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PRO Vercelli crestPRO Vercelli
v
Alcione crestAlcione

Serie C - Girone A | Thu 17 Sep, 17:30

PRO Vercelli v Alcione Stats

Data last updated: Wed 16 Sep 2026, 07:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie C - Girone A fixture features PRO Vercelli hosting Alcione, with Alcione currently positioned 4th in the standings and PRO Vercelli 14th. Alcione has shown stronger recent form, accumulating 8 points with a more potent attack averaging 1.75 goals per game compared to PRO Vercelli's 0.75. Alcione's defensive solidity and higher over 2.5 goals rate suggest a more dynamic approach, while PRO Vercelli has struggled to convert chances. The match presents a clear challenge for PRO Vercelli to contain Alcione's offensive threat and improve their own scoring output.

BT4Y best bet

Alcione to Win

  • Alcione ranks 4th with 8 points; PRO Vercelli is 14th with 4 points
  • Alcione averages 1.75 goals per game, PRO Vercelli 0.75
  • Alcione's over 2.5 goals rate is 50%, double PRO Vercelli's 25%
  • Alcione has a 75% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goal exchanges
  • H2H average goals stand at 1.75 over 4 matches, showing moderate scoring history

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Alcione to Win is favored with a of 65.4%, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking output. Alcione's higher scoring rate and better points tally underline their ability to control matches and convert chances. The price at 2.6 offers positive value given the implied chance is only 38.5%. Alcione's balanced defense and offense create a strong football read for victory, supported by consistent performance metrics. No significant data limitations affect this assessment, making this a confident selection based on form and season stats.

Model Chance65.4%
Strong positive
Implied Chance vs Model38.5% vs 65.4%
Strong positive
Recent FormAlcione 8 points vs PRO Vercelli 4
Positive
Goals ForAlcione 1.75 vs PRO Vercelli 0.75
Strong positive
BTTS RateAlcione 75% vs PRO Vercelli 50%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Alcione's superior form and attacking efficiency make them the tactical and statistical favorite to win this match. Their ability to score consistently and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with PRO Vercelli's struggles, suggesting Alcione will likely secure the three points.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Alcione's balanced attack and solid recent performances position them well to capitalize on PRO Vercelli's defensive vulnerabilities in this Serie C clash.”

Key Data Signals

Alcione to Win evidence

Alcione ranks 4th with 8 points; PRO Vercelli is 14th with 4 points

Alcione averages 1.75 goals per game, PRO Vercelli 0.75

Alcione's over 2.5 goals rate is 50%, double PRO Vercelli's 25%

Alcione has a 75% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goal exchanges

What To Watch In The Data

Alcione to Win notes

  • Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.75, suggesting moderate scoring.
  • Alcione's higher over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches points to a trend of more open games with goal opportunities, supporting expectations for a lively attacking contest.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

PRO Vercelli0.75
Avg goals scored
Alcione1.75
PRO Vercelli1
Avg goals conceded
Alcione1
PRO Vercelli50%
BTTS rate
Alcione75%
PRO Vercelli25%
Over 2.5 goals
Alcione50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Alcione's 75% BTTS rate and 50% over 2.5 goals frequency indicate a tendency for open, attacking games with goals at both ends. PRO Vercelli's lower scoring and BTTS rates suggest they may struggle to contain Alcione's offense, supporting expectations of goals and goal exchanges.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAlcione to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
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Alcione Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The of 2.6 for Alcione to Win reflect a significant value opportunity given the model's 65.4% chance estimate. The market underestimates Alcione's form and attacking prowess, making this a price-sensitive pick with clear positive edge.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

PRO Vercelli

LWLD
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
13 Sep 2026A Treviso1-2
07 Sep 2026H Folgore Caratese1-0
30 Aug 2026A Arzignano Valchiampo0-1
23 Aug 2026H Desenzano Calvina1-1

Alcione

WDDW
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
13 Sep 2026A Folgore Caratese3-2
07 Sep 2026H Treviso1-1
30 Aug 2026A Dolomiti Bellunesi0-0
21 Aug 2026H Renate3-1
Market aligned with main pickAlcione to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Alcione Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Alcione's recent form, with 8 points and a higher goal average, demonstrates momentum and . PRO Vercelli's 4 points and lower scoring highlight struggles to convert chances, making Alcione the more likely winner based on current performance trajectories.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3PRO Vercelli wins
1Draws
0Alcione wins
28 Mar 2026Alcione v PRO Vercelli1-1
22 Nov 2025PRO Vercelli v Alcione1-0
22 Mar 2025Alcione v PRO Vercelli1-2
08 Nov 2024PRO Vercelli v Alcione1-0
Market aligned with main pickAlcione to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The four previous meetings between these teams have averaged 1.75 goals per game, indicating a moderately competitive scoring environment. While the sample size is limited, this history suggests neither side dominates defensively, aligning with Alcione's stronger recent form to tip the balance in their favor.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone A

PRO Vercelli4
Played
Alcione4
PRO Vercelli0.8
Avg goals for
Alcione1.8
PRO Vercelli1
Avg goals against
Alcione1
PRO Vercelli1
Clean sheets
Alcione1
Market aligned with main pickAlcione to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Alcione Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Season-long statistics show Alcione with a stronger attack and comparable defense, underpinning their winning chances. PRO Vercelli's lower goal production and points tally reflect difficulties in both scoring and preventing goals, reinforcing Alcione's advantage.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Alcione842203
14PRO Vercelli44112-1
Alcione's 4th place standing with 8 points contrasts with PRO Vercelli's 14th and 4 points, indicating a clear disparity in league performance and consistency. This table position difference adds pressure on PRO Vercelli to perform and favors Alcione's and tactical approach.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%PRO Vercelli Over 2.5
50%Alcione Over 2.5
1.75H2H avg goals
Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.75, suggesting moderate scoring. Alcione's higher over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches points to a trend of more open games with goal opportunities, supporting expectations for a lively attacking contest.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.