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Sandefjord crestSandefjord
v
Brann crestBrann

Eliteserien | Sun 30 Aug, 16:00

Sandefjord v Brann Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sandefjord and Brann meet in an Eliteserien clash where attacking intent and recent scoring trends set the stage for an open encounter. Brann, positioned sixth, have been prolific offensively, averaging 2.4 goals per game and maintaining a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Sandefjord, fighting near the relegation zone, have struggled to score but have seen 60% of their games go over 2.5 goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams' recent form and tactical openness suggest a high-scoring game with plenty of goalmouth action.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Brann averages 2.4 goals per game with 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently
  • Sandefjord concedes 1.6 goals per game and has 60% over 2.5 goals matches
  • Brann's attacking players like K. Kjartansson and B. Finne show strong shot and goal threat
  • Recent matches between these teams average 2.6 goals, supporting a high-scoring outlook

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 55.2% chance against an implied 44.4%, reflecting Brann's potent attack and Sandefjord's defensive lapses. Brann's perfect over 2.5 goals rate and Sandefjord's openness create conditions for multiple goals. The presence of high-volume shooters like K. Kjartansson and B. Finne further supports the likelihood of a goal-rich match. No data limitations or price warnings affect , making this a compelling selection for bettors seeking attacking football.

Model Chance55.2%
Strong positive
Implied Chance44.4%
Strong positive
Brann Over 2.5 Goals Rate100%
Strong positive
Sandefjord Defensive Concession1.6 goals per game
Positive
Key Players' Shot VolumeHigh shots and shots on target from Kjartansson and Finne
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Brann pushing forward aggressively and Sandefjord vulnerable at the back, creating multiple scoring opportunities. Brann's attacking form combined with Sandefjord's defensive record suggests a match likely to produce four or more goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking dynamics and defensive weaknesses

“Brann's offensive firepower and Sandefjord's defensive fragility set the stage for a high-scoring contest. The attacking roles of Kjartansson and Finne, combined with Sandefjord's tendency to concede, make Over 3.5 Goals a logical expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Brann averages 2.4 goals per game with 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently

Sandefjord concedes 1.6 goals per game and has 60% over 2.5 goals matches

Brann's attacking players like K. Kjartansson and B. Finne show strong shot and goal threat

Recent matches between these teams average 2.6 goals, supporting a high-scoring outlook

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.6, with recent matches frequently exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This trend, combined with both teams' attacking styles and defensive records, indicates a sustained tempo and openness conducive to Over 2.5 and likely Over 3.5 goals in this match.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sandefjord4.6
Avg corners for
Brann6.6
Sandefjord10.2
Avg total corners
Brann12.2
Sandefjord2
Avg yellow cards
Brann1.4
Sandefjord12.6
Avg shots
Brann16.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Brann averages 6.6 corners and 16.2 shots per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and wide play. Sandefjord's 4.6 corners and 12.6 shots suggest they will also create chances. The moderate card averages indicate a competitive but not overly aggressive match, allowing attacking flow to continue.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sandefjord0.6
Avg goals scored
Brann2.4
Sandefjord1.6
Avg goals conceded
Brann1.4
Sandefjord40%
BTTS rate
Brann80%
Sandefjord60%
Over 2.5 goals
Brann100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +10.8 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Both teams have shown tendencies toward high-scoring matches, with Brann's 80% BTTS rate and Sandefjord's 40% indicating at least one side scores regularly. Combined with their goal averages, this match is likely to feature multiple goals from both teams, supporting an Over 3.5 Goals outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBrann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Brann to WinBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Sandefjord Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Sandefjord to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively with a 2.25 reflecting an implied 44.4% chance, while the model estimates a 55.2% probability, indicating clear value. This pricing suggests bettors can capitalize on Brann's attacking consistency and Sandefjord's defensive vulnerabilities without significant price risk.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sandefjord

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
16 Aug 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF2-1
07 Aug 2026H KFUM Oslo0-1
01 Aug 2026A Fredrikstad0-1
26 Jul 2026H Bodo/Glimt0-3
18 Jul 2026A Viking1-2

Brann

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 4L
16 Aug 2026H Ham-Kam3-0
02 Aug 2026H Rosenborg3-2
26 Jul 2026H Valerenga2-3
18 Jul 2026A Molde2-1
12 Jul 2026H Start2-1
Best odds for this sectionBrann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Brann to WinBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Sandefjord Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Sandefjord to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Brann's recent form includes 12 points with a perfect 100% over 2.5 goals rate, highlighting their attacking potency. Sandefjord's 3 points and 60% over 2.5 rate reveal defensive frailties despite limited scoring. This contrast in form underlines the likelihood of a high-scoring game.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Sandefjord wins
4Draws
5Brann wins
12 Apr 2026Brann v Sandefjord0-1
20 Sep 2025Sandefjord v Brann0-3
30 Jun 2025Brann v Sandefjord1-0
15 Sep 2024Sandefjord v Brann2-2
16 May 2024Brann v Sandefjord2-1
29 Oct 2023Sandefjord v Brann1-1
Best odds for this sectionBrann to WinBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Sandefjord to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The head-to-head record over ten matches shows an average of 2.6 goals per game, indicating moderately high scoring but not overwhelmingly so. While this supports a goal-rich encounter, the sample size and variability mean current form and team tactics are more decisive for this fixture.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Sandefjord17
Played
Brann17
Sandefjord0.9
Avg goals for
Brann2.1
Sandefjord1.4
Avg goals against
Brann1.6
Sandefjord4
Clean sheets
Brann2
Best odds for this sectionBrann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Brann to WinBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Sandefjord Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Sandefjord to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Season-long data shows Brann scoring 2.4 goals per game and conceding 1.4, while Sandefjord scores 0.6 and concedes 1.6. These figures illustrate Brann's offensive strength against Sandefjord's defensive weaknesses, supporting an expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Brann25178189
13Sandefjord1817539-8
Brann sits comfortably in 6th place with 25 points, pushing for higher table positions through strong attacking displays. Sandefjord, 13th with 18 points, face pressure to improve results, often leading to open play and defensive risks. The standings context suggests Brann will seek to capitalize offensively, increasing goal potential.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Sandefjord Over 2.5
100%Brann Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.6, with recent matches frequently exceeding 2.5 goals. This trend, combined with both teams' attacking styles and defensive records, indicates a sustained tempo and openness conducive to Over 2.5 and likely Over 3.5 goals in this match.

Related football research

Fixture links

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Bodo/Glimt v RosenborgEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 13:30Valerenga v MoldeEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 16:00Tromso v Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 16:00Start v KFUM OsloEliteserien · Sun 30 Aug 16:00

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