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San Lorenzo crestSan Lorenzo
v
Union Santa Fe crestUnion Santa Fe

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sat 15 Aug, 18:30

San Lorenzo v Union Santa Fe Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

San Lorenzo and Union Santa Fe meet in a Liga Profesional Argentina clash where both teams have shown contrasting offensive outputs recently. San Lorenzo has struggled to find the net, scoring just 0.4 goals per game in their last matches, while Union Santa Fe has been more prolific with an average of 1 goal per game. Defensively, both sides have conceded regularly, suggesting an open contest. The tactical setup points to Union Santa Fe's more attacking style against San Lorenzo's defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for a match where both teams are likely to find scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Union Santa Fe scores in 60% of recent matches, San Lorenzo in 20%.
  • Both teams concede regularly, with San Lorenzo allowing 1 goal per game, Union Santa Fe 1.8.
  • Union Santa Fe averages 13.6 shots and 4.4 shots on target per game, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Auzmendi is a key attacking threat with 5 goals and 1.8 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at a 60% chance, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 48.8%, indicating strong value. Union Santa Fe's consistent attacking output and San Lorenzo's defensive lapses support this. Despite San Lorenzo's lower scoring rate, their defensive concessions and Union Santa Fe's offensive pressure suggest goals at both ends. Player data, including R. Auzmendi's goal threat and Union Santa Fe's multiple attacking options, reinforce the likelihood of both teams scoring. No data limitations affect here.

Model Chance60%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance48.8%
Strong positive
Union Santa Fe Scoring Rate1 goal per game
Positive
San Lorenzo Defensive Concessions1 goal per game
Positive
Key Player ThreatsR. Auzmendi 5 goals, J. Carabalí high shot volume
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses and attacking intent, especially Union Santa Fe, who have been more consistent in front of goal. San Lorenzo's defensive frailties and Union Santa Fe's offensive pressure make Both Teams to Score a logical pick, supported by player threats and recent form data.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Union Santa Fe's attacking consistency combined with San Lorenzo's defensive struggles creates a strong case for Both Teams to Score in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Union Santa Fe scores in 60% of recent matches, San Lorenzo in 20%.

Both teams concede regularly, with San Lorenzo allowing 1 goal per game, Union Santa Fe 1.8.

Union Santa Fe averages 13.6 shots and 4.4 shots on target per game, indicating offensive pressure.

Auzmendi is a key attacking threat with 5 goals and 1.8 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.2, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Union Santa Fe's recent 60% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with San Lorenzo's 0%, suggesting Union Santa Fe drives the tempo and goal volume, increasing chances for multiple goals and BTTS scenarios.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

San Lorenzo0.4
Avg goals scored
Union Santa Fe1
San Lorenzo1
Avg goals conceded
Union Santa Fe1.8
San Lorenzo20%
BTTS rate
Union Santa Fe60%
San Lorenzo0%
Over 2.5 goals
Union Santa Fe60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 49% · edge +11.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
5
Check odds @ 5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Union Santa Fe's 60% BTTS rate and San Lorenzo's defensive concessions suggest a match where both sides find the net. Despite San Lorenzo's lower scoring rate, their defensive openness and Union Santa Fe's attacking volume create conditions conducive to goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS pick.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 49% · edge +11.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Union Santa Fe to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
San Lorenzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
San Lorenzo to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Union Santa Fe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with implying a 48.8% chance, while the model estimates a 60% probability, indicating clear value. This discrepancy arises from Union Santa Fe's offensive consistency and San Lorenzo's defensive vulnerabilities, making the market a positive-value opportunity rather than a price-sensitive watch.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

San Lorenzo3
Avg corners for
Union Santa Fe5
San Lorenzo8.4
Avg total corners
Union Santa Fe10.2
San Lorenzo2
Avg yellow cards
Union Santa Fe1.8
San Lorenzo10.6
Avg shots
Union Santa Fe13.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 42% · edge +9.6 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Union Santa Fe averages 5 corners and 13.6 shots per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure, while San Lorenzo's 3 corners and 10.6 shots show moderate offensive activity. Both teams' fouling rates and card averages indicate a competitive match with physical challenges, likely leading to set-piece opportunities and shots on target.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

San Lorenzo

LLWLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
09 Aug 2026H Huracan0-2
04 Aug 2026A Central Cordoba de Santiago0-1
28 Jul 2026H Gimnasia M.1-0
26 Jul 2026A Lanus0-1
10 May 2026A River Plate1-1

Union Santa Fe

LWLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
11 Aug 2026H Central Cordoba de Santiago1-2
06 Aug 2026H Lanus2-1
01 Aug 2026A Gimnasia M.0-2
25 Jul 2026A Platense2-2
12 May 2026A Belgrano Cordoba0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 67% · edge +4.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Union Santa Fe to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
San Lorenzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
San Lorenzo to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Union Santa Fe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Recent form shows Union Santa Fe scoring in 60% of matches and San Lorenzo in only 20%, but both concede regularly. This contrast highlights Union Santa Fe's offensive momentum against San Lorenzo's defensive fragility, suggesting a match where both teams are likely to score despite San Lorenzo's scoring struggles.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3San Lorenzo wins
5Draws
2Union Santa Fe wins
14 Feb 2026Union Santa Fe v San Lorenzo0-0
15 Jun 2024Union Santa Fe v San Lorenzo2-1
05 Feb 2024San Lorenzo v Union Santa Fe0-0
05 Sep 2023Union Santa Fe v San Lorenzo1-1
25 Feb 2023San Lorenzo v Union Santa Fe1-0
20 Jul 2022San Lorenzo v Union Santa Fe2-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 49% · edge +11.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Union Santa Fe to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
San Lorenzo to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
The head-to-head record over ten matches shows an average of 2.2 goals per game, indicating a moderately scoring fixture. While not overwhelmingly high, this trend supports the possibility of goals from both teams, especially given Union Santa Fe's recent attacking form and San Lorenzo's defensive vulnerabilities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

San Lorenzo21
Played
Union Santa Fe22
San Lorenzo0.8
Avg goals for
Union Santa Fe1.4
San Lorenzo1
Avg goals against
Union Santa Fe1.4
San Lorenzo10
Clean sheets
Union Santa Fe5
Best odds for this sectionUnion Santa Fe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 32% · edge +9.2 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
San Lorenzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
San Lorenzo to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Union Santa Fe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season-long data reveals Union Santa Fe's stronger attacking output with higher goals per game and shots on target, while San Lorenzo's defense concedes consistently. These stats align with a scenario where both teams score, as Union Santa Fe's offense can exploit San Lorenzo's defensive lapses.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7San Lorenzo22165740
8Union Santa Fe21165654
11Union Santa Fe44112-2
15San Lorenzo34103-3
Union Santa Fe sits higher in the league standings than San Lorenzo, reflecting better recent performances and offensive capabilities. While standings alone don't dictate outcomes, this positional advantage supports Union Santa Fe's attacking and the likelihood of goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%San Lorenzo Over 2.5
60%Union Santa Fe Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.2, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Union Santa Fe's recent 60% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with San Lorenzo's 0%, suggesting Union Santa Fe drives the tempo and goal volume, increasing chances for multiple goals and BTTS scenarios.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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