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Başakşehir crestBaşakşehir
v
Gençlerbirliği S.K. crestGençlerbirliği S.K.

Süper Lig | Sat 19 Sep, 18:00

Başakşehir v Gençlerbirliği S.K. Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Başakşehir and Gençlerbirliği S.K. meet in a Süper Lig clash where both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score goals this season. Başakşehir, currently 14th, have struggled defensively but maintain a decent attacking threat, while Gençlerbirliği S.K., placed 12th, also display balanced offensive and defensive records. Both sides have similar recent form in terms of goals scored and conceded, suggesting an open game with chances at both ends. The match promises tactical battles in midfield and attacking zones, with both teams eager to improve their league standing through positive results.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% rate of scoring and conceding goals in recent matches.
  • Başakşehir averages 12 shots per game with 3 on target, showing attacking intent.
  • Gençlerbirliği S.K. averages 13 shots and 4.2 shots on target per game, highlighting offensive threat.
  • Both teams have a moderate disciplinary record, with Başakşehir averaging 2.6 yellow cards and Gençlerbirliği S.K.
  • The head-to-head average goals stand at 2.3 over the last 10 meetings, indicating a tendency for both sides to find the net.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, supported by balanced attacking and defensive stats from both sides. Each team averages around one goal per game while conceding similarly, and both maintain a 60% BTTS rate recently. Shot data confirms active offensive play, with both teams generating multiple shots and shots on target per match. The head-to-head average of 2.3 goals further supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect , making this a strong, data-backed BTTS pick with positive value at current .

Model BTTS Chance73.3%
Strong positive
Recent BTTS Rate Both Teams60%
Strong positive
Average Shots per GameBaşakşehir 12, Gençlerbirliği S.K. 13
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.3 goals per match
Positive
Defensive Concession RatesBaşakşehir 2.2, Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1.8 goals against
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Başakşehir and Gençlerbirliği S.K. have shown balanced attacking and defensive performances, making a Both Teams to Score outcome plausible. The tactical setups suggest openness in midfield and attacking zones, while data confirms both sides create and concede chances regularly. This BTTS pick aligns well with the teams' recent form and offensive tendencies, offering a solid betting angle for this Süper Lig fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“This fixture features two teams with similar offensive profiles and defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for goals at both ends. The data-backed BTTS selection reflects the tactical openness and shot volumes seen from both sides this season.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% rate of scoring and conceding goals in recent matches.

Başakşehir averages 12 shots per game with 3 on target, showing attacking intent.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Averages 13 shots and 4.2 shots on target per game, highlighting offensive threat.

Both teams have a moderate disciplinary record, with Başakşehir averaging 2.6 yellow cards and Gençlerbirliği S.K.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.3, indicating a moderate goal-scoring tempo.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently, suggesting a trend towards open, attacking games with multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a BTTS outcome in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Başakşehir4.6
Avg corners for
Gençlerbirliği S.K.5.5
Başakşehir8.2
Avg total corners
Gençlerbirliği S.K.12.5
Başakşehir2.6
Avg yellow cards
Gençlerbirliği S.K.3
Başakşehir12
Avg shots
Gençlerbirliği S.K.15.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 53% · edge +0.1 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Both teams generate a healthy volume of shots, with Gençlerbirliği S.K. slightly edging in shots on target, indicating sustained attacking pressure. Corner averages are moderate, reflecting balanced territorial play. Disciplinary records show Başakşehir with a higher yellow card average, suggesting a more aggressive defensive approach that could influence game flow and set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Başakşehir1.2
Avg goals scored
Gençlerbirliği S.K.1
Başakşehir2.2
Avg goals conceded
Gençlerbirliği S.K.1.8
Başakşehir60%
BTTS rate
Gençlerbirliği S.K.60%
Başakşehir60%
Over 2.5 goals
Gençlerbirliği S.K.60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding at a 60% rate, with average goals per game around two to three. The head-to-head average of 2.3 goals over ten matches further supports the expectation of goals at both ends. Offensive activity and defensive lapses combine to create a fertile environment for BTTS outcomes in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Gençlerbirliği S.K. Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Gençlerbirliği S.K. to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
Başakşehir Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with implying a 57.8% chance, while the model estimates a 73.3% probability, indicating positive value. This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of goals from both sides, supported by balanced attacking stats and recent BTTS rates. The current price offers a favorable entry point without requiring caution for overpricing.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Başakşehir

LLDLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
13 Sep 2026A Amed0-5
04 Sep 2026H Galatasaray2-3
30 Aug 2026H Kasımpaşa1-1
23 Aug 2026A Trabzonspor1-2
16 Aug 2026H Kocaelispor2-0

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

LLDWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
13 Sep 2026H Kasımpaşa1-2
06 Sep 2026A Trabzonspor0-5
28 Aug 2026H Erzurumspor FK1-1
23 Aug 2026A Göztepe1-0
15 Aug 2026H Fenerbahçe2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Gençlerbirliği S.K. Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Gençlerbirliği S.K. to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Başakşehir Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Başakşehir to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Başakşehir has scored 1.2 goals per game while conceding 2.2, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities but offensive capability. Gençlerbirliği S.K. scores slightly less at 1 goal per game but concedes 1.8, showing a similar balance. Both teams maintain a 60% BTTS rate recently, underscoring a pattern of matches where both sides find the net, supporting the BTTS pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Başakşehir wins
2Draws
2Gençlerbirliği S.K. wins
11 Apr 2026Başakşehir v Gençlerbirliği S.K.3-0
07 Nov 2025Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Başakşehir2-1
07 Mar 2021Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Başakşehir0-1
08 Nov 2020Başakşehir v Gençlerbirliği S.K.2-1
31 Jan 2020Başakşehir v Gençlerbirliği S.K.3-1
01 Sep 2019Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Başakşehir1-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Gençlerbirliği S.K. to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
Başakşehir to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The ten previous meetings between Başakşehir and Gençlerbirliği S.K. have averaged 2.3 goals per game, showing a tendency for both teams to contribute to the scoreline. While not overwhelmingly high, this average supports the expectation of goals from both sides, making BTTS a reasonable forecast based on historical encounters.
Season team stats

Süper Lig

Başakşehir5
Played
Gençlerbirliği S.K.5
Başakşehir1.2
Avg goals for
Gençlerbirliği S.K.1
Başakşehir2.2
Avg goals against
Gençlerbirliği S.K.1.8
Başakşehir1
Clean sheets
Gençlerbirliği S.K.1
Best odds for this sectionGençlerbirliği S.K. Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
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Gençlerbirliği S.K. to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Başakşehir Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Başakşehir to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Season-long data reveals both teams have consistent scoring and conceding patterns, with Başakşehir averaging 1.2 goals for and 2.2 against, and Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1 goal for and 1.8 against. These figures highlight defensive fragility combined with offensive intent, aligning with a match scenario where both teams are likely to score.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Gençlerbirliği S.K.75212-4
15Başakşehir45113-5
Başakşehir sits 14th and Gençlerbirliği S.K. 12th in the Süper Lig, both seeking to climb the table. While standings indicate mid-lower table pressure, the competition context suggests both teams will push for points aggressively, likely encouraging open play and goal-scoring opportunities rather than conservative tactics.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Başakşehir Over 2.5
60%Gençlerbirliği S.K. Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.3, indicating a moderate goal-scoring tempo. Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently, suggesting a trend towards open, attacking games with multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a BTTS outcome in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.