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DC United crestDC United
v
Charlotte crestCharlotte

Major League Soccer | Sun 20 Sep, 00:30

DC United v Charlotte Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

DC United face Charlotte in Major League Soccer on Sun 20 Sep, 00:30. DC United come in with 5 recent points and 0.6 goals per match, while Charlotte have 11 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Charlotte to Win

  • At 2.25, Charlotte to Win implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • Charlotte have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for DC United.
  • Charlotte have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Charlotte to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • DC United sit 11 in the table, while Charlotte sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Charlotte to Win sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. Charlotte have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for DC United.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Strong positive
Charlotte have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points.Visible data support
Positive
Charlotte have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Charlotte Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Charlotte have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for DC United. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Charlotte to Win evidence

Charlotte have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for DC United.

Charlotte have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Charlotte Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

DC United sit 11 in the table, while Charlotte sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Charlotte to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    DC United0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Charlotte2
    DC United1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Charlotte1
    DC United40%
    BTTS rate
    Charlotte60%
    DC United60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Charlotte60%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 86% · edge -5.9 pts
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 42%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for DC United and 60% for Charlotte, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Charlotte Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 72%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Charlotte to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    DC United5
    Avg corners for
    Charlotte5
    DC United11
    Avg total corners
    Charlotte14.8
    DC United2
    Avg yellow cards
    Charlotte2
    DC United12
    Avg shots
    Charlotte10.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 60% · edge +9.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 57%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    DC United

    DWDLL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 6D 2L
    13 Sep 2026H Atlanta United FC0-0
    10 Sep 2026H Columbus Crew2-1
    30 Aug 2026H Los Angeles FC0-0
    23 Aug 2026A Charlotte1-3
    20 Aug 2026H New England Revolution0-3

    Charlotte

    DWDWW
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 4D 1L
    13 Sep 2026A FC Cincinnati3-3
    10 Sep 2026A CF Montreal2-1
    06 Sep 2026H Houston Dynamo0-0
    30 Aug 2026A Atlanta United FC2-0
    23 Aug 2026H DC United3-1
    Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Charlotte Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 72%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1DC United wins
    2Draws
    7Charlotte wins
    23 Aug 2026Charlotte v DC United3-1
    04 Oct 2025DC United v Charlotte0-1
    17 Jul 2025Charlotte v DC United2-1
    22 May 2025DC United v Charlotte2-2
    20 Oct 2024DC United v Charlotte0-3
    16 Jun 2024Charlotte v DC United1-0
    Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Charlotte to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    DC United24
    Played
    Charlotte25
    DC United1.3
    Avg goals for
    Charlotte1.8
    DC United1.5
    Avg goals against
    Charlotte1.4
    DC United6
    Clean sheets
    Charlotte5
    Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Charlotte Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 72%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Season data supports Charlotte to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4Charlotte402511779
    11DC United29246117-7
    DC United sit in position 11, while Charlotte sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Charlotte to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%DC United Over 2.5
    60%Charlotte Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: DC United sit at 60% and Charlotte sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

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