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New York City FC crestNew York City FC
v
New York Red Bulls crestNew York Red Bulls

Major League Soccer | Sat 19 Sep, 00:30

New York City FC v New York Red Bulls Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

New York City FC face New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer on Sat 19 Sep, 00:30. New York City FC come in with 6 recent points and 1 goals per match, while New York Red Bulls have 5 points and 0.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 2, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • New York City FC lead the corner sample at 4.4 per match, with New York Red Bulls lower at 4.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: New York City FC average 9.6 and New York Red Bulls average 10.8.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. New York City FC lead the corner sample at 4.4 per match, with New York Red Bulls lower at 4.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
New York City FC lead the corner sample at 4.4.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers New York City FC lead the corner sample at 4.4 per match, with New York Red Bulls lower at 4. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

New York City FC lead the corner sample at 4.4 per match, with New York Red Bulls lower at 4.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: New York City FC average 9.6 and New York Red Bulls average 10.8.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

New York City FC1
Avg goals scored
New York Red Bulls0.6
New York City FC0.8
Avg goals conceded
New York Red Bulls1.2
New York City FC60%
BTTS rate
New York Red Bulls40%
New York City FC20%
Over 2.5 goals
New York Red Bulls20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

New York City FC

WLDDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
13 Sep 2026A Real Salt Lake2-0
10 Sep 2026H New England Revolution1-2
05 Sep 2026H Nashville SC0-0
30 Aug 2026A Toronto FC1-1
23 Aug 2026A New England Revolution1-1

New York Red Bulls

WLDLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
13 Sep 2026A Columbus Crew1-0
10 Sep 2026A Los Angeles FC0-2
06 Sep 2026A Seattle Sounders0-0
30 Aug 2026H Philadelphia Union1-3
23 Aug 2026H Chicago Fire1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 51% · edge +7.6 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
New York Red Bulls to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
New York Red Bulls Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
New York City FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
New York City FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8New York City FC32258896
10New York Red Bulls30258611-15
New York City FC sit in position 8, while New York Red Bulls sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the Over 9.5 Corners assessment.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionNew York Red Bulls to WinBetfred guide price · Model 32% vs implied 24% · edge +7.4 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Load more odds for this section
New York Red Bulls Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
New York City FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
New York City FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
New York Red Bulls to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

New York City FC4.4
Avg corners for
New York Red Bulls4
New York City FC10.4
Avg total corners
New York Red Bulls10.8
New York City FC1.6
Avg yellow cards
New York Red Bulls1.8
New York City FC9.6
Avg shots
New York Red Bulls10.8
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5New York City FC wins
2Draws
3New York Red Bulls wins
17 May 2026New York Red Bulls v New York City FC1-1
30 Apr 2026New York Red Bulls v New York City FC1-3
28 Sep 2025New York Red Bulls v New York City FC2-3
17 May 2025New York City FC v New York Red Bulls2-0
23 Nov 2024New York City FC v New York Red Bulls0-2
29 Sep 2024New York Red Bulls v New York City FC1-5
Best odds for this sectionNew York Red Bulls to WinBetfred guide price · Model 32% vs implied 24% · edge +7.4 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
New York City FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The head-to-head sample gives context for New York Red Bulls to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Major League Soccer

New York City FC25
Played
New York Red Bulls25
New York City FC1.6
Avg goals for
New York Red Bulls1.3
New York City FC1.3
Avg goals against
New York Red Bulls1.9
New York City FC5
Clean sheets
New York Red Bulls3
Best odds for this sectionNew York Red Bulls to WinBetfred guide price · Model 32% vs implied 24% · edge +7.4 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Load more odds for this section
New York Red Bulls Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
New York City FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
New York City FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Season data supports New York Red Bulls to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%New York City FC Over 2.5
20%New York Red Bulls Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: New York City FC sit at 20% and New York Red Bulls sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

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