Rot-Weiß Essen

FC St. Pauli

DFB Pokal | Sun 23 Aug, 17:00

Rot-Weiß Essen v FC St. Pauli Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rot-Weiß Essen face FC St. Pauli in DFB Pokal on Sun 23 Aug, 17:00.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

At 2.35, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 43%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 43% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 43% implied

Positive

Price sensitivityEdge +11.4 pts

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionRot-Weiß Essen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 29% · edge +13.6 pts

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

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Rot-Weiß Essen Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

FC St. Pauli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

FC St. Pauli to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%

Check odds @ 2

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Rot-Weiß Essen to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

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Useful next reads

player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Rot-Weiß Essen Over 2.5

-FC St. Pauli Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rot-Weiß Essen-

Avg goals scored

FC St. Pauli-

Rot-Weiß Essen-

Avg goals conceded

FC St. Pauli-

Rot-Weiß Essen-

BTTS rate

FC St. Pauli-

Rot-Weiß Essen-

Over 2.5 goals

FC St. Pauli-

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 43% · edge +11.4 pts

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rot-Weiß Essen

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Rot-Weiß Essen yet.

FC St. Pauli

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for FC St. Pauli yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Rot-Weiß Essen to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Rot-Weiß Essen Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

FC St. Pauli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

FC St. Pauli to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%

Check odds @ 2

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Rot-Weiß Essen wins

0Draws

0FC St. Pauli wins

Best odds for this sectionRot-Weiß Essen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 29% · edge +13.6 pts

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

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DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

FC St. Pauli to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%

Check odds @ 2

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Rot-Weiß Essen to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

DFB Pokal

Rot-Weiß Essen1

Played

FC St. Pauli1

Rot-Weiß Essen2

Avg goals for

FC St. Pauli0

Rot-Weiß Essen0

Avg goals against

FC St. Pauli2

Rot-Weiß Essen1

Clean sheets

FC St. Pauli0

Best odds for this sectionRot-Weiß Essen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 29% · edge +13.6 pts

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

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Rot-Weiß Essen Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

FC St. Pauli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

FC St. Pauli to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%

Check odds @ 2

Season data supports Rot-Weiß Essen to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Rot-Weiß Essen v FC St. Pauli Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Rot-Weiß Essen

FC St. Pauli

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Football Stats Hub

Rot-Weiß Essen v FC St. Pauli Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Rot-Weiß Essen

FC St. Pauli

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