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Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City
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Philadelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union

Major League Soccer | Sun 20 Sep, 01:30

Sporting Kansas City v Philadelphia Union Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Philadelphia Union visit Sporting Kansas City in a Major League Soccer clash where form and quality suggest an away win. Philadelphia Union sit comfortably in 7th place with 33 points, showing strong attacking and defensive balance, while Sporting Kansas City struggle near the bottom with 18 points. Philadelphia have been clinical in front of goal, averaging over 3 goals per game recently, and boast a solid defensive record conceding just 0.4 goals on average. Sporting Kansas City's defensive frailties and inconsistent form add to the challenge they face against a confident Philadelphia side.

BT4Y best bet

Philadelphia Union to Win

  • Philadelphia Union have a 70% to win, with positive value at 1.6 .
  • Philadelphia average 3.2 goals scored and concede only 0.4 per game, indicating strong overall form.
  • Sporting Kansas City concede 2.2 goals per game and have only 4 points from recent matches.
  • Philadelphia's key attackers like M. Sullivan show high goal threat and shot volume.
  • H2H meetings average 2.6 goals, supporting an open game with scoring opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Philadelphia Union to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, stronger defense, and higher goal output compared to Sporting Kansas City. Philadelphia's efficient attack and solid defensive record underpin this , while Sporting Kansas City's struggles at the back and low points tally weaken their position. The offer positive value, aligning well with the football context of Philadelphia's consistency and tactical edge. No significant data limitations affect this assessment.

Model Chance70%
Strong positive
Implied Odds Chance62.5%
Positive
Value Edge7.5%
Strong positive
Recent FormPhiladelphia 13 points vs Sporting 4 points
Strong positive
Defensive RecordsPhiladelphia concede 0.4 vs Sporting concede 2.2
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Philadelphia Union's superior form and defensive solidity make them the logical choice to win this fixture. Their ability to control games and convert chances contrasts with Sporting Kansas City's defensive vulnerabilities and poor recent results, suggesting Philadelphia will secure the three points.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form advantage

“Philadelphia Union's balanced attack and disciplined defense provide a clear tactical advantage over Sporting Kansas City, who have struggled to contain opponents and maintain consistency this season.”

Key Data Signals

Philadelphia Union to Win evidence

Philadelphia Union have a 70% to win, with positive value at 1.6 .

Philadelphia average 3.2 goals scored and concede only 0.4 per game, indicating strong overall form.

Sporting Kansas City concede 2.2 goals per game and have only 4 points from recent matches.

Philadelphia's key attackers like M. Sullivan show high goal threat and shot volume.

What To Watch In The Data

Philadelphia Union to Win notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, suggesting a moderately open game with scoring opportunities.
  • This trend supports the likelihood of goals in this fixture, driven by Philadelphia's attacking efficiency and Sporting Kansas City's defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sporting Kansas City1.6
Avg goals scored
Philadelphia Union3.2
Sporting Kansas City2.2
Avg goals conceded
Philadelphia Union0.4
Sporting Kansas City80%
BTTS rate
Philadelphia Union40%
Sporting Kansas City80%
Over 2.5 goals
Philadelphia Union60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Recent data shows Philadelphia Union average 3.2 goals per game while Sporting Kansas City concede 2.2, indicating a high likelihood of goals. However, Philadelphia's lower BTTS rate (40%) compared to Sporting's 80% suggests Philadelphia may control the game and limit Sporting's scoring chances, favoring a result with goals but possibly not both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 63% · edge +7.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The of 1.6 for Philadelphia Union to win reflect a market that recognizes their strong form and defensive record. The model's 70% chance indicates positive value, suggesting the price is fair and supported by recent performances and statistical superiority.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sporting Kansas City5.8
Avg corners for
Philadelphia Union6
Sporting Kansas City10.6
Avg total corners
Philadelphia Union10.6
Sporting Kansas City1.8
Avg yellow cards
Philadelphia Union2
Sporting Kansas City15.8
Avg shots
Philadelphia Union17.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 55% · edge +6.5 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams generate similar corner counts, with Philadelphia averaging 6 and Sporting 5.8 per game, reflecting balanced territorial play. Philadelphia's slightly higher shots on target (5.8 vs 4.4) and Sporting's higher fouling rate (yellow cards 1.8 vs 2) suggest Philadelphia apply more accurate pressure while Sporting may concede set-piece opportunities through fouls.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sporting Kansas City

WLLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
13 Sep 2026H Los Angeles FC3-1
06 Sep 2026A FC Dallas3-4
30 Aug 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps0-3
24 Aug 2026A Atlanta United FC1-2
20 Aug 2026H St. Louis City1-1

Philadelphia Union

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 2D 0L
14 Sep 2026A San Diego5-0
10 Sep 2026H FC Cincinnati5-0
06 Sep 2026H CF Montreal2-0
30 Aug 2026A New York Red Bulls3-1
23 Aug 2026A Austin1-1
Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 63% · edge +7.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Philadelphia Union have accumulated 13 points recently, showcasing strong momentum and consistent performances. Sporting Kansas City's 4 points in the same period highlight their struggles to secure results. This form disparity underlines Philadelphia's and ability to capitalize on opportunities in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Sporting Kansas City wins
4Draws
4Philadelphia Union wins
03 Mar 2024Sporting Kansas City v Philadelphia Union1-1
02 Apr 2023Philadelphia Union v Sporting Kansas City0-0
31 Jul 2020Philadelphia Union v Sporting Kansas City3-1
10 Mar 2019Sporting Kansas City v Philadelphia Union2-0
23 Sep 2018Philadelphia Union v Sporting Kansas City2-0
07 Jul 2017Sporting Kansas City v Philadelphia Union1-1
Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 63% · edge +7.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 2.6 goals per game, indicating a history of moderately high-scoring encounters. While this supports the potential for goals, the sample does not strongly favor either side, making current form and team quality more decisive factors.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City24
Played
Philadelphia Union25
Sporting Kansas City1.1
Avg goals for
Philadelphia Union1.8
Sporting Kansas City2.5
Avg goals against
Philadelphia Union1.6
Sporting Kansas City0
Clean sheets
Philadelphia Union6
Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 63% · edge +7.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Philadelphia Union's season stats reveal a potent attack averaging over 3 goals per game and a stingy defense conceding just 0.4 goals, indicating a well-balanced team. Sporting Kansas City's higher goals conceded and lower scoring rate reflect defensive weaknesses and offensive inefficiency, reinforcing Philadelphia's advantage.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
15Sporting Kansas City18245316-33
7Philadelphia Union332596107
Philadelphia Union's 7th place and 33 points position them comfortably in the playoff zone, reflecting consistent season-long performance. Sporting Kansas City's 15th place and 18 points show they are under pressure to improve results, adding psychological and tactical urgency to the match dynamics.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Sporting Kansas City Over 2.5
60%Philadelphia Union Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, suggesting a moderately open game with scoring opportunities. This trend supports the likelihood of goals in this fixture, driven by Philadelphia's attacking efficiency and Sporting Kansas City's defensive vulnerabilities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.