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New England Revolution crestNew England Revolution
v
Orlando City SC crestOrlando City SC

Major League Soccer | Sun 20 Sep, 00:30

New England Revolution v Orlando City SC Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

New England Revolution face Orlando City SC in Major League Soccer on Sun 20 Sep, 00:30. New England Revolution come in with 10 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Orlando City SC have 13 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Orlando City SC to Win

  • At 3.6, Orlando City SC to Win implies roughly 28%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Orlando City SC have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for New England Revolution.
  • New England Revolution have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Orlando City SC to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • New England Revolution sit 3 in the table, while Orlando City SC sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Orlando City SC to Win sits against roughly 28% implied by the current price. Orlando City SC have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for New England Revolution.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 28% implied
Strong positive
Orlando City SC have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
New England Revolution have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Orlando City SC Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Orlando City SC have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for New England Revolution. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Orlando City SC to Win evidence

Orlando City SC have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for New England Revolution.

New England Revolution have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Orlando City SC Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

New England Revolution sit 3 in the table, while Orlando City SC sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Orlando City SC to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    New England Revolution3.6
    Avg corners for
    Orlando City SC4.2
    New England Revolution11.4
    Avg total corners
    Orlando City SC9.4
    New England Revolution1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Orlando City SC2.2
    New England Revolution14
    Avg shots
    Orlando City SC11.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 64%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Major League Soccer hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    New England Revolution1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Orlando City SC2.4
    New England Revolution1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Orlando City SC1.2
    New England Revolution100%
    BTTS rate
    Orlando City SC60%
    New England Revolution80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Orlando City SC80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 71% · edge +6.3 pts
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
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    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for New England Revolution and 80% for Orlando City SC, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickOrlando City SC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Orlando City SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 64%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Orlando City SC to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    New England Revolution

    WWLWD
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 3L
    13 Sep 2026A Chicago Fire2-1
    10 Sep 2026A New York City FC2-1
    06 Sep 2026A Los Angeles Galaxy1-2
    30 Aug 2026A Columbus Crew3-1
    23 Aug 2026H New York City FC1-1

    Orlando City SC

    WWWDW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    13 Sep 2026H Toronto FC3-0
    10 Sep 2026A Atlanta United FC3-2
    06 Sep 2026H San Diego1-0
    30 Aug 2026A Minnesota United FC3-3
    23 Aug 2026H Real Salt Lake2-1
    Market aligned with main pickOrlando City SC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
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    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Orlando City SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3New England Revolution wins
    1Draws
    6Orlando City SC wins
    30 Apr 2026New England Revolution v Orlando City SC3-4
    20 Jul 2025New England Revolution v Orlando City SC1-2
    11 May 2025Orlando City SC v New England Revolution3-3
    15 Sep 2024Orlando City SC v New England Revolution3-0
    14 Jul 2024New England Revolution v Orlando City SC1-3
    11 Feb 2024Orlando City SC v New England Revolution3-1
    Market aligned with main pickOrlando City SC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Orlando City SC to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    New England Revolution25
    Played
    Orlando City SC25
    New England Revolution1.6
    Avg goals for
    Orlando City SC1.8
    New England Revolution1.2
    Avg goals against
    Orlando City SC2.2
    New England Revolution5
    Clean sheets
    Orlando City SC4
    Market aligned with main pickOrlando City SC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Orlando City SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Season data supports Orlando City SC to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3New England Revolution4325134810
    6Orlando City SC342510411-12
    New England Revolution sit in position 3, while Orlando City SC sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Orlando City SC to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%New England Revolution Over 2.5
    80%Orlando City SC Over 2.5
    4.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: New England Revolution sit at 80% and Orlando City SC sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

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