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Fortuna Düsseldorf crestFortuna Düsseldorf
v
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

DFB Pokal | Sun 23 Aug, 17:00

Fortuna Düsseldorf v SC Freiburg Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:37 UK time
BT4Y best bet

Freiburg to win and both teams to score

  • At 6/4, Freiburg to win and both teams to score implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Both Teams to Score YES (@ 4/6): Settles as winning if both teams score at least once in 90 minutes, regardless of whether the.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for Freiburg to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Both Teams to Score YES (@ 4/6): Settles as winning if both teams score at least once in 90 minutes, regardless of whether the.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Positive
Both Teams to Score YES (@ 4/6): Settles as.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +10 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because both Teams to Score YES (@ 4/6): Settles as winning if both teams score at least once in 90 minutes, regardless of whether the match ends in a draw, home. Their attacking output may currently be strong enough to compensate, but the defence has not been airtight.

Main risk

Their attacking output may currently be strong enough to compensate, but the defence has not been airtight.

Key Data Signals

Freiburg to win and both teams to score evidence

Both Teams to Score YES (@ 4/6): Settles as winning if both teams score at least once in.

What To Watch In The Data

Freiburg to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fortuna Düsseldorf-
Avg goals scored
SC Freiburg-
Fortuna Düsseldorf-
Avg goals conceded
SC Freiburg-
Fortuna Düsseldorf-
BTTS rate
SC Freiburg-
Fortuna Düsseldorf-
Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -9.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.6
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -9.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Fortuna Düsseldorf Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
SC Freiburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf to WinBet365 guide price · model 16%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Fortuna Düsseldorf yet.

SC Freiburg

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for SC Freiburg yet.

Best odds for this sectionFortuna Düsseldorf Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
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Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 48%
2.75
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
SC Freiburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf to WinBet365 guide price · model 16%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Fortuna Düsseldorf wins
2Draws
4SC Freiburg wins
29 Oct 2025Fortuna Düsseldorf v SC Freiburg1-3
22 Feb 2020SC Freiburg v Fortuna Dusseldorf0-2
29 Sep 2019Fortuna Dusseldorf v SC Freiburg1-2
05 May 2019SC Freiburg v Fortuna Dusseldorf1-1
15 Dec 2018Fortuna Dusseldorf v SC Freiburg2-0
14 Feb 2016SC Freiburg v Fortuna Dusseldorf1-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -9.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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SC Freiburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf to WinBet365 guide price · model 16%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

DFB Pokal

Fortuna Düsseldorf1
Played
SC Freiburg1
Fortuna Düsseldorf1
Avg goals for
SC Freiburg5
Fortuna Düsseldorf5
Avg goals against
SC Freiburg1
Fortuna Düsseldorf0
Clean sheets
SC Freiburg0
Best odds for this sectionFortuna Düsseldorf Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
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SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
SC Freiburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf to WinBet365 guide price · model 16%
7
Check odds @ 7
Season data supports Fortuna Düsseldorf Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Fortuna Düsseldorf Over 2.5
-SC Freiburg Over 2.5
2.22H2H avg goals
Both Teams to Score YES (@ 4/6): Settles as winning if both teams score at least once in 90 minutes, regardless of whether the match ends in a.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.