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OLS crestOLS
v
PKKU crestPKKU

Ykkönen | Sat 26 Sep, 12:30

OLS v PKKU Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Ykkönen clash features OLS and PKKU, both sitting level on 38 points and closely matched in the league standings. Recent form data shows both teams have struggled to convert chances into wins, with OLS and PKKU each collecting 8 points from their last five matches. The tactical battle is likely to be tight, with PKKU's slightly better defensive record suggesting they may be more resilient. The fixture carries significance for both sides as they aim to consolidate their mid-table positions and push for higher placement in the closing stages of the season.

BT4Y best bet

PKKU or Draw

  • PKKU and OLS are tied on 38 points, indicating a balanced contest.
  • PKKU concedes fewer goals on average (1.6) compared to OLS (2.0), showing defensive solidity.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting open games.
  • PKKU or Draw offers a strong of 73.4%, with positive value at 1.83 .
  • Recent form shows both teams scoring around 2 goals per match, supporting a competitive encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors PKKU or Draw with a 73.4% chance, reflecting PKKU's stronger defensive record and consistent form. PKKU concedes fewer goals per game (1.6) than OLS (2.0), which supports their ability to avoid defeat. Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates, but PKKU's resilience tilts the probability towards avoiding loss. The at 1.83 offer positive value with an 18.8% edge, making this a statistically sound selection. No data quality concerns reduce in this pick.

Model Chance73.4%
Strong positive
Defensive RecordPKKU concedes 1.6 goals per game vs OLS's 2.0
Positive
Recent FormBoth teams earned 8 points in last 5 matches
Neutral
Value Edge18.8% positive value at 1.83 odds
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateBoth teams at 80%, indicating open games
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

PKKU or Draw is a solid tactical and statistical choice given PKKU's tighter defense and equal recent form compared to OLS. PKKU's ability to limit goals conceded makes avoiding defeat likely, while OLS's attacking struggles reduce their chances of a decisive win. This bet balances the competitive nature of the fixture with PKKU's defensive edge.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and form consistency

“PKKU's defensive discipline and consistent point accumulation make them a reliable pick to avoid defeat here, especially against a similarly matched OLS side that has struggled to convert chances into wins.”

Key Data Signals

PKKU or Draw evidence

PKKU and OLS are tied on 38 points, indicating a balanced contest.

PKKU concedes fewer goals on average (1.6) compared to OLS (2.0), showing defensive solidity.

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting open games.

PKKU or Draw offers a strong of 73.4%, with positive value at 1.83 .

What To Watch In The Data

PKKU or Draw notes

  • Over the last six head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.17, aligning with the high over 2.5 goals rates for both teams this season.
  • This trend indicates a moderately open tempo with opportunities for goals, supporting the likelihood of an engaging match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

OLS2
Avg goals scored
PKKU2.2
OLS2
Avg goals conceded
PKKU1.6
OLS100%
BTTS rate
PKKU80%
OLS80%
Over 2.5 goals
PKKU80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 75% · edge +0.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 83%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with OLS scoring 2 and PKKU 2.2 goals per game on average. BTTS rates are also high, especially for OLS at 100%, indicating open games with goals at both ends are common in their fixtures.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionPKKU Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +11.1 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
PKKU to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
OLS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
OLS to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The for PKKU or Draw at 1.83 reflect a market underestimating PKKU's defensive strengths and recent form consistency. The model's 73.4% chance indicates positive value, suggesting the price is attractive and worth backing without major caution.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

OLS

WDWLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
19 Sep 2026A JJK3-1
12 Sep 2026A Rops1-1
29 Aug 2026H Tampere United2-1
22 Aug 2026A SalPa1-4
15 Aug 2026H Rops3-3

PKKU

WLWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
19 Sep 2026H Rops3-1
12 Sep 2026A Tampere United2-3
29 Aug 2026A TPV2-0
21 Aug 2026H JJK2-2
16 Aug 2026A KuPS Akatemia2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
PKKU Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
PKKU to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
OLS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
OLS to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent form shows both OLS and PKKU earning 8 points in their last five matches, with similar goal-scoring outputs. PKKU's slightly better defensive record and ability to avoid defeat in recent fixtures support the double chance selection, reflecting steady momentum.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3OLS wins
2Draws
1PKKU wins
18 Jul 2026PKKU v OLS1-1
25 Apr 2026OLS v PKKU2-0
02 Aug 2025PKKU v OLS1-1
18 May 2025OLS v PKKU3-1
27 Jul 2024PKKU v OLS2-0
19 May 2024OLS v PKKU1-0
Best odds for this sectionPKKU to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +14.2 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
OLS to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The six previous meetings between OLS and PKKU have averaged 2.17 goals per game, suggesting competitive encounters with moderate scoring. While the sample is limited, this supports the expectation of a balanced match where PKKU's defensive resilience could be decisive in avoiding defeat.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

OLS24
Played
PKKU24
OLS2
Avg goals for
PKKU1.9
OLS1.5
Avg goals against
PKKU1.4
OLS4
Clean sheets
PKKU7
Best odds for this sectionPKKU Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +11.1 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
PKKU to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
OLS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
OLS to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season-long stats reveal PKKU concedes fewer goals per game (1.6) than OLS (2.0), indicating stronger defensive capabilities. Both teams have similar scoring rates, but PKKU's defensive edge is critical in a tight contest, justifying the selection to avoid defeat.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4PKKU3824108611
5OLS3824108610
Both teams are tied on 38 points and closely ranked (PKKU 4th, OLS 5th), highlighting a balanced competition. This parity suggests a cautious approach from both sides, with PKKU's slightly better defensive record providing a marginal advantage in avoiding defeat.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%OLS Over 2.5
80%PKKU Over 2.5
2.17H2H avg goals
Over the last six head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.17, aligning with the high over 2.5 goals rates for both teams this season. This trend indicates a moderately open tempo with opportunities for goals, supporting the likelihood of an engaging match.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.