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SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg
v
Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach

Bundesliga | Sat 12 Sep, 14:30

SC Freiburg v Borussia Mönchengladbach Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SC Freiburg face Borussia Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga on Sat 12 Sep, 14:30. SC Freiburg come in with 6 recent points and 2.5 goals per match, while Borussia Mönchengladbach have 0 points and 1.5 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

SC Freiburg to Win

  • At 1.67, SC Freiburg to Win implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • SC Freiburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
  • SC Freiburg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the SC Freiburg to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • SC Freiburg sit 2 in the table, while Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for SC Freiburg to Win sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. SC Freiburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Positive
SC Freiburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 6.Visible data support
Positive
SC Freiburg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: SC Freiburg Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers SC Freiburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

SC Freiburg to Win evidence

SC Freiburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

SC Freiburg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the SC Freiburg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

SC Freiburg sit 2 in the table, while Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

SC Freiburg to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    SC Freiburg2.5
    Avg goals scored
    Borussia Mönchengladbach1.5
    SC Freiburg0.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Borussia Mönchengladbach3.5
    SC Freiburg50%
    BTTS rate
    Borussia Mönchengladbach50%
    SC Freiburg50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Borussia Mönchengladbach100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 88% vs implied 86% · edge +2.5 pts
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 50% for SC Freiburg and 100% for Borussia Mönchengladbach, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSC Freiburg to WinBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    SC Freiburg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    SC Freiburg5
    Avg corners for
    Borussia Mönchengladbach9.5
    SC Freiburg10
    Avg total corners
    Borussia Mönchengladbach15
    SC Freiburg2
    Avg yellow cards
    Borussia Mönchengladbach1.5
    SC Freiburg17.5
    Avg shots
    Borussia Mönchengladbach20
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    SC Freiburg

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    05 Sep 2026A SC Paderborn 071-0
    30 Aug 2026H Werder Bremen4-1

    Borussia Mönchengladbach

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    05 Sep 2026H SV Elversberg3-4
    29 Aug 2026A RB Leipzig0-3
    Market aligned with main pickSC Freiburg to WinBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5SC Freiburg wins
    5Draws
    0Borussia Mönchengladbach wins
    22 Feb 2026SC Freiburg v Borussia Mönchengladbach2-1
    05 Oct 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Freiburg0-0
    12 Apr 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Freiburg1-2
    30 Nov 2024SC Freiburg v Borussia Mönchengladbach3-1
    30 Mar 2024Borussia Monchengladbach v SC Freiburg0-3
    04 Nov 2023SC Freiburg v Borussia Monchengladbach3-3
    Market aligned with main pickSC Freiburg to WinBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    The head-to-head sample gives context for SC Freiburg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Season team stats

    Bundesliga

    SC Freiburg2
    Played
    Borussia Mönchengladbach2
    SC Freiburg2.5
    Avg goals for
    Borussia Mönchengladbach1.5
    SC Freiburg0.5
    Avg goals against
    Borussia Mönchengladbach3.5
    SC Freiburg1
    Clean sheets
    Borussia Mönchengladbach0
    Market aligned with main pickSC Freiburg to WinBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Season data supports SC Freiburg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2SC Freiburg622004
    17Borussia Mönchengladbach02002-4
    SC Freiburg sit in position 2, while Borussia Mönchengladbach sit in position 17, so table pressure belongs in the SC Freiburg to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%SC Freiburg Over 2.5
    100%Borussia Mönchengladbach Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: SC Freiburg sit at 50% and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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