VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga | Sat 19 Sep, 17:30

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund meet in a Bundesliga clash where goal-scoring potential is high. Stuttgart's defense has conceded heavily, while Dortmund boasts a potent attack and solid defensive record. Recent matches suggest an open game with both sides capable of scoring multiple goals. Stuttgart's aggressive style contrasts with Dortmund's efficient forward play, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter with tactical emphasis on attack and transition play.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

VfB Stuttgart has conceded 2.67 goals per game and features a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.
Borussia Dortmund averages 2.67 goals scored per game with a strong defensive record conceding only 0.67 goals per game.
The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.6 goals, indicating a history of high-scoring games.
Both teams generate high shot volumes, with Stuttgart averaging 16.33 shots and Dortmund 15 shots per game, supporting offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals due to the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams. Stuttgart's matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, and Dortmund's efficient offense combined with Stuttgart's leaky defense creates a strong chance for multiple goals. The historical average of 3.6 goals per meeting and high shot volumes reinforce the likelihood of a high-scoring game. No data limitations affect , making this a well-supported selection with positive value at current .

Stuttgart Defensive Weakness2.67 goals conceded per game

Strong positive

Dortmund Offensive Efficiency2.67 goals scored per game

Strong positive

Historical High Scoring3.6 average goals in last 10 meetings

Positive

Shot VolumeHigh shots per game from both teams

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match with both teams pushing forward aggressively. Stuttgart's defensive frailties combined with Dortmund's attacking firepower suggest multiple goal-scoring opportunities. The data supports a game with several goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice for bettors seeking excitement and value.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“This fixture features a clash of styles that typically produces goals. Stuttgart's porous defense and Dortmund's clinical attack create a perfect storm for a high-scoring encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

VfB Stuttgart has conceded 2.67 goals per game and features a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.

Borussia Dortmund averages 2.67 goals scored per game with a strong defensive record conceding only 0.67 goals per game.

The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.6 goals, indicating a history of high-scoring games.

Both teams generate high shot volumes, with Stuttgart averaging 16.33 shots and Dortmund 15 shots per game, supporting offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 3.6 goals, with a strong trend towards Over 2.5 Goals in recent encounters.
This historical pattern, combined with current attacking tendencies, suggests a fast-paced game with multiple scoring opportunities.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

VfB Stuttgart

LWL

Last 51W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 2L

12 Sep 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim1-2

04 Sep 2026H 1. FC Köln4-1

28 Aug 2026A Bayern München1-5

Borussia Dortmund

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Borussia Dortmund yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 69% · edge -4.3 pts

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

VfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Borussia Dortmund to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

Borussia Dortmund Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Stuttgart's recent matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, reflecting their open defensive style. Dortmund maintains a strong scoring rate with a more solid defense, creating a dynamic where goals are expected from both sides. This form data supports the Over 3.5 Goals pick as both teams are involved in high-scoring games.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

VfB Stuttgart2

Avg goals scored

Borussia Dortmund-

VfB Stuttgart2.67

Avg goals conceded

Borussia Dortmund-

VfB Stuttgart100%

BTTS rate

Borussia Dortmund-

VfB Stuttgart100%

Over 2.5 goals

Borussia Dortmund-

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 52% · edge +5.6 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%

1.11

Check odds @ 1.11

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 3

Recent form shows Stuttgart's matches always exceed 2.5 goals and feature both teams scoring, while Dortmund's games have a lower BTTS rate but still contribute to high goal totals. Combined with a 3.6 goals average in head-to-heads, this suggests multiple goals and at least one team scoring consistently.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

VfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Borussia Dortmund to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively with around 2.00, reflecting a of 58%. This positive indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game given the attacking profiles and defensive weaknesses of both teams.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0VfB Stuttgart wins

0Draws

0Borussia Dortmund wins

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 71% · edge +6.6 pts

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

VfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Borussia Dortmund to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

The head-to-head record over the last 10 matches shows an average of 3.6 goals per game, indicating a history of open, high-scoring contests. This trend supports expectations for a goal-rich encounter, although individual match dynamics may vary.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

VfB Stuttgart3

Avg corners for

Borussia Dortmund-

VfB Stuttgart12

Avg total corners

Borussia Dortmund-

VfB Stuttgart3

Avg yellow cards

Borussia Dortmund-

VfB Stuttgart11

Avg shots

Borussia Dortmund-

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%

1.78

Check odds @ 1.78

Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

2.02

Check odds @ 2.02

Both teams generate significant attacking pressure, with Stuttgart averaging 6.67 corners and Dortmund 4.33. Shot volumes are high, with Dortmund averaging 6 shots on target and Stuttgart nearly 6 as well. Card counts are moderate, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive match likely to maintain attacking rhythm.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5

-Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 3.6 goals, with a strong trend towards Over 2.5 Goals in recent encounters. This historical pattern, combined with current attacking tendencies, suggests a fast-paced game with multiple scoring opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund

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Football Stats Hub

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund

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