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Çorum FK crestÇorum FK
v
Alanyaspor crestAlanyaspor

Süper Lig | Sat 19 Sep, 15:00

Çorum FK v Alanyaspor Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Çorum FK and Alanyaspor meet in a Süper Lig clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Çorum FK averages 2.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game, while Alanyaspor scores 1.2 and concedes 1 on average. Recent matches indicate a tendency for open play and goal-rich encounters, with Çorum FK hitting Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of their games. Alanyaspor's balanced approach and moderate scoring rate suggest a competitive fixture with multiple goal opportunities. Tactical setups favor offensive transitions, making goals likely from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Çorum FK has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.
  • Alanyaspor concedes an average of 1 goal per game, indicating defensive gaps.
  • Recent head-to-head match featured 5 goals, showing potential for high scoring.
  • Çorum FK averages 13.2 shots per game with 5 on target, reflecting attacking pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 65.4% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, significantly higher than the implied 48.8% from current , indicating strong value. Çorum FK's aggressive attacking style and high shot volume, combined with Alanyaspor's defensive concessions, create fertile ground for multiple goals. The recent head-to-head with 5 goals and Çorum FK's 80% Over 2.5 rate reinforce this expectation. No data limitations affect , supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Model Chance65.4%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance48.8%
Positive
Çorum FK Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals5 goals
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Çorum FK pushing forward aggressively and Alanyaspor seeking to exploit transitions. The attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a plausible outcome, supported by recent form and shot volume data. This match should provide multiple scoring chances and goals.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 2.5 Goals

“Çorum FK's high shot volume and Alanyaspor's defensive concessions set the stage for a goal-filled encounter. The statistical signals align well with an Over 2.5 Goals scenario, making this a compelling market to watch.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Çorum FK has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.

Alanyaspor concedes an average of 1 goal per game, indicating defensive gaps.

Recent head-to-head match featured 5 goals, showing potential for high scoring.

Çorum FK averages 13.2 shots per game with 5 on target, reflecting attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last five matches, Çorum FK has hit Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of games, while Alanyaspor has done so in 40%.
  • The single head-to-head meeting produced 5 goals, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters.
  • The tempo and attacking styles of both teams suggest this trend will continue, favoring Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Çorum FK4.8
Avg corners for
Alanyaspor5.8
Çorum FK10.2
Avg total corners
Alanyaspor9.6
Çorum FK1.6
Avg yellow cards
Alanyaspor1.4
Çorum FK13.2
Avg shots
Alanyaspor11.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +14.7 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Çorum FK averages 4.8 corners and 13.2 shots per game with 5 on target, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territory control. Alanyaspor counters with 5.8 corners and 11.2 shots, showing willingness to attack. Yellow card averages are moderate, suggesting a fair but competitive match with set-piece opportunities contributing to goal chances.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Çorum FK2.4
Avg goals scored
Alanyaspor1.2
Çorum FK2
Avg goals conceded
Alanyaspor1
Çorum FK60%
BTTS rate
Alanyaspor60%
Çorum FK80%
Over 2.5 goals
Alanyaspor40%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have shown a tendency for goals in recent matches, with Çorum FK scoring 2.4 goals per game and Alanyaspor 1.2. Both teams to score rates are balanced at 60%, indicating that goals are likely from both sides. The recent head-to-head match featured 5 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring game with BTTS potential.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Alanyaspor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Alanyaspor Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Çorum FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Çorum FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with around 2.05, reflecting an implied chance below the model's 65.4% estimate. This discrepancy signals value in backing goals, especially given the attacking profiles and defensive frailties of both teams. The market is not price-sensitive and supports a confident stake.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Çorum FK

WWLLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
12 Sep 2026A Samsunspor5-1
06 Sep 2026H Eyüpspor3-0
31 Aug 2026A Beşiktaş2-6
22 Aug 2026H Kasımpaşa0-1
14 Aug 2026A Galatasaray2-2

Alanyaspor

DWLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 1L
12 Sep 2026H Göztepe2-2
07 Sep 2026A Rizespor1-0
30 Aug 2026A Eyüpspor1-2
23 Aug 2026H Beşiktaş1-0
15 Aug 2026A Gaziantep FK1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 59% · edge +12.3 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Alanyaspor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Alanyaspor Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Çorum FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Çorum FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Çorum FK's recent form features 7 points with a high Over 2.5 Goals rate of 80%, reflecting matches with multiple goals. Alanyaspor has 8 points and a 40% Over 2.5 rate, indicating more mixed results but still capable of contributing to a high-scoring game. Both teams' recent matches suggest openness and goal opportunities, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Çorum FK wins
0Draws
1Alanyaspor wins
04 Dec 2025Çorum FK v Alanyaspor0-5
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Alanyaspor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Çorum FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The only recent head-to-head match between these teams featured 5 goals, a clear indicator of an open and attacking game. While the sample size is limited, this meeting supports expectations for multiple goals and aligns with both teams' offensive tendencies this season.
Season team stats

Süper Lig

Çorum FK5
Played
Alanyaspor5
Çorum FK2.4
Avg goals for
Alanyaspor1.2
Çorum FK2
Avg goals against
Alanyaspor1
Çorum FK1
Clean sheets
Alanyaspor2
Best odds for this sectionAlanyaspor to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 29% · edge +12.6 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Alanyaspor Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Çorum FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Çorum FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Season-long data shows Çorum FK scoring 2.4 goals per game while conceding 2, highlighting an aggressive but defensively vulnerable style. Alanyaspor scores 1.2 and concedes 1 per match, indicating a more balanced but still open approach. These attacking and defensive profiles align with a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Alanyaspor852211
10Çorum FK752122
Çorum FK sits 10th and Alanyaspor 8th in the Süper Lig standings, both with similar points totals. While league position is mid-table, the teams' offensive and defensive stats suggest this fixture will be contested with attacking intent rather than cautious play, making goals more probable despite the neutral table pressure.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Çorum FK Over 2.5
40%Alanyaspor Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
In the last five matches, Çorum FK has hit Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of games, while Alanyaspor has done so in 40%. The single head-to-head meeting produced 5 goals, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters. The tempo and attacking styles of both teams suggest this trend will continue, favoring Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

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