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Sonderjyske crestSonderjyske
v
Randers FC crestRanders FC

Superliga | Sun 20 Sep, 13:00

Sonderjyske v Randers FC Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Randers FC visit Sonderjyske in a Danish Superliga clash where form and league position suggest an away advantage. Randers FC have collected 10 points from 8 matches, sitting 8th, while Sonderjyske languish near the bottom with just 2 points. Randers FC's more stable defensive record and recent positive momentum contrast with Sonderjyske's struggles at the back. This fixture offers Randers FC a chance to consolidate mid-table status, with tactical discipline and sharper finishing likely to be decisive in a contest where Sonderjyske will seek to disrupt the visitors' rhythm.

BT4Y best bet

Randers FC to Win

  • Randers FC have a 69.1% to win, showing strong value at 2.35 .
  • Sonderjyske concede an average of 3 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting an open game with scoring chances.
  • Randers FC rank 8th with 10 points, while Sonderjyske are 12th with 2 points, reflecting form disparity.
  • Top Randers FC attackers like M. Themsen show good goal threat and shot accuracy.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Randers FC to Win is favored due to their superior recent form and more robust defensive profile compared to Sonderjyske. The model highlights Randers FC's 69.1% chance to win, supported by their ability to limit goals conceded (1.6 per game) versus Sonderjyske's 3.0. Randers FC's attacking players, including M. Themsen, contribute consistent goal threats and shot accuracy, reinforcing the likelihood of an away victory. The price offers positive value given the implied chance is only 42.6%.

Model Win Probability69.1%
Strong positive
Defensive StabilityRanders concede 1.6 goals/game vs Sonderjyske 3.0
Strong positive
Attacking ThreatRanders attackers Sankoh and Themsen show strong shot and goal stats
Positive
Recent Form PointsRanders 10 points vs Sonderjyske 2 points
Strong positive
Price Value Edge26.5% positive edge at 2.35 odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Randers FC's tactical discipline and stronger defensive record make them the logical choice to secure victory. Their ability to convert chances through key attackers like Sankoh and Themsen, combined with Sonderjyske's defensive frailties, underpins this confident away win prediction.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Randers FC to Win

“Randers FC's blend of defensive resilience and attacking efficiency positions them well to capitalize on Sonderjyske's defensive lapses. Their recent form and player performances suggest a controlled, effective approach to securing three points.”

Key Data Signals

Randers FC to Win evidence

Randers FC have a 69.1% to win, showing strong value at 2.35 .

Sonderjyske concede an average of 3 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting an open game with scoring chances.

Randers FC rank 8th with 10 points, while Sonderjyske are 12th with 2 points, reflecting form disparity.

What To Watch In The Data

Randers FC to Win notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game, supporting an Over 2.5 Goals trend.
  • Both teams' high Over 2.5 rates (80%) in recent matches suggest a fast-paced game with scoring opportunities.
  • The trend indicates that goals will be a feature, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sonderjyske1.2
Avg goals scored
Randers FC1.2
Sonderjyske3
Avg goals conceded
Randers FC1.6
Sonderjyske80%
BTTS rate
Randers FC40%
Sonderjyske80%
Over 2.5 goals
Randers FC80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a tendency for open, high-scoring games. However, Randers FC's lower BTTS rate of 40% suggests they may focus on defensive solidity, potentially limiting Sonderjyske's scoring opportunities while still contributing goals themselves. This dynamic supports a match with multiple goals but possibly a controlled Randers win.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRanders FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
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Randers FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Randers FC to Win is priced attractively at 2.35 with a of 69.1%, indicating strong value. The imply a 42.6% chance, significantly lower than the model's estimate, making this a positive value bet with a 26.5% edge. This pricing reflects market in Randers FC's ability to win away despite Sonderjyske's home advantage.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sonderjyske3.4
Avg corners for
Randers FC4
Sonderjyske9
Avg total corners
Randers FC11.6
Sonderjyske2.2
Avg yellow cards
Randers FC2
Sonderjyske12
Avg shots
Randers FC9.2

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sonderjyske

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 6L
13 Sep 2026A Lyngby1-1
06 Sep 2026H AC Horsens2-5
31 Aug 2026A FC Copenhagen1-3
23 Aug 2026H FC Nordsjaelland0-3
17 Aug 2026A Brondby2-3

Randers FC

LWWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 4L
13 Sep 2026H Odense1-2
06 Sep 2026A Brondby3-0
30 Aug 2026H Aarhus2-1
23 Aug 2026A FC Midtjylland0-1
16 Aug 2026H FC Copenhagen0-4
Market aligned with main pickRanders FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Randers FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Randers FC have accumulated 10 points from 8 matches, reflecting better recent form than Sonderjyske, who have only 2 points. Randers FC's more consistent performances and ability to limit goals conceded (1.6 per game) contrast with Sonderjyske's defensive struggles, conceding 3 goals per game. This form disparity favors Randers FC to secure a win in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Sonderjyske wins
2Draws
6Randers FC wins
26 Jun 2026Randers FC v Sonderjyske2-4
26 Oct 2025Randers FC v Sonderjyske0-0
12 Sep 2025Sonderjyske v Randers FC0-1
02 Nov 2024Sonderjyske v Randers FC1-4
18 Aug 2024Randers FC v Sonderjyske1-2
27 Jan 2023Randers FC v Sonderjyske5-1
Market aligned with main pickRanders FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.9 goals, indicating historically open games between these teams. While this supports expectations of scoring, the sample does not strongly favor either side, so current form and tactical context carry more weight in predicting the outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Superliga

Sonderjyske8
Played
Randers FC8
Sonderjyske1
Avg goals for
Randers FC1.1
Sonderjyske2.4
Avg goals against
Randers FC1.3
Sonderjyske1
Clean sheets
Randers FC2
Market aligned with main pickRanders FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Randers FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Randers FC's season stats show a balanced attack with 1.2 goals scored per game and a relatively strong defense conceding 1.6 goals. Sonderjyske's defense is notably weaker, conceding 3 goals per game, while their attack matches Randers FC's output. This imbalance suggests Randers FC's defensive stability could be decisive in securing victory.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Randers FC108314-1
12Sonderjyske28026-11
Randers FC sit 8th with 10 points, comfortably above Sonderjyske in 12th with 2 points. This gap reflects Randers FC's better season performance and reduces pressure on them, allowing a more composed approach. Sonderjyske face pressure to improve results, which may lead to riskier tactics that Randers FC can exploit.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Sonderjyske Over 2.5
80%Randers FC Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game, supporting an Over 2.5 Goals trend. Both teams' high Over 2.5 rates (80%) in recent matches suggest a fast-paced game with scoring opportunities. The trend indicates that goals will be a feature, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Odense v FC MidtjyllandSuperliga · Sat 19 Sep 17:00Brondby v FC CopenhagenSuperliga · Sun 20 Sep 13:00AC Horsens v AarhusSuperliga · Sun 20 Sep 15:00Viborg v FC NordsjaellandSuperliga · Sun 20 Sep 17:00

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