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Fenerbahçe crestFenerbahçe
v
Eyüpspor crestEyüpspor

Süper Lig | Sun 20 Sep, 15:00

Fenerbahçe v Eyüpspor Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 21:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fenerbahçe hosts Eyüpspor in a Süper Lig clash where the home side has shown moderate attacking output but inconsistent defensive solidity, while Eyüpspor struggles near the relegation zone with limited scoring but a resilient defensive approach. Fenerbahçe's recent form includes a higher goal rate and points tally, yet Eyüpspor's tactical discipline and potential to frustrate opponents create an intriguing contest with stakes high for both sides seeking momentum early in the season.

BT4Y best bet

Eyüpspor Draw No Bet

  • Eyüpspor offers strong value with a 27.3% positive edge against implied .
  • Fenerbahçe averages 1.6 goals per match but concedes 1.2, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Eyüpspor's lower scoring rate is offset by a defensive resilience and ability to avoid defeat.
  • Recent form shows Fenerbahçe with 7 points, Eyüpspor with 3, highlighting a gap but not control.
  • Head-to-head matches average 3.5 goals, suggesting potential for open play but Eyüpspor's draw no bet protects against loss risk.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Eyüpspor Draw No Bet as a strong value opportunity due to the substantial of 27.3%, reflecting the market's underestimation of Eyüpspor's defensive resilience and ability to avoid defeat despite lower offensive output. While Fenerbahçe has superior recent form and attacking stats, Eyüpspor's tactical discipline and past head-to-head goal averages suggest a competitive fixture where Eyüpspor can at least secure a draw, making this a price-sensitive but football-logical selection. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Value Edge27.3% positive
Strong positive
Model Chance42% chance for Eyüpspor Draw No Bet
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance14.7%
Strong positive
Recent FormFenerbahçe stronger but Eyüpspor resilient
Positive
Defensive ProfileEyüpspor concedes 1.6 goals per game but can avoid defeat
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Eyüpspor's defensive organization and ability to frustrate opponents make the Draw No Bet a sensible choice against a Fenerbahçe side that, despite better form and attacking numbers, has shown defensive lapses. The data supports Eyüpspor's chance to avoid defeat, providing a tactical and statistical basis for this selection.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Market value and tactical defensive strength

“Eyüpspor's disciplined defensive setup and the value in the draw no bet market offer a compelling angle against a Fenerbahçe side that can be vulnerable at the back despite their attacking promise.”

Key Data Signals

Eyüpspor Draw No Bet evidence

Eyüpspor offers strong value with a 27.3% positive edge against implied .

Fenerbahçe averages 1.6 goals per match but concedes 1.2, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Eyüpspor's lower scoring rate is offset by a defensive resilience and ability to avoid defeat.

Recent form shows Fenerbahçe with 7 points, Eyüpspor with 3, highlighting a gap but not control.

What To Watch In The Data

Eyüpspor Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.5, indicating a history of open games with multiple goals.
  • However, Eyüpspor's lower scoring rate and defensive tactics suggest the match may see fewer goals than the historical average, with tempo and transitions playing a key role in goal opportunities.
  • This trend panel suggests a balanced game with potential for goals but also defensive containment.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fenerbahçe6.6
Avg corners for
Eyüpspor3.6
Fenerbahçe10.2
Avg total corners
Eyüpspor8
Fenerbahçe1.8
Avg yellow cards
Eyüpspor1.6
Fenerbahçe17.2
Avg shots
Eyüpspor12.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 60% · edge +0.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Fenerbahçe dominates in shots (17.2 avg) and corners (6.6 avg) compared to Eyüpspor's 12.2 shots and 3.6 corners, reflecting territorial and attacking pressure. Both teams maintain moderate card rates, with Eyüpspor's David Costa showing a higher card risk, indicating potential disciplinary battles. The pressure from Fenerbahçe may lead to set-piece opportunities, but Eyüpspor's fouling and defensive fouls could disrupt rhythm.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fenerbahçe1.6
Avg goals scored
Eyüpspor0.4
Fenerbahçe1.2
Avg goals conceded
Eyüpspor1.6
Fenerbahçe60%
BTTS rate
Eyüpspor20%
Fenerbahçe60%
Over 2.5 goals
Eyüpspor40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Fenerbahçe averages 1.6 goals per game with a 60% Over 2.5 rate and 60% BTTS rate, indicating attacking intent and openness. Eyüpspor, with a lower scoring average of 0.4 and 20% BTTS rate, tends to play more conservatively. The head-to-head average of 3.5 goals suggests potential for goals, but Eyüpspor's defensive approach may limit scoring, supporting a cautious outlook on BTTS and goal totals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickEyüpspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
6.6
Check odds @ 6.6
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Eyüpspor to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The Eyüpspor Draw No Bet market shows significant value with implying only a 14.7% chance, while the model estimates a 42% probability, highlighting a market underpricing of Eyüpspor's defensive resilience and ability to avoid defeat. This discrepancy creates a strong value opportunity, though the price is sensitive to Eyüpspor maintaining defensive discipline throughout the match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fenerbahçe

DLWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
14 Sep 2026A Gaziantep FK0-0
05 Sep 2026H Beşiktaş1-2
30 Aug 2026A Samsunspor2-0
22 Aug 2026H Konyaspor4-2
15 Aug 2026A Gençlerbirliği S.K.1-2

Eyüpspor

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 4L
12 Sep 2026H Rizespor0-2
06 Sep 2026A Çorum FK0-3
30 Aug 2026H Alanyaspor2-1
23 Aug 2026H Gaziantep FK0-1
16 Aug 2026A Beşiktaş0-1
Market aligned with main pickEyüpspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
6.6
Check odds @ 6.6
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Eyüpspor to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Fenerbahçe holds 7 points with a strong attacking output but concedes 1.2 goals per game, showing some defensive vulnerability. Eyüpspor has 3 points and a lower scoring rate but tends to concede more, reflecting a struggle to secure wins but a capacity to avoid heavy defeats. This form dynamic supports Eyüpspor's chance to avoid defeat, making Draw No Bet a reasonable selection based on recent performances.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Fenerbahçe wins
2Draws
0Eyüpspor wins
17 May 2026Fenerbahçe v Eyüpspor3-3
20 Dec 2025Eyüpspor v Fenerbahçe0-3
18 May 2025Fenerbahçe v Eyüpspor2-1
20 Dec 2024Eyüpspor v Fenerbahçe1-1
Market aligned with main pickEyüpspor to WinBet365 guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
13
Check odds @ 13
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The four previous meetings between Fenerbahçe and Eyüpspor have averaged 3.5 goals per game, showing a tendency for open and attacking encounters. However, Eyüpspor's current defensive focus and Fenerbahçe's inconsistent defense mean past results provide only moderate support for expecting a high-scoring or one-sided match, emphasizing the importance of current form and tactical setups over historical results.
Season team stats

Süper Lig

Fenerbahçe6
Played
Eyüpspor5
Fenerbahçe2.7
Avg goals for
Eyüpspor0.4
Fenerbahçe1
Avg goals against
Eyüpspor1.6
Fenerbahçe3
Clean sheets
Eyüpspor0
Market aligned with main pickEyüpspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
6.6
Check odds @ 6.6
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Eyüpspor to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Fenerbahçe's season stats show a potent attack averaging 1.6 goals and a moderate defense conceding 1.2 goals per match. Eyüpspor's lower scoring rate of 0.4 and higher concession rate of 1.6 reflect a defensive posture with limited offensive threat. These profiles suggest Fenerbahçe will control play, but Eyüpspor's defensive resilience can keep the match tight, aligning with the Draw No Bet market rationale.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Fenerbahçe10631210
17Eyüpspor36105-14
Fenerbahçe sits 11th with 7 points, aiming to climb the table, while Eyüpspor is 17th with 3 points, fighting to avoid relegation. The standings highlight the pressure on Eyüpspor to secure points and the motivation for Fenerbahçe to assert control at home. This context underlines the competitive stakes and the likelihood of Eyüpspor playing cautiously to secure at least a draw.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Fenerbahçe Over 2.5
40%Eyüpspor Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.5, indicating a history of open games with multiple goals. However, Eyüpspor's lower scoring rate and defensive tactics suggest the match may see fewer goals than the historical average, with tempo and transitions playing a key role in goal opportunities. This trend panel suggests a balanced game with potential for goals but also defensive containment.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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