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UCV crestUCV
v
Santos crestSantos

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Wed 22 Jul, 01:30

UCV v Santos Stats

Data last updated: Tue 21 Jul 2026, 04:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

UCV face Santos in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wed 22 Jul, 01:30. UCV come in with 0 recent points and - goals per match, while Santos have 7 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Santos to Win

  • At 1.9, Santos Win implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for UCV.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Santos Win sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for UCV.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Strong positive
Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +17.4 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Santos Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for UCV. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Santos Win evidence

Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for UCV.

What To Watch In The Data

Santos Win notes

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    UCV

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for UCV yet.

    Santos

    WDDDD
    Last 51W 4D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 4D 1L
    27 May 2026H Deportivo Cuenca3-0
    20 May 2026H San Lorenzo2-2
    06 May 2026A Deportivo Recoleta1-1
    28 Apr 2026A San Lorenzo1-1
    15 Apr 2026H Deportivo Recoleta1-1
    Market aligned with main pickSantos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 53% · edge +17.4 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Santos Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    full betting preview for UCV v Santoscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Santos761412
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    UCV-
    Avg goals scored
    Santos1.6
    UCV-
    Avg goals conceded
    Santos1
    UCV-
    BTTS rate
    Santos80%
    UCV-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Santos40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 52% · edge +23.6 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSantos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 53% · edge +17.4 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Santos Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Santos to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0UCV wins
    0Draws
    0Santos wins
    Market aligned with main pickSantos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 53% · edge +17.4 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Santos to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    UCV-
    Avg corners for
    Santos4
    UCV-
    Avg total corners
    Santos8.2
    UCV-
    Avg yellow cards
    Santos2.4
    UCV-
    Avg shots
    Santos13
    Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 33%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 5.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    UCV0
    Played
    Santos0
    UCV0
    Avg goals for
    Santos-
    UCV0
    Avg goals against
    Santos-
    UCV0
    Clean sheets
    Santos-
    Market aligned with main pickSantos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 53% · edge +17.4 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Santos Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Season data supports Santos to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -UCV Over 2.5
    40%Santos Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    UCV v Santos prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Club Nacional v TigreCONMEBOL Sudamericana · Tue 21 Jul 23:00Independiente Medellin v Vasco DA GamaCONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed 22 Jul 23:00

    Competition and hubs

    full betting preview for UCV v Santoscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre