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San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose Earthquakes
v
Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FC

Major League Soccer | Sun 20 Sep, 00:30

San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FC Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

San Jose Earthquakes face Los Angeles FC in Major League Soccer on Sun 20 Sep, 00:30. Yet football rarely follows the script written by league tables. LA Galaxy match this with a 14-game away scoring streak but also concede frequently, making a high-scoring game likely. The issue is what happens when possession is lost.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2

  • At 17/20, Over 2 implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 53%.
  • San Jose's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by their strong attack and persistent defensive lapses.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for San Jose Earthquakes and 40% for Los Angeles FC, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • San Jose Earthquakes are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Los Angeles FC at 1.2.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for San Jose Earthquakes and 60% for Los Angeles FC show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 53% for Over 2 sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for San Jose Earthquakes and 40% for Los Angeles FC, so the goals angle is not just a price call. San Jose's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by their strong attack and persistent defensive lapses.

Model chance vs price53% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for San Jose Earthquakes.Visible data support
Positive
San Jose Earthquakes are carrying more of the scoring load.Visible data support
Positive
San Jose's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because san Jose's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by their strong attack and persistent defensive lapses. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for San Jose Earthquakes and 40% for Los Angeles FC, so the goals angle is not just a price call. The Galaxy's situation is different but equally tense.

Main risk

The Galaxy's situation is different but equally tense.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

San Jose's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by their strong attack and persistent defensive.

The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for San Jose Earthquakes and 40% for Los Angeles FC, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

San Jose Earthquakes are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Los Angeles FC at 1.2.

BTTS rates of 60% for San Jose Earthquakes and 60% for Los Angeles FC show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

San Jose Earthquakes3.6
Avg corners for
Los Angeles FC10
San Jose Earthquakes7.8
Avg total corners
Los Angeles FC13.8
San Jose Earthquakes2.6
Avg yellow cards
Los Angeles FC1.2
San Jose Earthquakes10.6
Avg shots
Los Angeles FC21.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Major League Soccer analysisfull betting preview for San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FCcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

San Jose Earthquakes1.2
Avg goals scored
Los Angeles FC1.2
San Jose Earthquakes1.6
Avg goals conceded
Los Angeles FC1.2
San Jose Earthquakes60%
BTTS rate
Los Angeles FC60%
San Jose Earthquakes40%
Over 2.5 goals
Los Angeles FC40%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 67% · edge -13.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 35%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for San Jose Earthquakes and 40% for Los Angeles FC, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 67% · edge -13.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
San Jose Earthquakes Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 59%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
San Jose Earthquakes to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Over 2.5 Goals is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

San Jose Earthquakes

WWDDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
13 Sep 2026H Houston Dynamo1-0
10 Sep 2026A San Diego3-2
06 Sep 2026A Austin1-1
30 Aug 2026A Houston Dynamo0-0
23 Aug 2026H Minnesota United FC1-5

Los Angeles FC

LWDDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
13 Sep 2026A Sporting Kansas City1-3
10 Sep 2026H New York Red Bulls2-0
06 Sep 2026A Real Salt Lake2-2
30 Aug 2026A DC United0-0
23 Aug 2026H Portland Timbers1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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San Jose Earthquakes Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 59%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
San Jose Earthquakes to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Los Angeles FC to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2San Jose Earthquakes wins
2Draws
6Los Angeles FC wins
20 Apr 2026Los Angeles FC v San Jose Earthquakes1-4
14 Sep 2025San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FC2-4
13 Apr 2025Los Angeles FC v San Jose Earthquakes2-1
25 Jan 2025Los Angeles FC v San Jose Earthquakes1-1
20 Oct 2024Los Angeles FC v San Jose Earthquakes3-1
14 Aug 2024Los Angeles FC v San Jose Earthquakes4-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 67% · edge -13.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
San Jose Earthquakes to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Los Angeles FC to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes25
Played
Los Angeles FC26
San Jose Earthquakes1.8
Avg goals for
Los Angeles FC1.6
San Jose Earthquakes1.4
Avg goals against
Los Angeles FC1
San Jose Earthquakes7
Clean sheets
Los Angeles FC13
Best odds for this sectionSan Jose Earthquakes Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 48% · edge +11.1 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
San Jose Earthquakes to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Los Angeles FC to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Season data supports San Jose Earthquakes Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4San Jose Earthquakes412512588
6Los Angeles FC4026117814
San Jose Earthquakes sit in position 4, while Los Angeles FC sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2 assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%San Jose Earthquakes Over 2.5
40%Los Angeles FC Over 2.5
4.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: San Jose Earthquakes sit at 40% and Los Angeles FC sit at 40% with the H2H average at 4.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FC prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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