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Santos crestSantos
v
Flamengo crestFlamengo

Serie A | Thu 08 Oct, 23:30

Santos v Flamengo Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 23:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Santos face Flamengo in Serie A on Thu 08 Oct, 23:30. Flamengo's eight away wins and league-best goal difference underline their control, though Santos' defensive workload poses a risk to the visitors' clean sheet. Santos vs Flamengo: Brazil’s Form Sides Meet at Vila Belmiro.

BT4Y best bet

Flamengo to win and Both Teams to Score

  • At 9/4, Flamengo to win and Both Teams to Score implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 33%.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Santos and 40% for Flamengo.
  • Flamengo to win and Both Teams to Score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Santos and 2 for Flamengo are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 33% for Flamengo to win and Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Santos and 40% for Flamengo. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price33% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Neutral
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Flamengo to win and Both Teams to Score needs both.Visible data support
Positive
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Flamengo Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Santos and 40% for Flamengo. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Flamengo to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Santos and 40% for Flamengo.

Flamengo Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Santos and 2 for Flamengo are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Flamengo to win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Santos2
Avg goals scored
Flamengo2
Santos1
Avg goals conceded
Flamengo0.4
Santos80%
BTTS rate
Flamengo40%
Santos80%
Over 2.5 goals
Flamengo60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 87%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFlamengo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 53% · edge +1.6 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Flamengo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Flamengo Draw No Bet is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Santos

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
03 Oct 2026A Sao Paulo2-1
19 Sep 2026A Remo2-1
13 Sep 2026H Cruzeiro2-1
06 Sep 2026A Internacional3-2
30 Aug 2026A Corinthians1-0

Flamengo

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
20 Sep 2026H RB Bragantino2-1
13 Sep 2026H Corinthians2-1
06 Sep 2026A Remo1-0
02 Sep 2026H Mirassol2-0
30 Aug 2026H Botafogo3-0
Market aligned with main pickFlamengo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 53% · edge +1.6 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Flamengo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Santos Over 2.5
60%Flamengo Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Santos sit at 80% and Flamengo sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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