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Verl crestVerl
v
Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV

DFB Pokal | Mon 24 Aug, 17:00

Verl v Hamburger SV Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 19:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Verl face Hamburger SV in DFB Pokal on Mon 24 Aug, 17:00. Hamburg's higher league status and Verl's defensive frailty favour a Hamburg win. Hamburg have won only two of their last six away matches, with three defeats in that sequence, giving Verl more encouragement than the divisional gap alone might suggest.

BT4Y best bet

Hamburger SV to win and both teams to score

  • Hamburger SV to win and both teams to score is rated around 31% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Defensive absences on both sides add to the openness.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Hamburger SV to win and both teams to score around 31% on the latest available numbers. Defensive absences on both sides add to the openness.

Defensive absences on both sides add to the openness.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Hamburger SV Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because defensive absences on both sides add to the openness. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Hamburger SV to win and both teams to score evidence

Defensive absences on both sides add to the openness.

What To Watch In The Data

Hamburger SV to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHamburger SV to WinBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 68% · edge -6.9 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
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Hamburger SV Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Hamburger SV to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Verl-
Avg goals scored
Hamburger SV-
Verl-
Avg goals conceded
Hamburger SV-
Verl-
BTTS rate
Hamburger SV-
Verl-
Over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Verl

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Verl yet.

Hamburger SV

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Hamburger SV yet.

Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 83% vs implied 89% · edge -6.5 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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Hamburger SV to WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Hamburger SV Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Verl Over 2.5
-Hamburger SV Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Defensive absences on both sides add to the openness.

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