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Pianese crestPianese

Serie C - Girone B | Wed 16 Sep, 17:30

Torres v Pianese Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Torres and Pianese meet in Serie C - Girone B with Torres aiming to capitalize on their stronger start to the season. Torres have collected six points and shown a willingness to attack, while Pianese have struggled to find the net, earning just two points and failing to score so far. The home side's recent form and higher league standing suggest they will control the match tempo and create more chances, putting pressure on Pianese's defense. This fixture offers Torres a chance to solidify their mid-table position against a side yet to hit their stride offensively.

BT4Y best bet

Torres to Win

  • Torres have earned 6 points from their opening matches, Pianese only 2.
  • Pianese have yet to score this season, Torres average 1.25 goals per game.
  • Torres have a 50% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, Pianese none.
  • Torres have conceded 1.5 goals per game, indicating open play.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.5 across 4 matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Torres to win with a 65.5% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and offensive output compared to Pianese. Torres' ability to score and their mid-table standing support this . The price at 2.0 offers positive value given the implied 50% chance, making this a solid pick without price warnings. The data quality is reliable, with no limitations on team stats, reinforcing the model's in Torres' home advantage and attacking edge.

Model Chance65.5%
Strong positive
Implied Chance50%
Positive
Value Edge15.5%
Strong positive
Recent FormTorres stronger with 6 points vs Pianese's 2
Positive
Goal ScoringTorres average 1.25 goals, Pianese 0
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Torres' early season momentum and ability to find the net give them a tactical and statistical edge over Pianese, who have yet to score. This combination of form and offensive threat makes Torres the likely winner in this fixture, especially playing at home where they can impose their style.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome

“Torres have demonstrated sharper attacking intent and better form, making them the clear favorites to secure all three points against a Pianese side still searching for offensive rhythm.”

Key Data Signals

Torres to Win evidence

Torres have earned 6 points from their opening matches, Pianese only 2.

Pianese have yet to score this season, Torres average 1.25 goals per game.

Torres have a 50% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, Pianese none.

Torres have conceded 1.5 goals per game, indicating open play.

What To Watch In The Data

Torres to Win notes

  • The last four meetings averaged 2.5 goals, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • Torres' 50% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Pianese's 0%, suggesting that matches involving Torres tend to be more open and goal-rich, supporting the possibility of goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Torres1.25
Avg goals scored
Pianese0
Torres1.5
Avg goals conceded
Pianese0.75
Torres50%
BTTS rate
Pianese0%
Torres50%
Over 2.5 goals
Pianese0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 60% · edge +2.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Torres have a 50% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Pianese have none, suggesting a moderate likelihood of goals but a cautious defensive side from Pianese. The average 2.5 goals in their recent head-to-heads supports a balanced expectation for goals and possibly no BTTS given Pianese's scoreless start.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTorres to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Torres Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
The for Torres to win at around 2.0 reflect a market that underestimates their 65.5% , indicating positive value. The price is attractive given Torres' superior form and goal-scoring record, making this a favorable bet without significant price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Torres

WLWL
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
13 Sep 2026H Ostia Mare3-2
06 Sep 2026A Grosseto0-2
29 Aug 2026H Sambenedettese1-0
24 Aug 2026A Livorno1-2

Pianese

DLDL
Last 50W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 2L
12 Sep 2026H Grosseto0-0
05 Sep 2026A Guidonia Montecelio 19370-1
28 Aug 2026H Vado0-0
23 Aug 2026A Campobasso FC0-2
Market aligned with main pickTorres to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Torres Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Torres have collected 6 points with an average of 1.25 goals scored per game, showing a more effective attack than Pianese, who have yet to score and only 2 points. This form gap highlights Torres' momentum and ability to capitalize on chances, making them favorites to win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Torres wins
1Draws
2Pianese wins
17 Jan 2026Pianese v Torres1-1
06 Sep 2025Torres v Pianese0-2
16 Mar 2025Pianese v Torres2-1
02 Nov 2024Torres v Pianese3-0
Market aligned with main pickTorres to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
The head-to-head sample of four matches shows an average of 2.5 goals, reflecting a balanced but moderately open contest historically. This supports the expectation of a competitive match with chances for both sides, although Pianese's current lack of scoring form weakens their threat.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone B

Torres4
Played
Pianese4
Torres1.3
Avg goals for
Pianese0
Torres1.5
Avg goals against
Pianese0.8
Torres1
Clean sheets
Pianese2
Market aligned with main pickTorres to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Torres Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Torres' season stats show a balanced attack and defense with 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, indicating open matches. Pianese's zero goals scored and lower goals conceded suggest a defensive approach but limited offensive threat, supporting Torres' advantage in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Torres64202-1
18Pianese24022-3
Torres sit 11th with 6 points, comfortably ahead of Pianese in 18th with 2 points. While the league position reflects Torres' better start, the gap also adds pressure on Pianese to improve, potentially forcing them into riskier play that Torres can exploit at home.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Torres Over 2.5
0%Pianese Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The last four meetings averaged 2.5 goals, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Torres' 50% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Pianese's 0%, suggesting that matches involving Torres tend to be more open and goal-rich, supporting the possibility of goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.