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RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig
v
FC St. Pauli crestFC St. Pauli

Bundesliga | Sat 09 May, 14:30

RB Leipzig v FC St. Pauli Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.8, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 56% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +20.4-point value edge.
  • RB Leipzig have scored in 100% of the recent sample and FC St. Pauli have scored in 60%, with BTTS rates of 80% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: RB Leipzig have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: FC St. Pauli have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.8, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%RB Leipzig Over 2.5
40%FC St. Pauli Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

RB Leipzig

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
02 May 2026A Bayer Leverkusen1-4
24 Apr 2026H Union Berlin3-1
18 Apr 2026A Eintracht Frankfurt3-1
11 Apr 2026H Borussia Mönchengladbach1-0
04 Apr 2026A Werder Bremen2-1

FC St. Pauli

LLDLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
03 May 2026H FSV Mainz 051-2
25 Apr 2026A 1. FC Heidenheim0-2
17 Apr 2026H 1. FC Köln1-1
11 Apr 2026H Bayern München0-5
05 Apr 2026A Union Berlin1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 20% · edge +22 pts
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.07
Bet HERE @ 1.07
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

RB Leipzig2
Avg goals scored
FC St. Pauli0.6
RB Leipzig1.4
Avg goals conceded
FC St. Pauli2.2
RB Leipzig80%
BTTS rate
FC St. Pauli60%
RB Leipzig80%
Over 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

3RB Leipzig wins
2Draws
3FC St. Pauli wins
27 Jan 2026FC St. Pauli v RB Leipzig1-1
09 Feb 2025RB Leipzig v FC St. Pauli2-0
29 Oct 2024RB Leipzig v FC St. Pauli4-2
22 Sep 2024FC St. Pauli v RB Leipzig0-0
12 Feb 2016FC St. Pauli v RB Leipzig1-0
23 Aug 2015RB Leipzig v FC St. Pauli0-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

RB Leipzig6
Avg corners for
FC St. Pauli4.75
RB Leipzig10
Avg total corners
FC St. Pauli10.25
RB Leipzig2
Avg yellow cards
FC St. Pauli2
RB Leipzig16.8
Avg shots
FC St. Pauli10
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.6 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleC. Baumgartner Anytime GoalscorerC. Baumgartner · 13 goals · 1.14 SOT/90
78/100
Bet HERE
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R. Jones 1+ Shot On TargetR. Jones · 1.61 shots on target/90
80/100
Bet HERE
C. Harder 2+ ShotsC. Harder · 2.98 shots/90
78/100
Bet HERE
D. Raum To Assist / Key Pass AngleD. Raum · 6 assists · 3.44 key passes/90
76/100
Bet HERE
A. Nusa To Be FouledA. Nusa · 2.84 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Abdoulie Ceesay Card RiskAbdoulie Ceesay · 3 yellows · 3.41 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
C. Baumgartner
C. BaumgartnerRB Leipzig · Midfielder
Goal threat70/100
Shots /902.24
SOT /901.14
Y. Diomande
Y. DiomandeRB Leipzig · Attacker
Goal threat67/100
Shots /901.48
SOT /900.94
Rômulo
RômuloRB Leipzig · Attacker
Goal threat66/100
Shots /902.23
SOT /901.16
R. Jones
R. JonesFC St. Pauli · Attacker
Goal threat54/100
Shots /902.14
SOT /901.61
B. Gruda
B. GrudaRB Leipzig · Midfielder
Goal threat61/100
Shots /901.62
SOT /901.47
C. Harder
C. HarderRB Leipzig · Attacker
Goal threat59/100
Shots /902.98
SOT /901.28
Abdoulie Ceesay
Abdoulie CeesayFC St. Pauli · Attacker
Goal threat31/100
Shots /901.86
SOT /900.62
E. Banzuzi
E. BanzuziRB Leipzig · Midfielder
Goal threat22/100
Shots /901.21
SOT /900.6
Season team stats

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig32
Played
FC St. Pauli32
RB Leipzig2
Avg goals for
FC St. Pauli0.8
RB Leipzig1.3
Avg goals against
FC St. Pauli1.7
RB Leipzig11
Clean sheets
FC St. Pauli5
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 20% · edge +22 pts
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3RB Leipzig6232195821
17FC St. Pauli26326818-28

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.