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Randers FC crestRanders FC
v
Odense crestOdense

Superliga | Sun 13 Sep, 15:00

Randers FC v Odense Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Randers FC hosts Odense in a Superliga clash where recent form and tactical solidity favor the home side. Randers FC has collected 9 points from recent matches, showing a balanced attack and defense, while Odense struggles with only 2 points and defensive vulnerabilities. The fixture offers Randers FC a chance to consolidate mid-table standing with home advantage and a more cohesive squad shape. Odense's attacking efforts are notable but inconsistent, setting up a contest where Randers FC's tactical discipline and home momentum are key factors.

BT4Y best bet

Randers FC to Win

  • Randers FC holds a strong recent form with 9 points versus Odense's 2 points.
  • Randers FC averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1.2 per game, showing defensive stability.
  • Odense concedes 2.2 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty to exploit.
  • Randers FC's to win is 74%, significantly higher than the implied chance.
  • Key Randers FC players like M. Sankoh provide goal threat and shot accuracy.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Randers FC to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, defensive solidity, and home advantage. Randers FC's attack is efficient with players like M. Sankoh contributing goals and shots on target. Odense's defensive struggles and lower points tally further support this pick. The offer positive value with a 27.5% edge, making Randers FC to win a strong selection based on both data and football context.

Recent FormRanders FC 9 points vs Odense 2 points
Strong positive
Defensive ProfileRanders FC concedes 1.2 goals/game vs Odense 2.2
Positive
Player ImpactM. Themsen 3 goals, 1.17 SOT/90; M. Sankoh 0.69 goals/90
Strong positive
Value Edge27.5% positive edge on odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Randers FC's tactical discipline and home form make them the clear favorites in this Superliga fixture. Their balanced attack and improved defensive record contrast with Odense's struggles at the back and limited points haul. Expect Randers FC to control the game and secure a win through efficient finishing and solid organization.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Randers FC's blend of attacking threat and defensive resilience positions them well to capitalize on Odense's defensive weaknesses, making a home win the most logical outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Randers FC to Win evidence

Randers FC holds a strong recent form with 9 points versus Odense's 2 points.

Randers FC averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1.2 per game, showing defensive stability.

Odense concedes 2.2 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty to exploit.

Randers FC's to win is 74%, significantly higher than the implied chance.

What To Watch In The Data

Randers FC to Win notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals in Randers FC vs Odense fixtures is 2.8, with both teams showing a 60% rate for over 2.5 goals in recent games.
  • This suggests a moderately open game with chances for both sides, though Randers FC's defensive discipline may keep the total goals around this average rather than a high-scoring affair.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Randers FC1.4
Avg goals scored
Odense0.8
Randers FC1.2
Avg goals conceded
Odense2.2
Randers FC20%
BTTS rate
Odense60%
Randers FC60%
Over 2.5 goals
Odense60%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 50% vs implied 48% · edge +1.9 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have a 60% rate for matches going over 2.5 goals, but Randers FC's low BTTS rate of 20% versus Odense's 60% suggests a game where Randers FC may control scoring while limiting Odense's chances. The average goals in their head-to-head is 2.8, supporting a moderately open game with a slight lean towards Randers FC scoring more.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRanders FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Randers FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The for Randers FC to win reflect a significant positive value compared to the model's 74% win probability. The current price of 2.15 implies only a 46.5% chance, indicating the market underestimates Randers FC's chances. This discrepancy highlights a strong value opportunity for backing the home side.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Randers FC4
Avg corners for
Odense4.8
Randers FC11.2
Avg total corners
Odense10.8
Randers FC1.8
Avg yellow cards
Odense3.2
Randers FC9
Avg shots
Odense12.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 82% · edge -7 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Odense averages more shots (12.4) and corners (4.8) than Randers FC, indicating they press offensively despite defensive issues. However, Randers FC's better defensive discipline is reflected in fewer yellow cards (1.8 vs 3.2), suggesting they maintain control and limit fouls, which can disrupt opponent momentum and reduce dangerous set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Randers FC

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 3L
06 Sep 2026A Brondby3-0
30 Aug 2026H Aarhus2-1
23 Aug 2026A FC Midtjylland0-1
16 Aug 2026H FC Copenhagen0-4
09 Aug 2026H Lyngby2-0

Odense

LDDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 4L
06 Sep 2026H FC Copenhagen0-5
30 Aug 2026A Lyngby1-1
23 Aug 2026A Aarhus2-2
16 Aug 2026H AC Horsens1-2
10 Aug 2026A Silkeborg0-1
Market aligned with main pickRanders FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Randers FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Randers FC's recent form with 9 points and an average of 1.4 goals scored per game contrasts sharply with Odense's 2 points and 0.8 goals scored. Randers FC's defense concedes fewer goals, reinforcing their momentum and going into this match, which supports their likelihood to secure a win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Randers FC wins
6Draws
4Odense wins
11 May 2026Randers FC v Odense2-2
19 Apr 2026Odense v Randers FC3-1
24 Nov 2025Randers FC v Odense0-0
11 Aug 2025Odense v Randers FC3-2
19 May 2024Odense v Randers FC2-0
19 Apr 2024Randers FC v Odense2-2
Market aligned with main pickRanders FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The last ten meetings between Randers FC and Odense average 2.8 goals per game, indicating a tendency for moderately high-scoring matches. While this supports the potential for goals, the head-to-head record does not heavily favor either side, making current form and home advantage more decisive factors.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Superliga

Randers FC7
Played
Odense7
Randers FC1.1
Avg goals for
Odense0.7
Randers FC1.1
Avg goals against
Odense1.7
Randers FC2
Clean sheets
Odense1
Market aligned with main pickRanders FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Randers FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Randers FC's season stats show a balanced attack and defense with 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, indicating consistent performance. Odense's higher goals conceded (2.2) and lower scoring rate (0.8) highlight defensive vulnerabilities and offensive inefficiency, reinforcing Randers FC's advantage.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Randers FC1073130
10Odense57124-7
Randers FC sits comfortably in 6th place with 10 points, while Odense lags in 10th with 5 points. This gap reflects Randers FC's stronger season start and less pressure, allowing them to play with at home. Odense's position adds urgency but also exposes their struggles against mid-table teams like Randers FC.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Randers FC Over 2.5
60%Odense Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals in Randers FC vs Odense fixtures is 2.8, with both teams showing a 60% rate for over 2.5 goals in recent games. This suggests a moderately open game with chances for both sides, though Randers FC's defensive discipline may keep the total goals around this average rather than a high-scoring affair.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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