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OH Leuven crestOH Leuven
v
RAAL La Louvière crestRAAL La Louvière

Jupiler Pro League | Sat 19 Sep, 15:00

OH Leuven v RAAL La Louvière Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Jupiler Pro League clash features RAAL La Louvière visiting OH Leuven, with La Louvière showing stronger recent form and attacking output. La Louvière has collected four points recently, scoring 1.2 goals per game compared to Leuven's 0.4, while Leuven struggles near the bottom of the table. La Louvière's more effective offense and slightly better defensive resilience set up an intriguing contest where the visitors could capitalize on Leuven's difficulties to secure a valuable win.

BT4Y best bet

RAAL La Louvière to Win

  • RAAL La Louvière has a 59.6% to win, with strong value at 3.4 .
  • La Louvière averages 1.2 goals per game, outperforming Leuven's 0.4 goals per game.
  • La Louvière's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, indicating attacking potency.
  • Ubandoma leads La Louvière with 5 goals and 2.1 shots on target per 90 minutes.
  • Leuven ranks 17th with just 1 point, showing defensive frailties with 2 goals conceded per game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors RAAL La Louvière to win due to their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and efficient attacking players like M. Ubandoma who consistently threaten goal. The offer significant value given the implied chance is well below the model's 59.6% win probability. This suggests the market underestimates La Louvière's chances, making the away win an attractive selection. Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities also support a dynamic game where La Louvière's offensive edge could decide the outcome.

Model Win Probability59.6%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance29.4%
Strong positive
Recent Goals For (La Louvière)1.2 per game
Positive
Key Player M. Ubandoma Goals5 goals, 2.1 SOT/90
Strong positive
OH Leuven Defensive Record2 goals conceded per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

RAAL La Louvière's recent attacking form and key player performances provide a tactical edge over OH Leuven, who have struggled defensively and offensively. The visitors' ability to create and convert chances, especially through M. Ubandoma, aligns with their stronger recent results, making their win a logical expectation for this fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“RAAL La Louvière's attacking consistency and clinical finishing, led by Ubandoma, give them a clear advantage against a struggling Leuven defense, making the away win a compelling tactical and statistical pick.”

Key Data Signals

RAAL La Louvière to Win evidence

RAAL La Louvière has a 59.6% to win, with strong value at 3.4 .

La Louvière averages 1.2 goals per game, outperforming Leuven's 0.4 goals per game.

La Louvière's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, indicating attacking potency.

Ubandoma leads La Louvière with 5 goals and 2.1 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

RAAL La Louvière to Win notes

  • In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored was 1.5, but recent form and over 2.5 goals rates suggest this fixture may see more attacking intent and higher tempo.
  • La Louvière's 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent games points to a trend of open matches with multiple scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

OH Leuven0.4
Avg goals scored
RAAL La Louvière1.2
OH Leuven2
Avg goals conceded
RAAL La Louvière2
OH Leuven40%
BTTS rate
RAAL La Louvière40%
OH Leuven60%
Over 2.5 goals
RAAL La Louvière80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 88% vs implied 78% · edge +9.9 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 2 goals per game each, while La Louvière boasts an 80% over 2.5 goals rate. This suggests a match likely to feature multiple goals, with both sides capable of scoring but also susceptible to conceding, supporting a dynamic goals market.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRAAL La Louvière to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
RAAL La Louvière Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The RAAL La Louvière to Win market shows strong value as the model estimates a 59.6% chance of victory, while the imply only 29.4%. This significant discrepancy indicates the market underestimates La Louvière's chances, making the price attractive for bettors seeking value in an away win.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

OH Leuven4
Avg corners for
RAAL La Louvière0.67
OH Leuven13
Avg total corners
RAAL La Louvière5.67
OH Leuven1.5
Avg yellow cards
RAAL La Louvière2.33
OH Leuven15
Avg shots
RAAL La Louvière14.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
OH Leuven averages more corners (3.6) than La Louvière (2.6), indicating some territorial pressure, but La Louvière compensates with higher shots on target (4.4 vs 2.2). Both teams have similar card averages, suggesting a moderately physical contest with balanced discipline.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

OH Leuven

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 5L
12 Sep 2026H Cercle Brugge1-1
06 Sep 2026A SK Beveren0-3
03 Sep 2026A Gent0-1
29 Aug 2026H Standard Liege1-2
15 Aug 2026H Club Brugge KV0-3

RAAL La Louvière

WLDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 4L
13 Sep 2026H Kortrijk3-0
05 Sep 2026A St. Truiden0-4
29 Aug 2026H KV Mechelen2-2
21 Aug 2026A Standard Liege0-2
16 Aug 2026H Gent1-2
Market aligned with main pickRAAL La Louvière to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
RAAL La Louvière Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
RAAL La Louvière's recent form is notably better, having earned 4 points compared to OH Leuven's single point. La Louvière's ability to score more frequently and maintain defensive steadiness contrasts with Leuven's struggles, reinforcing the away side's momentum and heading into this match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0OH Leuven wins
0Draws
0RAAL La Louvière wins
Market aligned with main pickRAAL La Louvière to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The limited head-to-head sample of two matches shows an average of 1.5 goals, indicating relatively low-scoring encounters historically. However, this small sample size offers limited insight, and current form and attacking trends are more relevant for predicting this match's outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Jupiler Pro League

OH Leuven6
Played
RAAL La Louvière6
OH Leuven0.5
Avg goals for
RAAL La Louvière1.2
OH Leuven2.2
Avg goals against
RAAL La Louvière2
OH Leuven0
Clean sheets
RAAL La Louvière1
Market aligned with main pickRAAL La Louvière to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
RAAL La Louvière Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Throughout the season, RAAL La Louvière has demonstrated a more effective attack, averaging 1.2 goals per game, while OH Leuven's offense has been limited to 0.4 goals per game. Both teams concede around 2 goals per game, but La Louvière's superior scoring output supports their likelihood to secure a win.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14RAAL La Louvière46114-5
17OH Leuven16015-10
OH Leuven sits near the bottom of the table in 17th place with just 1 point, reflecting their struggles this season. RAAL La Louvière is slightly better positioned at 14th with 4 points, indicating less pressure and more stability, which could influence the match dynamics in favor of the visitors.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%OH Leuven Over 2.5
80%RAAL La Louvière Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored was 1.5, but recent form and over 2.5 goals rates suggest this fixture may see more attacking intent and higher tempo. La Louvière's 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent games points to a trend of open matches with multiple scoring opportunities.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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