Phönix Lübeck

SC Paderborn 07

DFB Pokal | Sun 23 Aug, 17:00

Phönix Lübeck v SC Paderborn 07 Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Phönix Lübeck face SC Paderborn 07 in DFB Pokal on Sun 23 Aug, 17:00.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

At 4.5, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 22%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 37%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 37% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 22% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price37% model chance against roughly 22% implied

Strong positive

Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionPhönix Lübeck Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 7

Load more odds for this section

DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%

Check odds @ 8

Phönix Lübeck to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 15

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

SC Paderborn 07 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

SC Paderborn 07 to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Phönix Lübeck Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Phönix Lübeck Over 2.5

-SC Paderborn 07 Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Phönix Lübeck-

Avg goals scored

SC Paderborn 07-

Phönix Lübeck-

Avg goals conceded

SC Paderborn 07-

Phönix Lübeck-

BTTS rate

SC Paderborn 07-

Phönix Lübeck-

Over 2.5 goals

SC Paderborn 07-

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Load more odds for this section

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%

1.48

Check odds @ 1.48

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Phönix Lübeck

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Phönix Lübeck yet.

SC Paderborn 07

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for SC Paderborn 07 yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts

5.5

Check odds @ 5.5

Load more odds for this section

Phönix Lübeck Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%

Check odds @ 7

DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%

Check odds @ 8

Phönix Lübeck to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 15

Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 71%

1.03

Check odds @ 1.03

SC Paderborn 07 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

SC Paderborn 07 to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Phönix Lübeck wins

0Draws

0SC Paderborn 07 wins

Best odds for this sectionDrawBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 13% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 8

Load more odds for this section

Phönix Lübeck to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 15

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

SC Paderborn 07 to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Draw, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

DFB Pokal

Phönix Lübeck0

Played

SC Paderborn 070

Phönix Lübeck0

Avg goals for

SC Paderborn 070

Phönix Lübeck0

Avg goals against

SC Paderborn 070

Phönix Lübeck0

Clean sheets

SC Paderborn 070

Best odds for this sectionPhönix Lübeck Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 7

Load more odds for this section

Phönix Lübeck to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 15

SC Paderborn 07 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

SC Paderborn 07 to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Season data supports Phönix Lübeck Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Phönix Lübeck v SC Paderborn 07 Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Phönix Lübeck

SC Paderborn 07

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Phönix Lübeck v SC Paderborn 07 Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Phönix Lübeck

SC Paderborn 07

Related football research

Prediction context

More stats pages

Competition and hubs

Next step