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St. Truiden crestSt. Truiden
v
KVC Westerlo crestKVC Westerlo

Jupiler Pro League | Sun 20 Sep, 15:00

St. Truiden v KVC Westerlo Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Truiden and KVC Westerlo meet in a Jupiler Pro League clash where both sides have shown attacking intent early in the season. Truiden averages 2.2 goals scored per game with a high Over 2.5 Goals rate of 80%, while KVC Westerlo boasts an even more potent offense, scoring 2.4 goals per match and hitting Over 2.5 Goals in every game so far. Both teams have conceded over 1.8 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities that could lead to an open, high-scoring encounter. Recent form data indicates both sides are capable of contributing to a lively goal tally in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Truiden scores 2.2 goals per game with 80% Over 2.5 rate
  • KVC Westerlo scores 2.4 goals per game and has 100% Over 2.5 rate
  • Both teams concede nearly 2 goals per game, indicating defensive openness
  • Average 3.3 goals in last 10 head-to-head matches supports high scoring

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model sees a 58% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, supported by both teams' strong attacking output and defensive lapses. Truiden and KVC Westerlo have combined to produce high-scoring matches recently, with an average of 3.3 goals in their last ten meetings. Both sides have high shot volumes and solid shot-on-target rates, indicating sustained offensive pressure. The current at 2.1 offer positive value given the model's of 69%. No data limitations reduce , making this a compelling selection for a goal-heavy game.

Model Chance58%
Strong positive
Confidence Level69%
Strong positive
Value Edge10.4%
Strong positive
Recent H2H Goals3.3 average goals
Positive
Shot Volume14.4 and 15 shots per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both sides pushing forward aggressively. Truiden and KVC Westerlo have shown attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical choice. The high average goals in their head-to-head and current form underline the likelihood of multiple goals in this encounter.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive openness

“This fixture features two teams with potent offenses but leaky defenses, setting the stage for a goal-rich contest. Their recent matches and mutual encounters consistently produce high goal counts, making Over 3.5 Goals a well-supported tactical expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Truiden scores 2.2 goals per game with 80% Over 2.5 rate

KVC Westerlo scores 2.4 goals per game and has 100% Over 2.5 rate

Both teams concede nearly 2 goals per game, indicating defensive openness

Average 3.3 goals in last 10 head-to-head matches supports high scoring

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, an average of 3.3 goals per game has been recorded, indicating a historical trend towards high-scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent team form, suggests a fast tempo and open game conducive to Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 Goals outcomes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

St. Truiden2.2
Avg goals scored
KVC Westerlo2.4
St. Truiden1.8
Avg goals conceded
KVC Westerlo2.2
St. Truiden40%
BTTS rate
KVC Westerlo60%
St. Truiden80%
Over 2.5 goals
KVC Westerlo100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Both teams have strong attacking records, with St. Truiden scoring 2.2 and KVC Westerlo 2.4 goals per game. BTTS rates are moderate to high, indicating both sides find the net regularly. Their combined defensive concessions near two goals per game further increase the chance of multiple goals and BTTS occurrences.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
KVC Westerlo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
KVC Westerlo to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
St. Truiden Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
St. Truiden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.1, reflecting a 47.6% implied chance versus the model's 58% probability. This positive suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring match, supported by both teams' offensive stats and recent goal trends.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

St. Truiden4.6
Avg corners for
KVC Westerlo3.6
St. Truiden9.2
Avg total corners
KVC Westerlo10.2
St. Truiden2
Avg yellow cards
KVC Westerlo1.4
St. Truiden14.4
Avg shots
KVC Westerlo15.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams generate high shot volumes, averaging over 14 shots per game with around 4.6 shots on target, indicating sustained offensive pressure. Truiden averages more corners, suggesting territorial advantage at times. Card counts are moderate, implying a balanced physical contest without excessive fouling disrupting flow.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

St. Truiden

LWLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
12 Sep 2026A SK Beveren0-2
05 Sep 2026H RAAL La Louvière4-0
02 Sep 2026H Union St. Gilloise0-3
30 Aug 2026A Antwerp4-1
14 Aug 2026A Cercle Brugge3-3

KVC Westerlo

WWDLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
12 Sep 2026H Standard Liege4-2
05 Sep 2026A KV Mechelen4-0
30 Aug 2026H Zulte Waregem2-2
23 Aug 2026A Lommel United0-4
15 Aug 2026A Genk2-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
KVC Westerlo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
KVC Westerlo to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
St. Truiden Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
St. Truiden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Recent form data shows both teams have accumulated 7 points with high scoring rates and Over 2.5 Goals occurrence—80% for St. Truiden and 100% for KVC Westerlo. This trend underlines their offensive capabilities and propensity for matches with multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6St. Truiden wins
3Draws
1KVC Westerlo wins
06 Feb 2026KVC Westerlo v St. Truiden0-4
14 Sep 2025St. Truiden v KVC Westerlo0-3
05 Jul 2025KVC Westerlo v St. Truiden1-3
11 Jan 2025KVC Westerlo v St. Truiden1-2
26 Oct 2024St. Truiden v KVC Westerlo2-0
03 May 2024KVC Westerlo v St. Truiden2-2
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
KVC Westerlo to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
St. Truiden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The ten previous meetings between St. Truiden and KVC Westerlo have averaged 3.3 goals per match, reflecting a pattern of open, attacking games. This historical data supports the expectation of multiple goals in the upcoming fixture, making the Over 3.5 Goals bet consistent with past encounters.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden6
Played
KVC Westerlo6
St. Truiden2
Avg goals for
KVC Westerlo2.2
St. Truiden1.7
Avg goals against
KVC Westerlo2.7
St. Truiden1
Clean sheets
KVC Westerlo1
Best odds for this sectionKVC Westerlo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
KVC Westerlo to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
St. Truiden Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
St. Truiden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Season-long statistics highlight both teams' attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. Truiden scores 2.2 goals but concedes 1.8, while KVC Westerlo scores 2.4 and concedes 2.2 per game. These figures support expectations of a high-scoring match with multiple goal-scoring chances for both sides.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10St. Truiden862222
13KVC Westerlo76213-3
Truiden sits 10th and KVC Westerlo 13th in the league, both with similar points totals. The mid-table positioning suggests neither side can afford to play conservatively, likely encouraging open play and attacking intent to climb the standings, which aligns with the Over 3.5 Goals forecast.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%St. Truiden Over 2.5
100%KVC Westerlo Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, an average of 3.3 goals per game has been recorded, indicating a historical trend towards high-scoring encounters. This trend, combined with recent team form, suggests a fast tempo and open game conducive to Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 Goals outcomes.

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Fixture links

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