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FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05
v
Eintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht Frankfurt

Bundesliga | Sat 12 Sep, 14:30

FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FSV Mainz 05 face Eintracht Frankfurt in Bundesliga on Sat 12 Sep, 14:30. FSV Mainz 05 come in with 4 recent points and 2.5 goals per match, while Eintracht Frankfurt have 1 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

FSV Mainz 05 to Win

  • At 1.95, FSV Mainz 05 to Win implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • FSV Mainz 05 have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
  • FSV Mainz 05 have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the FSV Mainz 05 to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • FSV Mainz 05 sit 5 in the table, while Eintracht Frankfurt sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for FSV Mainz 05 to Win sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. FSV Mainz 05 have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
FSV Mainz 05 have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
FSV Mainz 05 have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: FSV Mainz 05 Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers FSV Mainz 05 have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Eintracht Frankfurt. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

FSV Mainz 05 to Win evidence

FSV Mainz 05 have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

FSV Mainz 05 have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the FSV Mainz 05 Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

FSV Mainz 05 sit 5 in the table, while Eintracht Frankfurt sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

FSV Mainz 05 to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    FSV Mainz 052.5
    Avg goals scored
    Eintracht Frankfurt2
    FSV Mainz 050
    Avg goals conceded
    Eintracht Frankfurt3.5
    FSV Mainz 050%
    BTTS rate
    Eintracht Frankfurt100%
    FSV Mainz 0550%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Eintracht Frankfurt100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 88% · edge -2 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 50% for FSV Mainz 05 and 100% for Eintracht Frankfurt, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFSV Mainz 05 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    FSV Mainz 05 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    FSV Mainz 05 to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Bundesliga hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    FSV Mainz 058
    Avg corners for
    Eintracht Frankfurt5.5
    FSV Mainz 0511
    Avg total corners
    Eintracht Frankfurt10
    FSV Mainz 052
    Avg yellow cards
    Eintracht Frankfurt2.5
    FSV Mainz 0519
    Avg shots
    Eintracht Frankfurt17
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
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    Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 60%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    FSV Mainz 05

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    06 Sep 2026A Hamburger SV5-0
    29 Aug 2026H SC Paderborn 070-0

    Eintracht Frankfurt

    LD
    Last 50W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 1L
    06 Sep 2026H FC Augsburg1-4
    29 Aug 2026A Union Berlin3-3
    Market aligned with main pickFSV Mainz 05 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    FSV Mainz 05 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2FSV Mainz 05 wins
    4Draws
    4Eintracht Frankfurt wins
    22 Mar 2026FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt2-1
    09 Nov 2025Eintracht Frankfurt v FSV Mainz 051-0
    04 May 2025FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt1-1
    21 Dec 2024Eintracht Frankfurt v FSV Mainz 051-3
    26 Jan 2024Eintracht Frankfurt v FSV Mainz 051-0
    27 Aug 2023FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt1-1
    Market aligned with main pickFSV Mainz 05 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for FSV Mainz 05 to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Bundesliga

    FSV Mainz 052
    Played
    Eintracht Frankfurt2
    FSV Mainz 052.5
    Avg goals for
    Eintracht Frankfurt2
    FSV Mainz 050
    Avg goals against
    Eintracht Frankfurt3.5
    FSV Mainz 052
    Clean sheets
    Eintracht Frankfurt0
    Market aligned with main pickFSV Mainz 05 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    FSV Mainz 05 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Season data supports FSV Mainz 05 to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5FSV Mainz 05421105
    13Eintracht Frankfurt12011-3
    FSV Mainz 05 sit in position 5, while Eintracht Frankfurt sit in position 13, so table pressure belongs in the FSV Mainz 05 to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%FSV Mainz 05 Over 2.5
    100%Eintracht Frankfurt Over 2.5
    2.3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FSV Mainz 05 sit at 50% and Eintracht Frankfurt sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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