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Tromso crestTromso
v
Sarpsborg 08 FF crestSarpsborg 08 FF

Eliteserien | Sun 30 Aug, 16:00

Tromso v Sarpsborg 08 FF Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tromso face Sarpsborg 08 FF in Eliteserien on Sun 30 Aug, 16:00. Tromso come in with 10 recent points and 3.2 goals per match, while Sarpsborg 08 FF have 5 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Tromso to Win

  • At 1.67, Tromso to Win implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Tromso have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
  • Tromso have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Tromso to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Tromso to Win sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Tromso have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Positive
Tromso have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Tromso have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Tromso Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Tromso have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Tromso to Win evidence

Tromso have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Tromso have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Tromso Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Tromso to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Tromso3.2
    Avg goals scored
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.2
    Tromso1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.4
    Tromso60%
    BTTS rate
    Sarpsborg 08 FF60%
    Tromso80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sarpsborg 08 FF60%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 86% · edge +0 pts
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for Tromso and 60% for Sarpsborg 08 FF, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickTromso to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Tromso to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Tromso4
    Avg corners for
    Sarpsborg 08 FF5.6
    Tromso8.6
    Avg total corners
    Sarpsborg 08 FF11.4
    Tromso0.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.8
    Tromso13.6
    Avg shots
    Sarpsborg 08 FF14.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Tromso

    LWWWD
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    16 Aug 2026A Molde2-3
    02 Aug 2026A Aalesund6-2
    18 Jul 2026A Ham-Kam4-1
    11 Jul 2026H Valerenga4-0
    29 May 2026A KFUM Oslo0-0

    Sarpsborg 08 FF

    LLDWD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 3L
    16 Aug 2026H Sandefjord1-2
    08 Aug 2026A Viking1-2
    02 Aug 2026A Molde3-3
    26 Jul 2026H Ham-Kam1-0
    18 Jul 2026A Kristiansund BK0-0
    Market aligned with main pickTromso to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Tromso wins
    0Draws
    0Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
    Market aligned with main pickTromso to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Tromso to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Tromso Over 2.5
    60%Sarpsborg 08 FF Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tromso sit at 80% and Sarpsborg 08 FF sit at 60%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    More stats pages

    Bodo/Glimt v RosenborgEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 13:30Valerenga v MoldeEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 16:00Sandefjord v BrannEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 16:00Start v KFUM OsloEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 16:00

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    Next step

    Betting context

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