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Renate crestRenate
v
Dolomiti Bellunesi crestDolomiti Bellunesi

Serie C - Girone A | Thu 17 Sep, 20:00

Renate v Dolomiti Bellunesi Stats

Data last updated: Wed 16 Sep 2026, 07:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dolomiti Bellunesi visit Renate in a Serie C - Girone A clash where the away side holds a clear advantage in recent form and league standing. Dolomiti Bellunesi sit fifth with eight points from their opening matches, showcasing defensive solidity by conceding just 0.5 goals per game. Renate, struggling near the bottom with just one point and a leaky defense conceding two goals per match, face an uphill battle. Dolomiti Bellunesi's tactical discipline and momentum suggest they can control the game and secure a valuable away win in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Dolomiti Bellunesi to Win

  • Dolomiti Bellunesi have collected 8 points, showing strong early-season form compared to Renate's 1 point.
  • Renate concede an average of 2 goals per game, while Dolomiti Bellunesi concede only 0.5, highlighting defensive strength.
  • Dolomiti Bellunesi rank 5th in the league, significantly above Renate's 19th position.
  • Recent matches show Dolomiti Bellunesi have a more consistent winning pattern, supporting their chances to win away.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for Dolomiti Bellunesi to win, reflecting their superior form, defensive record, and league position. The implied of 2.9 offer positive value given the model's 70% win probability, indicating a strong betting opportunity. Defensive resilience and recent point accumulation underpin this , while Renate's struggles at both ends of the pitch reduce their competitiveness in this matchup.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Odds vs Model Chance2.9 odds vs 34.5% implied chance
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsDolomiti Bellunesi 8 vs Renate 1
Strong positive
Defensive RecordDolomiti Bellunesi concede 0.5 goals/game vs Renate 2
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Dolomiti Bellunesi's superior defensive record and consistent early-season form make them the clear favorites to win this match. Their tactical discipline and ability to limit goals conceded provide a solid foundation for an away victory, especially against a Renate side struggling for points and defensive stability.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Dolomiti Bellunesi's defensive solidity and momentum set them apart in this fixture, making their win a logical outcome given Renate's current vulnerabilities.”

Key Data Signals

Dolomiti Bellunesi to Win evidence

Dolomiti Bellunesi have collected 8 points, showing strong early-season form compared to Renate's 1 point.

Renate concede an average of 2 goals per game, while Dolomiti Bellunesi concede only 0.5, highlighting defensive strength.

Dolomiti Bellunesi rank 5th in the league, significantly above Renate's 19th position.

Recent matches show Dolomiti Bellunesi have a more consistent winning pattern, supporting their chances to win away.

What To Watch In The Data

Dolomiti Bellunesi to Win notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, suggesting a moderately open game.
  • Dolomiti Bellunesi's balanced attack and Renate's defensive vulnerabilities could lead to a match with goal-scoring opportunities, though defensive discipline may keep the total goals around this average.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Renate1
Avg goals scored
Dolomiti Bellunesi1
Renate2
Avg goals conceded
Dolomiti Bellunesi0.5
Renate75%
BTTS rate
Dolomiti Bellunesi50%
Renate75%
Over 2.5 goals
Dolomiti Bellunesi50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Goal trends indicate a moderate scoring environment with an average of 2.5 goals in their recent head-to-head matches. Dolomiti Bellunesi's defensive strength and Renate's higher concession rate suggest the match could see goals but with Dolomiti Bellunesi likely controlling the tempo and limiting Renate's scoring opportunities.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDolomiti Bellunesi to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Dolomiti Bellunesi Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The of 2.9 for a Dolomiti Bellunesi win reflect a positive value bet given the model's 70% win probability. This pricing suggests the market may be underestimating their chances, making the selection attractive from a value perspective without requiring caution on price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Renate

DLLL
Last 50W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 3L
13 Sep 2026A Lumezzane2-2
07 Sep 2026H Novara1-2
31 Aug 2026H Cittadella0-1
21 Aug 2026A Alcione1-3

Dolomiti Bellunesi

DWDW
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
13 Sep 2026H Albinoleffe0-0
06 Sep 2026A Giana Erminio2-1
30 Aug 2026H Alcione0-0
24 Aug 2026A Folgore Caratese2-1
Market aligned with main pickDolomiti Bellunesi to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Dolomiti Bellunesi Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Dolomiti Bellunesi's recent form is markedly better, with 8 points gained compared to Renate's single point. This momentum reflects and tactical effectiveness, suggesting Dolomiti Bellunesi are well-prepared to secure a win and continue their positive run in the league.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Renate wins
0Draws
0Dolomiti Bellunesi wins
28 Feb 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi v Renate0-3
18 Oct 2025Renate v Dolomiti Bellunesi2-0
Market aligned with main pickDolomiti Bellunesi to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The limited head-to-head sample of two matches shows an average of 2.5 goals per game, indicating moderately competitive encounters. While the sample is small, it suggests neither side dominates heavily, but Dolomiti Bellunesi's current form and defensive record provide a stronger case for their win in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone A

Renate4
Played
Dolomiti Bellunesi4
Renate1
Avg goals for
Dolomiti Bellunesi1
Renate2
Avg goals against
Dolomiti Bellunesi0.5
Renate0
Clean sheets
Dolomiti Bellunesi2
Market aligned with main pickDolomiti Bellunesi to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Dolomiti Bellunesi Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Season statistics highlight Dolomiti Bellunesi's strong defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per game, and a steady attack scoring 1 goal per match. Renate's higher goals conceded and lower points tally underline their struggles, reinforcing Dolomiti Bellunesi's advantage in this matchup.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Dolomiti Bellunesi842202
19Renate14013-4
Dolomiti Bellunesi's 5th place standing with 8 points contrasts sharply with Renate's 19th place and 1 point, indicating a significant gulf in quality and consistency. This league position gap adds pressure on Renate and favors Dolomiti Bellunesi's chances to secure all three points.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Renate Over 2.5
50%Dolomiti Bellunesi Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, suggesting a moderately open game. Dolomiti Bellunesi's balanced attack and Renate's defensive vulnerabilities could lead to a match with goal-scoring opportunities, though defensive discipline may keep the total goals around this average.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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