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Aldosivi crestAldosivi
v
Tigre crestTigre

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sat 15 Aug, 18:30

Aldosivi v Tigre Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture features Tigre visiting Aldosivi, with Tigre currently fifth in the standings and Aldosivi placed 14th. Tigre arrives in better form, having accumulated eight points recently compared to Aldosivi's two, and they boast a stronger defensive record, conceding just 0.6 goals per game versus Aldosivi's 1.4. Tigre's tactical setup emphasizes disciplined defense and efficient counterattacks, while Aldosivi struggles to convert chances, scoring less than one goal per game. The match carries importance for Tigre to maintain their top-table position and for Aldosivi to improve their standing, setting up a contest where Tigre's form and defensive solidity are key factors.

BT4Y best bet

Tigre to Win

  • Tigre ranks 5th with 7 points; Aldosivi is 14th with 1 point
  • Tigre concedes only 0.6 goals per game, Aldosivi concedes 1.4
  • Tigre averages 13.8 shots and 4.4 corners per game, showing attacking activity
  • Aldosivi has an 80% BTTS rate, Tigre only 40%, indicating defensive strength for Tigre

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Tigre's of 70% to win is supported by their superior recent form, stronger defensive record, and higher league standing. Their ability to limit goals conceded (0.6 per game) contrasts with Aldosivi's defensive vulnerabilities. Tigre's attacking players, notably D. Martínez, contribute consistent goal threats and key passes, enhancing scoring potential. The at 2.7 offer positive value given the implied chance of 37%. This pick is a solid data-backed choice reflecting Tigre's tactical discipline and offensive efficiency.

Recent FormTigre has 8 points recently vs Aldosivi's 2
Strong positive
Defensive StrengthTigre concedes 0.6 goals/game vs Aldosivi 1.4
Strong positive
Player ImpactD. Romero 7 goals, P. Martínez key passes
Positive
Odds Value2.7 odds imply 37% chance vs model 70%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Tigre's tactical discipline and superior defensive record make them the likely winners in this matchup. Their recent form and attacking threats from key players like D. Romero provide a strong foundation for victory, while Aldosivi's struggles to score and weaker defense further tilt the balance in Tigre's favor.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tigre to Win

“Tigre's blend of defensive resilience and attacking efficiency positions them well to secure victory against a struggling Aldosivi side. Their consistent goal threat and tactical control are decisive factors in this contest.”

Key Data Signals

Tigre to Win evidence

Tigre ranks 5th with 7 points; Aldosivi is 14th with 1 point

Tigre concedes only 0.6 goals per game, Aldosivi concedes 1.4

Tigre averages 13.8 shots and 4.4 corners per game, showing attacking activity

Aldosivi has an 80% BTTS rate, Tigre only 40%, indicating defensive strength for Tigre

What To Watch In The Data

Tigre to Win notes

  • In the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderately paced games.
  • Tigre's lower over 2.5 goals rate (20%) compared to Aldosivi's (40%) suggests Tigre prefers controlled matches with fewer goals.
  • This trend implies the fixture may not be high scoring, with Tigre focusing on defensive solidity and efficient attacks rather than open, high-tempo play.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aldosivi0.8
Avg goals scored
Tigre1
Aldosivi1.4
Avg goals conceded
Tigre0.6
Aldosivi80%
BTTS rate
Tigre40%
Aldosivi40%
Over 2.5 goals
Tigre20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Aldosivi's 80% BTTS rate contrasts with Tigre's 40%, suggesting Aldosivi often concedes and scores, while Tigre tends to keep cleaner sheets. The average goals per game in their head-to-head is 2, indicating moderate scoring. This match may see Tigre controlling defensively to limit Aldosivi's scoring chances, reducing the likelihood of BTTS and very high goal totals.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aldosivi

LLLDD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 6L
07 Aug 2026A Rosario Central1-2
02 Aug 2026H Gimnasia L.P.1-2
29 Jul 2026A Barracas Central0-1
24 Jul 2026A Defensa Y Justicia1-1
03 May 2026H Independ. Rivadavia1-1

Tigre

WDWLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
08 Aug 2026H River Plate1-0
06 Aug 2026H Belgrano Cordoba0-0
02 Aug 2026A Racing Club3-1
25 Jul 2026A Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0-1
03 May 2026A Rosario Central1-1
Market aligned with main pickTigre to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Tigre Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Tigre's recent form is markedly better, with 8 points gained compared to Aldosivi's 2. Tigre's defense has conceded only 0.6 goals per game recently, underpinning their ability to maintain leads. Aldosivi's struggles to score and higher goals conceded rate reflect their current challenges. This form disparity supports Tigre's likelihood to control the match and secure victory.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Tigre20164843
14Aldosivi816088-13
5Tigre852212
14Aldosivi25023-3
Tigre sits comfortably in 5th place with 7 points, aiming to consolidate their position near the top of the table. Aldosivi, in 14th with just 1 point, face pressure to improve results to avoid slipping further. The standings reflect Tigre's stronger overall campaign and motivation to maintain momentum, while Aldosivi must address defensive and scoring issues to climb the table.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTigre to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Tigre Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The for Tigre to win at 2.7 represent a strong value opportunity given the model's 70% win probability. The implied chance of 37% is significantly lower than the model's estimate, indicating the market underestimates Tigre's chances. This pricing reflects Tigre's solid form and defensive strength, making the bet attractive without price warnings or reduced stake guidance.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Aldosivi2.5
Avg corners for
Tigre6.67
Aldosivi10.5
Avg total corners
Tigre10.33
Aldosivi2
Avg yellow cards
Tigre1.67
Aldosivi8.5
Avg shots
Tigre17.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams average similar corners per game (Aldosivi 4.2, Tigre 4.4), reflecting balanced territorial battles. Tigre's higher average shots (13.8) and shots on target (4) indicate more offensive pressure. Yellow card averages are close, with Tigre slightly higher, suggesting a competitive but disciplined match. The data points to Tigre applying sustained pressure with controlled aggression.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Aldosivi wins
1Draws
6Tigre wins
12 Feb 2026Tigre v Aldosivi1-0
21 Sep 2025Tigre v Aldosivi2-0
09 Mar 2025Aldosivi v Tigre0-2
30 Sep 2022Tigre v Aldosivi3-0
12 Mar 2022Aldosivi v Tigre1-0
02 Sep 2018Aldosivi v Tigre0-2
Market aligned with main pickTigre to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The eight previous meetings between these teams have produced an average of 2 goals per game, indicating balanced encounters. While the sample size is moderate, it suggests neither side dominates heavily. Tigre's recent form and defensive improvements provide them an edge, but historical data advises a cautious approach to expecting high-scoring or one-sided outcomes.
Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

Aldosivi21
Played
Tigre0
Aldosivi0.4
Avg goals for
Tigre-
Aldosivi1.2
Avg goals against
Tigre-
Aldosivi5
Clean sheets
Tigre-
Market aligned with main pickTigre to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Tigre Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Over the season, Tigre has demonstrated a strong defensive record, conceding fewer goals than Aldosivi, who have struggled at the back. Tigre's attack is efficient, averaging 1 goal per game, supported by key players like Romero and Martínez. Aldosivi's lower scoring rate and higher concession rate highlight their vulnerability, reinforcing Tigre's advantage in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Aldosivi Over 2.5
20%Tigre Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderately paced games. Tigre's lower over 2.5 goals rate (20%) compared to Aldosivi's (40%) suggests Tigre prefers controlled matches with fewer goals. This trend implies the fixture may not be high scoring, with Tigre focusing on defensive solidity and efficient attacks rather than open, high-tempo play.

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Fixture links

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