Football Stats Hub

Atlanta United FC crestAtlanta United FC
v
Charlotte crestCharlotte

Major League Soccer | Sun 30 Aug, 00:30

Atlanta United FC v Charlotte Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Atlanta United FC face Charlotte in Major League Soccer on Sun 30 Aug, 00:30. Atlanta United FC come in with 9 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Charlotte have 10 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.57, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Atlanta United FC and 80% for Charlotte, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Charlotte are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with Atlanta United FC at 1.8.
  • BTTS rates of 100% for Atlanta United FC and 80% for Charlotte show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Atlanta United FC and 80% for Charlotte, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Atlanta United FC.Visible data support
Positive
Charlotte are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Atlanta United FC and 80% for Charlotte, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Atlanta United FC and 80% for Charlotte, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Charlotte are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with Atlanta United FC at 1.8.

BTTS rates of 100% for Atlanta United FC and 80% for Charlotte show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atlanta United FC1.8
Avg goals scored
Charlotte2.4
Atlanta United FC2
Avg goals conceded
Charlotte1.4
Atlanta United FC100%
BTTS rate
Charlotte80%
Atlanta United FC100%
Over 2.5 goals
Charlotte80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.1 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Major League Soccer fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.1 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Charlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Atlanta United FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Atlanta United FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Atlanta United FC3.4
Avg corners for
Charlotte3.4
Atlanta United FC10.4
Avg total corners
Charlotte11.8
Atlanta United FC2.4
Avg yellow cards
Charlotte1.2
Atlanta United FC9.8
Avg shots
Charlotte10.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atlanta United FC

WWWLL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
24 Aug 2026H Sporting Kansas City2-1
20 Aug 2026A Minnesota United FC2-1
16 Aug 2026H New York Red Bulls2-1
02 Aug 2026A Philadelphia Union2-3
26 Jul 2026A New England Revolution1-4

Charlotte

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
23 Aug 2026H DC United3-1
20 Aug 2026A Toronto FC3-3
16 Aug 2026H Columbus Crew3-1
02 Aug 2026A Chicago Fire1-2
25 Jul 2026A New York Red Bulls2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 65% · edge +13.7 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Charlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Atlanta United FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Atlanta United FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Atlanta United FC wins
1Draws
5Charlotte wins
23 Jul 2026Charlotte v Atlanta United FC2-2
29 Apr 2026Charlotte v Atlanta United FC0-2
20 Jul 2025Atlanta United FC v Charlotte2-3
01 Mar 2025Charlotte v Atlanta United FC2-0
01 Sep 2024Charlotte v Atlanta United FC0-1
02 Jun 2024Atlanta United FC v Charlotte2-3
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.1 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Charlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Atlanta United FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Atlanta United FC21
Played
Charlotte21
Atlanta United FC1.2
Avg goals for
Charlotte1.8
Atlanta United FC1.7
Avg goals against
Charlotte1.5
Atlanta United FC1
Clean sheets
Charlotte3
Best odds for this sectionCharlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Load more odds for this section
Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Atlanta United FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Atlanta United FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Season data supports Charlotte to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Charlotte32219576
12Atlanta United FC21216312-11
Atlanta United FC sit in position 12, while Charlotte sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Atlanta United FC Over 2.5
80%Charlotte Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Atlanta United FC sit at 100% and Charlotte sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Seattle Sounders v Chicago FireMajor League Soccer · Sat 29 Aug 21:30Toronto FC v New York City FCMajor League Soccer · Sun 30 Aug 00:30New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer · Sun 30 Aug 00:30DC United v Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer · Sun 30 Aug 00:30

Competition and hubs

Major League Soccer hubMajor League Soccer fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre