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Brondby crestBrondby
v
FC Copenhagen crestFC Copenhagen

Superliga | Thu 21 May, 17:30

Brondby v FC Copenhagen Stats

Data last updated: Thu 11 Jun 2026, 13:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brondby face FC Copenhagen in Superliga on Thu 21 May, 17:30. While Brøndby's emotional attacking style will likely secure them a home goal, Copenhagen's superior firepower should carry them to a narrow victory against a vulnerable host defence. Both teams show outstanding attacking form while remaining unstable in defence.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale: Over 2

  • At 3/4, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Copenhagen average over two goals per match, and eight of Brøndby's last ten fixtures have cleared this line, making an open, high-scoring battle highly.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Brondby and 100% for FC Copenhagen, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • FC Copenhagen are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.4 goals per match, with Brondby at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for Brondby and 40% for FC Copenhagen show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Brondby and 100% for FC Copenhagen, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Copenhagen average over two goals per match, and eight of Brøndby's last ten fixtures have cleared this line, making an open, high-scoring battle highly.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Brondby and 100%.Visible data support
Positive
FC Copenhagen are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Copenhagen average over two goals per match, and eight.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because copenhagen average over two goals per match, and eight of Brøndby's last ten fixtures have cleared this line, making an open, high-scoring battle highly probable in this intense derby scenario. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Brondby and 100% for FC Copenhagen, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Both sides come into this clash carrying momentum in attack, but neither arrives with complete defensive certainty.

Main risk

Both sides come into this clash carrying momentum in attack, but neither arrives with complete defensive certainty.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Copenhagen average over two goals per match, and eight of Brøndby's last ten fixtures have cleared this line.

The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Brondby and 100% for FC Copenhagen, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

FC Copenhagen are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.4 goals per match, with Brondby at 1.

BTTS rates of 40% for Brondby and 40% for FC Copenhagen show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Brondby1
Avg goals scored
FC Copenhagen3.4
Brondby1.6
Avg goals conceded
FC Copenhagen0.8
Brondby40%
BTTS rate
FC Copenhagen40%
Brondby40%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Copenhagen100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 54% · edge +12.5 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Brondby v FC Copenhagencorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 54% · edge +12.5 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
FC Copenhagen to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
FC Copenhagen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Brondby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Brondby to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Brondby4
Avg corners for
FC Copenhagen6.2
Brondby7.8
Avg total corners
FC Copenhagen11.8
Brondby3
Avg yellow cards
FC Copenhagen1.2
Brondby15.8
Avg shots
FC Copenhagen20.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 52% · edge +6.2 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Brondby

WLDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
17 May 2026A FC Midtjylland3-2
10 May 2026H Aarhus0-2
01 May 2026H FC Nordsjaelland1-1
26 Apr 2026A Sonderjyske0-3
22 Apr 2026A Viborg1-0

FC Copenhagen

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
17 May 2026H Randers FC5-0
10 May 2026A Silkeborg4-0
03 May 2026A FC Fredericia3-3
27 Apr 2026H Vejle3-0
22 Apr 2026H Odense2-1
Best odds for this sectionFC Copenhagen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 44% · edge +25.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
FC Copenhagen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Brondby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Brondby to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Brondby wins
2Draws
4FC Copenhagen wins
23 Nov 2025FC Copenhagen v Brondby1-0
13 Sep 2025Brondby v FC Copenhagen2-1
04 May 2025Brondby v FC Copenhagen0-3
13 Apr 2025FC Copenhagen v Brondby1-2
27 Oct 2024Brondby v FC Copenhagen0-0
01 Sep 2024FC Copenhagen v Brondby3-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 54% · edge +12.5 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
FC Copenhagen to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Brondby to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Superliga

Brondby33
Played
FC Copenhagen33
Brondby1.4
Avg goals for
FC Copenhagen2.1
Brondby1.2
Avg goals against
FC Copenhagen1.4
Brondby12
Clean sheets
FC Copenhagen8
Best odds for this sectionFC Copenhagen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 44% · edge +25.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
FC Copenhagen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Brondby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Brondby to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Season data supports FC Copenhagen to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Brondby4532136139
4Brondby342210489
7FC Copenhagen29228591
1FC Copenhagen51321561123
Brondby sit in position 4, while FC Copenhagen sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Brondby Over 2.5
100%FC Copenhagen Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brondby sit at 40% and FC Copenhagen sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Brondby v FC Copenhagen prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

full betting preview for Brondby v FC Copenhagencorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

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