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Saudi Arabia crestSaudi Arabia
v
Senegal crestSenegal

Friendlies | Wed 10 Jun, 00:00

Saudi Arabia v Senegal Stats

Data last updated: Thu 09 Jul 2026, 12:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Saudi Arabia face Senegal in Friendlies on Wed 10 Jun, 00:00. Saudi Arabia’s recent friendly form reads W-L-L-L-L-W, which captures the tension around Donis’s side: capable of winning, but still searching for sustained rhythm.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Saudi Arabia Win

  • At 8/13, Saudi Arabia Win implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Senegal scored twice against the United States but conceded three due to defensive spacing problems and an open architecture when stretched.
  • Senegal have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Saudi Arabia.
  • Senegal have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.33 conceded per match, which helps the Saudi Arabia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Saudi Arabia Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 62% while the model sits nearer 27% (-34.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 2.5 Goals shows a +28 pts edge at 2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Saudi Arabia Win sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. Senegal have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Saudi Arabia. Senegal scored twice against the United States but conceded three due to defensive spacing problems and an open architecture when stretched.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Negative
Senegal have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Senegal have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.33 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Senegal scored twice against the United States but conceded.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Saudi Arabia Win is the preferred angle because senegal scored twice against the United States but conceded three due to defensive spacing problems and an open architecture when stretched. Senegal have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Saudi Arabia. International football rarely gives coaches enough time, but this is almost taking the mickey.

Main risk

International football rarely gives coaches enough time, but this is almost taking the mickey.

Key Data Signals

Saudi Arabia Win evidence

Senegal scored twice against the United States but conceded three due to defensive spacing problems and an open.

Senegal have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Saudi Arabia.

Senegal have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.33 conceded per match, which helps the Saudi Arabia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Saudi Arabia Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Saudi Arabia2
    Avg corners for
    Senegal7
    Saudi Arabia6.33
    Avg total corners
    Senegal11.5
    Saudi Arabia1.67
    Avg yellow cards
    Senegal0.5
    Saudi Arabia7.33
    Avg shots
    Senegal9.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 54% · edge +10.4 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Friendlies fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Saudi Arabia1.25
    Avg goals scored
    Senegal2.33
    Saudi Arabia2
    Avg goals conceded
    Senegal1.33
    Saudi Arabia50%
    BTTS rate
    Senegal67%
    Saudi Arabia100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Senegal67%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 50% · edge +28 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 72%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSaudi Arabia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 21% · edge +5.9 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 72%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Saudi Arabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    3.55
    Check odds @ 3.55
    Saudi Arabia to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Saudi Arabia

    WLLL
    Last 51W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 3L
    06 Jun 2026A Puerto Rico3-0
    31 May 2026A Ecuador1-2
    31 Mar 2026A Serbia1-2
    27 Mar 2026H Egypt0-4

    Senegal

    LWW
    Last 52W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 1L
    31 May 2026A USA2-3
    31 Mar 2026H Gambia3-1
    28 Mar 2026H Peru2-0
    Market aligned with main pickSaudi Arabia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 21% · edge +5.9 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Saudi Arabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    3.55
    Check odds @ 3.55
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Saudi Arabia wins
    0Draws
    0Senegal wins
    Market aligned with main pickSaudi Arabia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 21% · edge +5.9 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 72%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Saudi Arabia to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Saudi Arabia5
    Played
    Senegal4
    Saudi Arabia1
    Avg goals for
    Senegal1.8
    Saudi Arabia1.6
    Avg goals against
    Senegal1
    Saudi Arabia2
    Clean sheets
    Senegal2
    Market aligned with main pickSaudi Arabia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 21% · edge +5.9 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Saudi Arabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    3.55
    Check odds @ 3.55
    Season data supports Saudi Arabia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Saudi Arabia Over 2.5
    67%Senegal Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Saudi Arabia sit at 100% and Senegal sit at 67%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Saudi Arabia v Senegal prediction

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    Next step

    Betting context

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