.6
    Avg shots
    Rosenborg15.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bodo/Glimt2.6
    Avg goals scored
    Rosenborg2.6
    Bodo/Glimt0.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Rosenborg0.8
    Bodo/Glimt20%
    BTTS rate
    Rosenborg40%
    Bodo/Glimt80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Rosenborg80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 75% · edge +2.2 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for Bodo/Glimt and 80% for Rosenborg, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 74% · edge -14.9 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Bodo/Glimt to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bodo/Glimt

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 109W 1D 0L
    08 Aug 2026A Valerenga2-1
    31 Jul 2026H Lillestrom4-0
    26 Jul 2026A Sandefjord3-0
    22 Jul 2026H Ham-Kam3-0
    17 Jul 2026H Fredrikstad1-0

    Rosenborg

    WWLWW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 1D 3L
    14 Aug 2026H Viking2-1
    09 Aug 2026A Lillestrom2-0
    02 Aug 2026A Brann2-3
    27 Jul 2026H Fredrikstad4-0
    18 Jul 2026A Start3-0
    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 74% · edge -14.9 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Bodo/Glimt wins
    5Draws
    2Rosenborg wins
    29 May 2026Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt2-2
    21 Sep 2025Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt1-1
    24 May 2025Bodo/Glimt v Rosenborg4-0
    28 Oct 2024Bodo/Glimt v Rosenborg2-3
    27 Apr 2024Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt1-3
    17 Sep 2023Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt1-1
    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 74% · edge -14.9 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Bodo/Glimt to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Bodo/Glimt17
    Played
    Rosenborg17
    Bodo/Glimt2.5
    Avg goals for
    Rosenborg1.5
    Bodo/Glimt0.7
    Avg goals against
    Rosenborg1.3
    Bodo/Glimt10
    Clean sheets
    Rosenborg6
    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 74% · edge -14.9 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    Season data supports Bodo/Glimt to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Bodo/Glimt4117132231
    7Rosenborg24177373
    Bodo/Glimt sit in position 1, while Rosenborg sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Bodo/Glimt Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
    80%Rosenborg Over 2.5
    3.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bodo/Glimt sit at 80% and Rosenborg sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.