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Trabzonspor crestTrabzonspor
v
Galatasaray crestGalatasaray

Süper Lig | Sat 19 Sep, 18:00

Trabzonspor v Galatasaray Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Süper Lig clash features Galatasaray, currently top of the table with 13 points, visiting Trabzonspor, sitting ninth with 7 points. Galatasaray's strong away form and attacking potency contrast with Trabzonspor's more modest recent output. The visitors have demonstrated effective offensive transitions and a high shot volume, while Trabzonspor's defense has shown some vulnerability. Both teams will seek to assert tactical control early, with Galatasaray aiming to capitalize on their momentum and Trabzonspor looking to disrupt their opponents' rhythm in a competitive fixture with significant league implications.

BT4Y best bet

Galatasaray to Win

  • Galatasaray leads the league with 13 points, showing strong form.
  • Galatasaray averages 24.6 shots per game, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Trabzonspor concedes an average of 1 goal per game, suggesting defensive openings.
  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, highlighting potential for goals from both sides.
  • Galatasaray's Over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, supporting a high-scoring game potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Galatasaray's of 70% to win reflects their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and league position advantage. Their average of 2.6 goals per game and 24.6 shots per match underline an aggressive attacking style, while Trabzonspor's defense concedes more opportunities. The of 23.5% indicates strong model in this outcome. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation. The data quality is solid, with comprehensive team stats supporting the pick.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Galatasaray Goals Per Game2.6
Strong positive
Trabzonspor Goals Against Per Game1.0
Positive
Value Edge23.5%
Strong positive
Price WarningNone
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Galatasaray's tactical discipline and superior offensive metrics make them the likely winners in this fixture. Their ability to generate high shot volumes and convert chances, combined with Trabzonspor's defensive vulnerabilities, supports backing the visitors to secure victory in this competitive Süper Lig encounter.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Galatasaray's attacking efficiency and league-leading form position them strongly to overcome Trabzonspor's home challenge, making the away win a compelling selection.”

Key Data Signals

Galatasaray to Win evidence

Galatasaray leads the league with 13 points, showing strong form.

Galatasaray averages 24.6 shots per game, indicating offensive pressure.

Trabzonspor concedes an average of 1 goal per game, suggesting defensive openings.

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, highlighting potential for goals from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Galatasaray to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 3.1, supporting an expectation of a lively game with multiple goals.
  • Both teams' recent Over 2.5 goals rates (Galatasaray 80%, Trabzonspor 60%) suggest a trend toward open, attacking matches with goal-scoring opportunities on both sides.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Trabzonspor6.6
Avg corners for
Galatasaray7.4
Trabzonspor9
Avg total corners
Galatasaray10.2
Trabzonspor2.4
Avg yellow cards
Galatasaray1.8
Trabzonspor15.6
Avg shots
Galatasaray24.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 52% · edge +11.2 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Galatasaray averages 7.4 corners and 24.6 shots per game, indicating sustained pressure and attacking intent. Trabzonspor's 6.6 corners and 15.6 shots suggest moderate offensive activity. Card averages are moderate, with Trabzonspor at 2.4 yellows and Galatasaray at 1.8, indicating a balanced disciplinary profile likely to allow free-flowing play.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Trabzonspor1.8
Avg goals scored
Galatasaray2.6
Trabzonspor1
Avg goals conceded
Galatasaray1.2
Trabzonspor60%
BTTS rate
Galatasaray60%
Trabzonspor60%
Over 2.5 goals
Galatasaray80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 88% vs implied 89% · edge -1.8 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, and Galatasaray's 80% Over 2.5 goals rate suggests an open game with multiple scoring opportunities. Trabzonspor's 1.8 goals per game also points to offensive contributions, making goals and BTTS markets attractive for this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGalatasaray to WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Galatasaray Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The current for Galatasaray to win reflect a significant value opportunity, with the model assigning a 70% chance against an implied market chance of 46.5%. This discrepancy indicates that the price is favorable for backing the visitors, supported by their league-leading form and attacking statistics.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Trabzonspor

LWLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
12 Sep 2026A Konyaspor0-1
06 Sep 2026H Gençlerbirliği S.K.5-0
31 Aug 2026A Amed1-2
23 Aug 2026H Başakşehir2-1
15 Aug 2026A Kasımpaşa1-1

Galatasaray

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 0L
13 Sep 2026H Kocaelispor1-0
04 Sep 2026A Başakşehir3-2
29 Aug 2026H Göztepe3-2
21 Aug 2026A Erzurumspor FK4-0
14 Aug 2026H Çorum FK2-2
Market aligned with main pickGalatasaray to WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Galatasaray Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Galatasaray's recent form shows 13 points from their matches, reflecting consistent winning performances and offensive efficiency with 2.6 goals per game. Trabzonspor's 7 points and 1.8 goals per game indicate decent but less dominant form. This contrast supports in Galatasaray's ability to secure victory.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Trabzonspor wins
2Draws
7Galatasaray wins
04 Apr 2026Trabzonspor v Galatasaray2-1
05 Jan 2026Galatasaray v Trabzonspor4-1
01 Nov 2025Galatasaray v Trabzonspor0-0
14 May 2025Trabzonspor v Galatasaray0-3
10 May 2025Trabzonspor v Galatasaray0-2
16 Dec 2024Galatasaray v Trabzonspor4-3
Market aligned with main pickGalatasaray to WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 3.1 goals per game, indicating historically open encounters. While the sample size is moderate, it suggests that matches between these teams tend to produce multiple goals, aligning with current attacking trends and supporting the potential for a decisive result favoring Galatasaray.
Season team stats

Süper Lig

Trabzonspor5
Played
Galatasaray5
Trabzonspor1.8
Avg goals for
Galatasaray2.6
Trabzonspor1
Avg goals against
Galatasaray1.2
Trabzonspor1
Clean sheets
Galatasaray2
Market aligned with main pickGalatasaray to WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Galatasaray Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Galatasaray leads the league with a strong attack averaging 2.6 goals per game and a defense conceding 1.2 goals. Trabzonspor's attack is less potent at 1.8 goals per game, with a slightly better defense conceding 1 goal per match. These season-long stats reinforce Galatasaray's superiority in both scoring and defensive resilience.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Galatasaray1354107
9Trabzonspor752124
Galatasaray sits atop the Süper Lig standings, reflecting their consistent performance and title challenge. Trabzonspor's mid-table position indicates a gap in quality and consistency. The standings context highlights the stakes for Galatasaray to maintain momentum and for Trabzonspor to challenge higher up the table.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Trabzonspor Over 2.5
80%Galatasaray Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 3.1, supporting an expectation of a lively game with multiple goals. Both teams' recent Over 2.5 goals rates (Galatasaray 80%, Trabzonspor 60%) suggest a trend toward open, attacking matches with goal-scoring opportunities on both sides.

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