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DC United crestDC United
v
Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FC

Major League Soccer | Sun 30 Aug, 00:30

DC United v Los Angeles FC Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

DC United face Los Angeles FC in a Major League Soccer clash where both teams have shown contrasting defensive records and attacking intent. DC United concede an average of two goals per game, while Los Angeles FC have a more solid defense, allowing 0.8 goals per match. Both sides average over six corners per game, indicating a likely high corner count. The match carries significance for both teams, with Los Angeles FC sitting third and DC United eleventh in the standings, adding competitive edge to the fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Both teams average over six corners per game, combining for around 12.6 corners on average.
  • Recent form shows DC United have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking pressure.
  • Los Angeles FC concede fewer goals but maintain a steady corner count, supporting the likelihood of set-piece opportunities.
  • The model estimates a 66.5% chance for over 9.5 corners, with a positive of 8.7%.
  • Player attacking roles and shot volumes suggest sustained offensive pressure, likely generating multiple corners.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 66.5% chance, reflecting both teams' attacking styles and corner averages above six per game. DC United's high goals conceded and open play increase corner opportunities, while Los Angeles FC's consistent offensive pressure supports sustained set-piece chances. The positive of 8.7% and solid at 76% underline the bet's appeal. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation based on data and tactical context.

Model Chance66.5%
Strong positive
Value Edge8.7%
Strong positive
Confidence76%
Strong positive
Implied Chance vs Model57.8% vs 66.5%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This fixture is poised for a high number of corners given DC United's aggressive attacking style and Los Angeles FC's steady offensive output. The corner averages and recent form data suggest sustained pressure and frequent set-piece situations, making Over 9.5 Corners a tactically and statistically sound selection.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“The corner market here reflects the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams, with DC United's openness and Los Angeles FC's consistent pressure likely to produce numerous corners.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Both teams average over six corners per game, combining for around 12.6 corners on average.

Recent form shows DC United have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking pressure.

Los Angeles FC concede fewer goals but maintain a steady corner count, supporting the likelihood of set-piece opportunities.

The model estimates a 66.5% chance for over 9.5 corners, with a positive of 8.7%.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating moderately open games.
  • While this is a small sample, the trend suggests a tempo that can produce multiple attacking phases and corners.
  • The teams' recent attacking and defensive profiles further support the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and sustained pressure leading to corners.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

DC United

LLDDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 6D 3L
23 Aug 2026A Charlotte1-3
20 Aug 2026H New England Revolution0-3
16 Aug 2026A CF Montreal1-1
02 Aug 2026H Nashville SC2-2
26 Jul 2026H Toronto FC2-1

Los Angeles FC

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Los Angeles FC yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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DC United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DC United to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Los Angeles FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Recent form data shows DC United's matches have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, reflecting open and attacking games that often generate corners. Los Angeles FC's form is more conservative with a 20% over 2.5 goals rate, but their consistent corner averages maintain the potential for a high corner count. Both teams have earned 5 points recently, indicating competitive matches with offensive intent.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

DC United1.2
Avg goals scored
Los Angeles FC-
DC United2
Avg goals conceded
Los Angeles FC-
DC United80%
BTTS rate
Los Angeles FC-
DC United80%
Over 2.5 goals
Los Angeles FC-
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams show contrasting goal trends: DC United have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate and 80% BTTS rate, indicating open matches with goals and attacking play, while Los Angeles FC have a lower 20% over 2.5 goals rate and 40% BTTS rate. This suggests DC United's style drives more open play, which can lead to more corners through attacking pressure and defensive lapses.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
DC United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DC United to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Los Angeles FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively at 1.73 with a of 66.5%, indicating clear value. The implied chance at 57.8% is significantly lower than the model's probability, suggesting the market underestimates the likelihood of a high corner count. This pricing supports a confident bet with standard staking recommended.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0DC United wins
0Draws
0Los Angeles FC wins
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
DC United to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Los Angeles FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The four previous meetings between DC United and Los Angeles FC have averaged 2.5 goals per game, showing a balanced but open contest history. While the sample is limited, the matches have featured enough attacking action to support expectations of a lively game with multiple corners, aligning with the Over 9.5 Corners pick.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

DC United6.33
Avg corners for
Los Angeles FC-
DC United10.67
Avg total corners
Los Angeles FC-
DC United1.67
Avg yellow cards
Los Angeles FC-
DC United13.67
Avg shots
Los Angeles FC-
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 58% · edge +7 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams average over six corners per game, with DC United at 6.4 and Los Angeles FC at 6.2, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and territorial battles. Shot volumes are similar, with DC United averaging 14.6 shots and Los Angeles FC 14.4, supporting frequent attacking sequences that often result in corners. Card averages are moderate, indicating a balanced but competitive match environment.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

DC United0
Played
Los Angeles FC22
DC United-
Avg goals for
Los Angeles FC1.6
DC United-
Avg goals against
Los Angeles FC1
DC United-
Clean sheets
Los Angeles FC11
Best odds for this sectionDC United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
DC United to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Los Angeles FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season-long stats reveal both teams maintain corner averages above six per game, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners selection. DC United's higher goals conceded (2 per game) suggests defensive vulnerabilities leading to more attacking opportunities and corners. Los Angeles FC's solid defense (0.8 goals conceded) is balanced by steady offensive pressure, sustaining corner chances.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%DC United Over 2.5
-Los Angeles FC Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating moderately open games. While this is a small sample, the trend suggests a tempo that can produce multiple attacking phases and corners. The teams' recent attacking and defensive profiles further support the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and sustained pressure leading to corners.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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