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Tampere United crestTampere United
v
JJK crestJJK

Ykkönen | Fri 25 Sep, 17:00

Tampere United v JJK Stats

Data last updated: Thu 24 Sep 2026, 07:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Ykkönen clash features league leaders Tampere United hosting JJK, who sit eighth in the table. Tampere United have been strong at home, but JJK have shown resilience and attacking intent in recent matches. Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates, indicating an open game likely with chances at both ends. The fixture carries significance for Tampere United to maintain their lead, while JJK aim to close the gap and avoid slipping further behind. Tactical discipline and defensive solidity will be key, but the attacking styles suggest a competitive encounter with potential for goals.

BT4Y best bet

JJK or Draw

  • JJK or Draw offers strong value with a 24.7% positive edge over -implied chance
  • Both teams have high BTTS rates: Tampere United 80%, JJK 100%
  • Recent form shows Tampere United scoring 2.6 goals per game, JJK 2.8 goals per game
  • Over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of Tampere United's matches and 100% of JJK's games
  • JJK's resilience and tactical setup support a double chance away from defeat

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors JJK or Draw with a 58% chance, reflecting JJK's solid defensive and attacking form despite their lower league position. Both teams have high scoring and BTTS rates, supporting an open game where JJK can avoid defeat. The at 3.0 imply only a 33.3% chance, making the double chance a positive value bet. is strong at 78%, and no data limitations reduce certainty. This pick balances JJK's resilience with Tampere United's attacking threat, suggesting JJK can at least secure a draw or better.

Model Chance58%
Strong positive
Implied Chance33.3%
Strong positive
Value Edge24.7%
Strong positive
Confidence78%
Positive
Data QualityGood data coverage for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

JJK's tactical discipline and recent form make the double chance a sensible pick against the league leaders. Their ability to score and defend suggests they can avoid defeat, while Tampere United's attacking style could leave gaps at the back. This bet balances form and tactical context effectively.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and value insight

“JJK's resilience and attacking threat make the double chance a compelling option here, especially given the value on offer against a strong Tampere United side.”

Key Data Signals

JJK or Draw evidence

JJK or Draw offers strong value with a 24.7% positive edge over -implied chance

Both teams have high BTTS rates: Tampere United 80%, JJK 100%

Recent form shows Tampere United scoring 2.6 goals per game, JJK 2.8 goals per game

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of Tampere United's matches and 100% of JJK's games

What To Watch In The Data

JJK or Draw notes

  • Over the last five matches and five head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, with both teams frequently involved in high-scoring games.
  • This trend supports the expectation of an open game with multiple goals and attacking opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tampere United2.6
Avg goals scored
JJK2.8
Tampere United2.2
Avg goals conceded
JJK2.8
Tampere United80%
BTTS rate
JJK100%
Tampere United80%
Over 2.5 goals
JJK100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have high BTTS rates, with JJK at 100% and Tampere United at 80%, alongside strong over 2.5 goals frequencies. This suggests an open game with goals likely at both ends, supporting attacking play and defensive vulnerabilities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
JJK Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
JJK to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Tampere United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
The JJK or Draw market is priced attractively at 3.0 with a strong of 58%, indicating clear value. The imply a 33.3% chance, well below the model's assessment, making this a positive value bet without price warnings.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tampere United

LWLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
19 Sep 2026A SalPa4-6
12 Sep 2026H PKKU3-2
29 Aug 2026A OLS1-2
22 Aug 2026H Rops4-0
15 Aug 2026H TPV1-1

JJK

LLWDD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
19 Sep 2026H OLS1-3
12 Sep 2026A SalPa3-4
29 Aug 2026H KPV-j4-1
21 Aug 2026A PKKU2-2
16 Aug 2026A VJS4-4
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
JJK Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
JJK to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Tampere United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Tampere United to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Recent form shows Tampere United scoring 2.6 goals per game and JJK 2.8, with JJK earning 5 points and Tampere United 7 in their last matches. This reflects JJK's ability to compete offensively and avoid defeat, supporting the double chance selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Tampere United wins
1Draws
1JJK wins
11 Aug 2026JJK v Tampere United0-0
22 May 2026Tampere United v JJK1-0
19 Oct 2025JJK v Tampere United5-0
19 Jul 2025JJK v Tampere United1-4
02 May 2025Tampere United v JJK1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
JJK to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Tampere United to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The five previous meetings average 2.4 goals per game, indicating moderately open encounters. While the sample is limited, the history suggests neither side dominates decisively, lending support to a cautious double chance on JJK avoiding defeat.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

Tampere United25
Played
JJK25
Tampere United2.3
Avg goals for
JJK2.2
Tampere United1
Avg goals against
JJK2.1
Tampere United15
Clean sheets
JJK3
Best odds for this sectionJJK Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Load more odds for this section
JJK to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Tampere United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Tampere United to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Season-long stats reveal Tampere United as league leaders with 47 points and JJK in eighth with 31 points. Both teams have conceded and scored multiple goals per game, indicating open matches and supporting the likelihood of a competitive contest with goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Tampere United5025155532
8JJK312587102
Tampere United's top position adds pressure to maintain their lead, while JJK's mid-table standing motivates them to secure points and avoid slipping further. This dynamic suggests JJK will play cautiously but with attacking intent to secure at least a draw.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Tampere United Over 2.5
100%JJK Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches and five head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, with both teams frequently involved in high-scoring games. This trend supports the expectation of an open game with multiple goals and attacking opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.