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UCV crestUCV
v
Santos crestSantos

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Wed 22 Jul, 01:30

UCV v Santos Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 04:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

UCV face Santos in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wed 22 Jul, 01:30. UCV come in with 0 recent points and - goals per match, while Santos have 7 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y match pick

Santos to Win

  • At 1.83, Santos to Win implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for UCV.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 52% for Santos to Win sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price. Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for UCV.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Neutral
Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -2.3 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Santos Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for UCV. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Santos to Win evidence

Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for UCV.

What To Watch In The Data

Santos to Win notes

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    UCV

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for UCV yet.

    Santos

    WDDDD
    Last 51W 4D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 4D 1L
    27 May 2026H Deportivo Cuenca3-0
    20 May 2026H San Lorenzo2-2
    06 May 2026A Deportivo Recoleta1-1
    28 Apr 2026A San Lorenzo1-1
    15 Apr 2026H Deportivo Recoleta1-1
    Market aligned with main pickSantos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 55% · edge -2.3 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Santos Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    full betting preview for UCV v Santoscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    UCV-
    Avg goals scored
    Santos1.6
    UCV-
    Avg goals conceded
    Santos1
    UCV-
    BTTS rate
    Santos80%
    UCV-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Santos40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSantos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 55% · edge -2.3 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Santos Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Santos to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -UCV Over 2.5
    40%Santos Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals

    Loading deeper match data…