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Newells Old Boys crestNewells Old Boys
v
Deportivo Riestra crestDeportivo Riestra

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sat 15 Aug, 23:00

Newells Old Boys v Deportivo Riestra Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture features Deportivo Riestra visiting Newells Old Boys in a contest where the away side holds a slight edge in recent form and league standing. Deportivo Riestra ranks 4th with 6 points, showing a more robust defensive record, conceding only 0.6 goals per game compared to Newells Old Boys' 1.2. Both teams have similar goal-scoring rates, but Riestra's ability to limit opponents' chances and their higher recent points tally suggests a tactical setup geared towards efficient counter-attacks and defensive solidity. The match promises a tactical battle with Riestra aiming to capitalize on their momentum and defensive discipline.

BT4Y best bet

Deportivo Riestra to Win

  • Deportivo Riestra has a 53.9% to win, with strong value at 3.8 .
  • Riestra concedes just 0.6 goals per game, half of Newells Old Boys' 1.2 average.
  • Newells Old Boys have a 60% BTTS rate, but Riestra's is only 20%, indicating defensive strength.
  • Deportivo Riestra averages 10 shots and 4 on target per game, showing attacking threat.
  • Recent form favors Riestra with 7 points versus Newells Old Boys' 5 in recent matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Deportivo Riestra's defensive resilience and efficient attack underpin the model's in their win probability of 53.9%. Their low goals conceded rate (0.6 per game) contrasts with Newells Old Boys' higher concession rate, suggesting Riestra can control the match tempo and limit scoring opportunities. Additionally, Riestra's superior recent form and higher shot volume indicate a balanced approach capable of breaking down Newells' defense. The of 3.8 offer significant value given the implied chance is only 26.3%, making this a compelling selection without price caution.

Defensive record0.6 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Recent form7 points vs 5 points
Positive
Shot volume10 shots per game for Riestra
Positive
Value edge27.6% positive
Strong positive
BTTS rateRiestra 20% vs Newells 60%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Deportivo Riestra's disciplined defensive approach combined with their efficient attacking output makes them a strong candidate for victory. Their recent form and ability to limit goals conceded provide a tactical edge over Newells Old Boys, who have struggled defensively. This match could hinge on Riestra's capacity to maintain defensive organization while exploiting counter-attacking opportunities.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Deportivo Riestra's blend of defensive solidity and measured attacking threat positions them well to secure a win here, especially given Newells Old Boys' defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent form.”

Key Data Signals

Deportivo Riestra to Win evidence

Deportivo Riestra has a 53.9% to win, with strong value at 3.8 .

Riestra concedes just 0.6 goals per game, half of Newells Old Boys' 1.2 average.

Newells Old Boys have a 60% BTTS rate, but Riestra's is only 20%, indicating defensive strength.

Deportivo Riestra averages 10 shots and 4 on target per game, showing attacking threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Deportivo Riestra to Win notes

  • In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a moderately open game historically.
  • Both teams have shown tendencies for matches with over 2.5 goals, but Riestra's defensive improvements this season may reduce this trend.
  • The tempo and chance creation suggest a balanced contest with potential for decisive moments rather than a high-scoring affair.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Newells Old Boys1
Avg goals scored
Deportivo Riestra1.2
Newells Old Boys1.2
Avg goals conceded
Deportivo Riestra0.6
Newells Old Boys60%
BTTS rate
Deportivo Riestra20%
Newells Old Boys40%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Riestra40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +14.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Goal trends indicate a low-scoring match with Riestra conceding only 0.6 goals per game and Newells Old Boys averaging 1.2. Newells have a 60% BTTS rate, but Riestra's 20% suggests they often keep clean sheets. This points to a match potentially decided by a narrow margin, with limited goal-scoring from Riestra but a strong defensive setup.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Newells Old Boys

LDLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
09 Aug 2026A Defensa Y Justicia1-2
02 Aug 2026H Boca Juniors2-2
31 Jul 2026A Independiente0-1
25 Jul 2026H Talleres Cordoba1-0
04 May 2026A Velez Sarsfield1-1

Deportivo Riestra

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
08 Aug 2026H Estudiantes L.P.2-0
02 Aug 2026H Barracas Central0-1
29 Jul 2026A Defensa Y Justicia1-2
26 Jul 2026H Boca Juniors3-0
02 May 2026A Lanus0-0
Market aligned with main pickDeportivo Riestra to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Deportivo Riestra Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Recent form favors Deportivo Riestra, who have accumulated 7 points compared to Newells Old Boys' 5 in their latest matches. Riestra's defensive solidity, conceding only 0.6 goals per game recently, contrasts with Newells' 1.2, indicating Riestra's momentum and in maintaining control. This form differential supports Riestra's chances to secure a win in this fixture.

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League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14Newells Old Boys1516367-12
15Deportivo Riestra1116187-7
4Deportivo Riestra642023
10Newells Old Boys44112-1
Deportivo Riestra sits 4th in the league with 6 points, indicating strong early-season form and competitive positioning. Newells Old Boys are 10th with 4 points, reflecting a less consistent start. While league standings are early, Riestra's higher rank and points tally suggest greater stability and potential to control this match's outcome.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDeportivo Riestra to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Riestra Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The current of 3.8 for Deportivo Riestra to win reflect a significant value opportunity as the model estimates their chance at 53.9%. This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates Riestra's defensive strength and recent form. The price is attractive for bettors seeking a positive expected value, with no immediate warning flags on price sensitivity.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Newells Old Boys5.2
Avg corners for
Deportivo Riestra3.8
Newells Old Boys11.8
Avg total corners
Deportivo Riestra7.8
Newells Old Boys2.6
Avg yellow cards
Deportivo Riestra2.8
Newells Old Boys8.2
Avg shots
Deportivo Riestra10
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 54% · edge +9.2 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Deportivo Riestra averages fewer corners (3.8) than Newells Old Boys (5.2), but compensates with higher shot volume (10 shots per game) and shots on target (4). Both teams have similar yellow card averages, indicating a balanced physical contest. Riestra's ability to generate quality shots despite fewer corners highlights their attacking efficiency.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Newells Old Boys wins
2Draws
0Deportivo Riestra wins
16 Feb 2026Deportivo Riestra v Newells Old Boys1-1
27 Sep 2024Deportivo Riestra v Newells Old Boys3-3
16 May 2024Deportivo Riestra v Newells Old Boys0-1
Market aligned with main pickDeportivo Riestra to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The three previous meetings between these teams have averaged three goals per game, showing a history of open contests. However, recent defensive improvements by Deportivo Riestra suggest that historical goal averages may overstate the likelihood of a high-scoring match this time. The head-to-head data provides context but is less predictive given current form and tactical setups.
Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

Newells Old Boys20
Played
Deportivo Riestra20
Newells Old Boys1
Avg goals for
Deportivo Riestra0.6
Newells Old Boys1.6
Avg goals against
Deportivo Riestra0.8
Newells Old Boys3
Clean sheets
Deportivo Riestra8
Market aligned with main pickDeportivo Riestra to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Riestra Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over the season, Deportivo Riestra's defensive record stands out with just 0.6 goals conceded per game, showcasing consistent defensive discipline. Their attack averages 1.2 goals per game, sufficient to capitalize on chances. Newells Old Boys have a higher concession rate and a slightly lower goal output, suggesting Riestra's season-long balance between attack and defense gives them an edge.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Newells Old Boys Over 2.5
40%Deportivo Riestra Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a moderately open game historically. Both teams have shown tendencies for matches with over 2.5 goals, but Riestra's defensive improvements this season may reduce this trend. The tempo and chance creation suggest a balanced contest with potential for decisive moments rather than a high-scoring affair.

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