Seattle Sounders

Chicago Fire

Major League Soccer | Sat 29 Aug, 21:30

Seattle Sounders v Chicago Fire Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Seattle Sounders face Chicago Fire in a Major League Soccer clash where Chicago Fire's recent offensive form stands out, averaging 1.6 goals per game and boasting an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Chicago Fire currently sit third in the league with 36 points, while Seattle Sounders are 13th with 25 points, adding a competitive edge to this fixture. The attacking prowess of Chicago Fire, combined with Seattle's defensive vulnerabilities, sets the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter under the floodlights on August 29th.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Chicago Fire have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
Chicago Fire average 9 shots and 4.67 shots on target per game, showing strong offensive pressure.
No previous head-to-head meetings, so form and season stats are key indicators.
Player data highlights Chicago Fire's H. Cuypers with 13 goals and 2 shots on target per 90 minutes.
Seattle Sounders rank lower in the table and have less available data, suggesting defensive uncertainty.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 58% chance, significantly higher than the implied 42% from current , offering a 16% . Chicago Fire's attacking statistics, including a high shots volume and goal-scoring rate, support the likelihood of multiple goals. Seattle Sounders' defensive data is limited but suggests vulnerabilities that could be exploited. The absence of head-to-head history places greater emphasis on recent form and season trends, both pointing towards a high-scoring game. This pick is a strong value play based on the statistical profile and attacking tendencies.

Model Chance58%

Strong positive

Implied Chance42%

Positive

Value Edge16%

Strong positive

Chicago Fire Over 2.5 Rate80%

Strong positive

Chicago Fire Shots per Game9

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Chicago Fire's potent attack likely to challenge Seattle Sounders' defense repeatedly. Chicago Fire's strong offensive form and high shots volume underpin the expectation of multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Offensive strength and defensive vulnerability

“Chicago Fire's attacking momentum combined with Seattle's defensive uncertainties creates a fertile ground for a high-scoring match. The statistical indicators strongly favor a game with plenty of goalmouth action and scoring opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Chicago Fire have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Chicago Fire average 9 shots and 4.67 shots on target per game, showing strong offensive pressure.

No previous head-to-head meetings, so form and season stats are key indicators.

Player data highlights Chicago Fire's H. Cuypers with 13 goals and 2 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

Over the last ten matches, Chicago Fire have maintained an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, demonstrating a sustained trend of high-tempo, attacking football.
The lack of head-to-head history means this trend is a key indicator, suggesting the match tempo and offensive quality will favor a goal-rich game.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Seattle Sounders0.6

Avg goals scored

Chicago Fire1.6

Seattle Sounders1.6

Avg goals conceded

Chicago Fire1.4

Seattle Sounders60%

BTTS rate

Chicago Fire100%

Seattle Sounders40%

Over 2.5 goals

Chicago Fire80%

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 44% · edge +1.8 pts

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Chicago Fire's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and 100% BTTS rate highlight their games often feature multiple goals and both teams scoring. Seattle Sounders' data is limited, but their lower league position and defensive uncertainty suggest they may concede multiple goals, supporting a high-goal, BTTS-positive scenario.

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Useful next reads

Major League Soccer fixtures and predictions corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionChicago Fire Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Chicago Fire to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 65%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 54%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Seattle Sounders Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively with a 2.38 odd, reflecting a 42% implied chance, which is notably lower than the model's 58% probability. This discrepancy indicates a positive value opportunity, suggesting the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game given Chicago Fire's offensive metrics and Seattle's defensive profile.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Seattle Sounders3.6

Avg corners for

Chicago Fire3

Seattle Sounders10

Avg total corners

Chicago Fire6.4

Seattle Sounders1.8

Avg yellow cards

Chicago Fire2.4

Seattle Sounders11.4

Avg shots

Chicago Fire9.6

Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8.3 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 65%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 48%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 54%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Chicago Fire averages 1.33 corners and 2.33 yellow cards per game, reflecting moderate attacking pressure and a competitive edge. Their high shots and shots on target per game indicate sustained offensive efforts, while Seattle Sounders' data gaps make it harder to assess, but their lower ranking suggests potential defensive pressure leading to more set pieces and fouls.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Seattle Sounders

DLLLL

Last 50W 1D 4L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 8L

23 Aug 2026A FC Cincinnati1-1

20 Aug 2026H Austin1-2

17 Aug 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps0-2

02 Aug 2026A Portland Timbers1-2

26 Jul 2026A Philadelphia Union0-1

Chicago Fire

DWWWL

Last 53W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 106W 1D 3L

23 Aug 2026A New York Red Bulls1-1

20 Aug 2026A Orlando City SC2-1

16 Aug 2026H Portland Timbers2-1

02 Aug 2026H Charlotte2-1

26 Jul 2026A New York City FC1-3

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 71% · edge +12.6 pts

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

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Chicago Fire Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Chicago Fire to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Seattle Sounders Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Seattle Sounders to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.9

Check odds @ 2.9

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Chicago Fire's recent form shows a strong offensive output with 1.6 goals per game and an 80% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, indicating consistent high-scoring performances. Seattle Sounders have yet to register points in recent form data, suggesting struggles that could lead to defensive lapses and contribute to a goal-heavy match.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Seattle Sounders wins

1Draws

4Chicago Fire wins

30 Jun 2024Seattle Sounders v Chicago Fire2-1

17 Jul 2022Chicago Fire v Seattle Sounders1-0

14 Jul 2020Chicago Fire v Seattle Sounders2-1

01 Mar 2020Seattle Sounders v Chicago Fire2-1

16 Mar 2019Chicago Fire v Seattle Sounders2-4

24 Jun 2018Seattle Sounders v Chicago Fire1-1

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

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Chicago Fire to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Seattle Sounders to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.9

Check odds @ 2.9

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

There are no previous head-to-head meetings between Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire, so historical data does not provide guidance. This absence places greater emphasis on current season form and team statistics to assess the likelihood of a high-scoring match.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders20

Played

Chicago Fire20

Seattle Sounders1.1

Avg goals for

Chicago Fire1.9

Seattle Sounders1.4

Avg goals against

Chicago Fire1.3

Seattle Sounders5

Clean sheets

Chicago Fire6

Best odds for this sectionChicago Fire Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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Chicago Fire to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Seattle Sounders Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Seattle Sounders to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.9

Check odds @ 2.9

Season-long statistics underline Chicago Fire's attacking strength, with high shots and goals per game, and a strong tendency for matches to exceed 2.5 goals. Seattle Sounders' defensive record is less clear but their lower league standing and fewer points suggest defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited in a high-scoring encounter.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
13	Seattle Sounders	25	20	7	4	9	-5
3	Chicago Fire	36	20	11	3	6	11

Chicago Fire's third-place position with 36 points reflects a team in strong form and competitive in the league, likely pushing for wins with attacking intent. Seattle Sounders sit 13th with 25 points, indicating a struggle for consistency and possible defensive weaknesses, which could contribute to a match with multiple goals.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Seattle Sounders Over 2.5

80%Chicago Fire Over 2.5

3.1H2H avg goals

Over the last ten matches, Chicago Fire have maintained an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, demonstrating a sustained trend of high-tempo, attacking football. The lack of head-to-head history means this trend is a key indicator, suggesting the match tempo and offensive quality will favor a goal-rich game.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Seattle Sounders v Chicago Fire Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Chicago Fire

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Seattle Sounders v Chicago Fire Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Seattle Sounders

Chicago Fire

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