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Molde crestMolde
v
Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt

Friendlies Clubs | Sun 28 Jun, 14:45

Molde v Bodo/Glimt Stats

Data last updated: Mon 29 Jun 2026, 20:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Molde face Bodo/Glimt in Friendlies Clubs on Sun 28 Jun, 14:45. Molde come in with 10 recent points and 2.6 goals per match, while Bodo/Glimt have 6 points and 4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • At 2.1, Over 3.5 Goals implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Molde and 100% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Bodo/Glimt are carrying more of the scoring load at 4 goals per match, with Molde at 2.6.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for Molde and 50% for Bodo/Glimt show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Molde and 100% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Molde and 100%.Visible data support
Positive
Bodo/Glimt are carrying more of the scoring load at 4.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 3.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Molde and 100% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Molde and 100% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Bodo/Glimt are carrying more of the scoring load at 4 goals per match, with Molde at 2.6.

BTTS rates of 80% for Molde and 50% for Bodo/Glimt show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Molde2.6
Avg goals scored
Bodo/Glimt4
Molde1.2
Avg goals conceded
Bodo/Glimt0.5
Molde80%
BTTS rate
Bodo/Glimt50%
Molde80%
Over 2.5 goals
Bodo/Glimt100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 70% · edge +7.6 pts
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
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Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Molde Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Molde

WWDWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 1L
21 Jun 2026H KFUM Oslo5-1
27 Feb 2026H Aalesund4-1
17 Feb 2026H Viking2-2
15 Feb 2026H Brattvåg2-1
12 Feb 2026H Metalist 1925 Kharkiv0-1

Bodo/Glimt

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
13 Jan 2026H Diosgyori VTK4-1
06 Jan 2026A Groningen4-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 56% · edge +19.3 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Molde Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Molde wins
3Draws
4Bodo/Glimt wins
04 May 2026Bodo/Glimt v Molde0-1
05 Mar 2026Molde v Bodo/Glimt1-2
26 Oct 2025Bodo/Glimt v Molde4-1
21 Apr 2025Molde v Bodo/Glimt2-2
22 Mar 2025Molde v Bodo/Glimt1-2
03 Nov 2024Molde v Bodo/Glimt3-3
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 70% · edge +7.6 pts
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Load more odds for this section
Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Molde8
Played
Bodo/Glimt3
Molde1.9
Avg goals for
Bodo/Glimt4
Molde1.5
Avg goals against
Bodo/Glimt0.7
Molde1
Clean sheets
Bodo/Glimt1
Best odds for this sectionMolde to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 35% · edge +11.2 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Molde Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season data supports Molde to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Molde Over 2.5
100%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Molde sit at 80% and Bodo/Glimt sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.