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Eintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht Frankfurt
v
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

Bundesliga | Sat 19 Sep, 14:30

Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt face SC Freiburg in Bundesliga on Sat 19 Sep, 14:30. Eintracht Frankfurt come in with 4 recent points and 2.33 goals per match, while SC Freiburg have 9 points and 3.33 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

SC Freiburg to Win

  • At 2.75, SC Freiburg to Win implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 51%.
  • SC Freiburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
  • SC Freiburg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per match, which helps the SC Freiburg to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt sit 9 in the table, while SC Freiburg sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 51% for SC Freiburg to Win sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. SC Freiburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Model chance vs price51% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Strong positive
SC Freiburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
SC Freiburg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: SC Freiburg Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers SC Freiburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Eintracht Frankfurt. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

SC Freiburg to Win evidence

SC Freiburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

SC Freiburg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per match, which helps the SC Freiburg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Eintracht Frankfurt sit 9 in the table, while SC Freiburg sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

SC Freiburg to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Eintracht Frankfurt5.33
    Avg corners for
    SC Freiburg5.33
    Eintracht Frankfurt9.67
    Avg total corners
    SC Freiburg9.33
    Eintracht Frankfurt2.33
    Avg yellow cards
    SC Freiburg1.67
    Eintracht Frankfurt15
    Avg shots
    SC Freiburg18
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 46% · edge +11.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
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    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Eintracht Frankfurt2.33
    Avg goals scored
    SC Freiburg3.33
    Eintracht Frankfurt2.67
    Avg goals conceded
    SC Freiburg0.33
    Eintracht Frankfurt100%
    BTTS rate
    SC Freiburg33%
    Eintracht Frankfurt100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    SC Freiburg67%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSC Freiburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
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    SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    SC Freiburg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Eintracht Frankfurt

    WLD
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    12 Sep 2026A FSV Mainz 053-1
    06 Sep 2026H FC Augsburg1-4
    29 Aug 2026A Union Berlin3-3

    SC Freiburg

    WWW
    Last 53W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 0D 0L
    12 Sep 2026H Borussia Mönchengladbach5-0
    05 Sep 2026A SC Paderborn 071-0
    30 Aug 2026H Werder Bremen4-1
    Market aligned with main pickSC Freiburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
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    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 79%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Eintracht Frankfurt wins
    4Draws
    2SC Freiburg wins
    01 Mar 2026Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg2-0
    19 Oct 2025SC Freiburg v Eintracht Frankfurt2-2
    17 May 2025SC Freiburg v Eintracht Frankfurt1-3
    14 Jan 2025Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg4-1
    18 Feb 2024SC Freiburg v Eintracht Frankfurt3-3
    06 Jan 2024Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg2-5
    Market aligned with main pickSC Freiburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    The head-to-head sample gives context for SC Freiburg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Bundesliga

    Eintracht Frankfurt3
    Played
    SC Freiburg3
    Eintracht Frankfurt2.3
    Avg goals for
    SC Freiburg3.3
    Eintracht Frankfurt2.7
    Avg goals against
    SC Freiburg0.3
    Eintracht Frankfurt0
    Clean sheets
    SC Freiburg2
    Market aligned with main pickSC Freiburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Season data supports SC Freiburg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1SC Freiburg933009
    9Eintracht Frankfurt43111-1
    Eintracht Frankfurt sit in position 9, while SC Freiburg sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the SC Freiburg to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Eintracht Frankfurt Over 2.5
    67%SC Freiburg Over 2.5
    3.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Eintracht Frankfurt sit at 100% and SC Freiburg sit at 67% with the H2H average at 3.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Prediction context

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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