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FC Midtjylland crestFC Midtjylland
v
Brondby crestBrondby

Superliga | Mon 14 Sep, 18:00

FC Midtjylland v Brondby Stats

Data last updated: Sun 13 Sep 2026, 08:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Midtjylland host Brondby in a Danish Superliga clash where both sides have shown attacking intent and tactical flexibility early in the season. Midtjylland, sitting second with 15 points, face Brondby, fifth with 13 points, in a match that promises active wing play and set-piece battles. Both teams have averaged over six corners per game combined, reflecting their offensive pressure and wide attacking approaches. The fixture's tempo and recent corner trends suggest a lively contest with multiple set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a corners-focused market.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • FC Midtjylland average 6.2 corners per game this season
  • Brondby average 8.33 corners per game, indicating strong wing play
  • Recent matches show a combined corner count frequently exceeding 9.5
  • Both teams press high and create sustained wide attacks leading to corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners based on both teams' aggressive wing play and high corner averages. FC Midtjylland and Brondby combine for nearly 15 corners per match on average, reflecting sustained pressure and frequent wide deliveries. The model is high at 88%, supported by consistent corner generation patterns and tactical setups favoring flank attacks. This corner volume aligns with the match tempo and attacking styles, making the over 9.5 corners a strong value bet at current .

Combined average corners~14.5 per match
Strong positive
Model chance69%
Strong positive
Confidence level88%
Strong positive
Tactical wing playHigh pressure and wide attacks
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match where both FC Midtjylland and Brondby push aggressively on the flanks, generating numerous corner situations. The teams’ recent form and corner statistics support a lively set-piece battle, making over 9.5 corners a logical choice. The data and tactical context align well to suggest a high corner count in this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture features two sides that rely heavily on wing play and set-piece delivery, naturally driving up corner counts. The statistical corner averages combined with tactical tendencies make over 9.5 corners a compelling market to follow.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

FC Midtjylland average 6.2 corners per game this season

Brondby average 8.33 corners per game, indicating strong wing play

Recent matches show a combined corner count frequently exceeding 9.5

Both teams press high and create sustained wide attacks leading to corners

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.1, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • While this panel focuses on over 2.5 goals, the tempo and attacking openness also correlate with increased corner opportunities, supporting the corners market indirectly.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Midtjylland1.4
Avg goals scored
Brondby1.8
FC Midtjylland0.8
Avg goals conceded
Brondby1.8
FC Midtjylland60%
BTTS rate
Brondby60%
FC Midtjylland20%
Over 2.5 goals
Brondby80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have contrasting goal and BTTS profiles; Midtjylland's low over 2.5 goals rate (20%) contrasts with Brondby's 80%, but both share a 60% BTTS rate. This suggests open play with chances for goals and set pieces, supporting a dynamic match environment conducive to corners.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Brondby Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Brondby to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
FC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The over 9.5 corners market is priced attractively with around 2.1, reflecting a 47.6% implied chance versus the model's 69% probability. This significant indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of a high corner count, making it a positive value bet without warning flags.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Midtjylland6.2
Avg corners for
Brondby7.67
FC Midtjylland10.8
Avg total corners
Brondby12
FC Midtjylland1.6
Avg yellow cards
Brondby2
FC Midtjylland15.2
Avg shots
Brondby15
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The corner averages (6.2 for Midtjylland, 8.33 for Brondby) combined with solid shot volumes (15.2 and 14.67 respectively) indicate sustained attacking pressure and wide play. Moderate card counts suggest physical battles that often lead to fouls near the box and subsequent corners.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Midtjylland

DWDWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 0L
07 Sep 2026H FC Nordsjaelland2-2
02 Sep 2026A Aarhus2-0
30 Aug 2026A Silkeborg1-1
23 Aug 2026H Randers FC1-0
16 Aug 2026A Lyngby1-1

Brondby

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 2L
06 Sep 2026H Randers FC0-3
30 Aug 2026A FC Nordsjaelland1-3
24 Aug 2026H Silkeborg3-1
17 Aug 2026H Sonderjyske3-2
09 Aug 2026A AC Horsens2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Brondby Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Brondby to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
FC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Recent form shows both teams averaging well over 6 corners per game, with Brondby particularly prolific at 8.33. This consistent corner generation underlines the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture, reflecting ongoing tactical emphasis on wide attacks and set-piece creation.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4FC Midtjylland wins
1Draws
5Brondby wins
17 May 2026FC Midtjylland v Brondby2-3
12 Apr 2026Brondby v FC Midtjylland1-2
01 Mar 2026FC Midtjylland v Brondby0-0
31 Aug 2025Brondby v FC Midtjylland1-3
19 May 2025Brondby v FC Midtjylland1-2
30 Mar 2025FC Midtjylland v Brondby0-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Brondby to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
FC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The ten previous meetings between FC Midtjylland and Brondby have featured an average of 3.1 goals per game, suggesting open and attacking contests. While the sample is moderate, the attacking nature of these fixtures supports the expectation of sustained pressure and frequent corners in this match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Superliga

FC Midtjylland7
Played
Brondby7
FC Midtjylland1.7
Avg goals for
Brondby1.6
FC Midtjylland1
Avg goals against
Brondby1.4
FC Midtjylland2
Clean sheets
Brondby2
Best odds for this sectionBrondby Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 40% · edge +9.3 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Brondby to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
FC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Season-long data confirms both teams excel in creating corners, with Midtjylland averaging 6.2 and Brondby 8.33 per match. Their attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities contribute to frequent corner situations, reinforcing the over 9.5 corners market as a sound choice.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2FC Midtjylland1574305
5Brondby1374121
FC Midtjylland’s second-place standing and Brondby’s fifth position reflect competitive teams pushing for top spots. This competitive context encourages offensive play and pressure, which typically results in increased corner counts as teams seek scoring opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%FC Midtjylland Over 2.5
80%Brondby Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.1, indicating open games with attacking intent. While this panel focuses on over 2.5 goals, the tempo and attacking openness also correlate with increased corner opportunities, supporting the corners market indirectly.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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