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Radomiak Radom crestRadomiak Radom
v
Cracovia Krakow crestCracovia Krakow

Ekstraklasa | Sat 29 Aug, 11:15

Radomiak Radom v Cracovia Krakow Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cracovia Krakow arrives in better form and higher league standing to face Radomiak Radom, who have struggled defensively this season. Cracovia's more efficient attack and solid defensive record contrast with Radomiak's leaky backline and lower goal output. This Ekstraklasa fixture features a tactical mismatch, with Cracovia likely to control possession and create more chances. Radomiak's recent home performances have lacked cutting edge, while Cracovia's away displays show resilience and attacking threat, setting the stage for an away win in this contest.

BT4Y best bet

Cracovia Krakow to Win

  • Cracovia Krakow holds a strong 3rd place in the league versus Radomiak's 16th position.
  • Radomiak concedes an average of 2.4 goals per game, while Cracovia concedes only 1.0.
  • Cracovia averages 17.4 shots per game with 5.4 on target, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Radomiak's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, but Cracovia's defensive solidity may limit scoring.
  • Cracovia's top attackers like A. Berte have high shot and goal involvement rates.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Cracovia Krakow to win with a 66.4% chance, reflecting their superior league position and more efficient attack and defense metrics. Cracovia's higher shot volume and better defensive record suggest control and scoring opportunities against Radomiak's porous defense. The of 22% at of 2.25 indicates this is a positive-value bet. While Radomiak's high over 2.5 goals rate signals potential for goals, Cracovia's defensive discipline and attacking threats like A. Hasić support the away win prediction. No data limitations affect .

Model Win Probability66.4%
Strong positive
Value Edge vs Market22%
Strong positive
Cracovia Defensive Record1.0 goals conceded per game
Positive
Radomiak Defensive Record2.4 goals conceded per game
Negative
Cracovia Shot Volume17.4 shots per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Cracovia Krakow's tactical discipline and superior league form make them the likely winners against a defensively vulnerable Radomiak Radom. Their ability to generate more shots and limit opposition chances underpins this selection, aligning with the current form data and league context.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Cracovia's balanced attack and solid defensive structure provide a clear edge in this matchup, especially given Radomiak's defensive struggles and lower league standing.”

Key Data Signals

Cracovia Krakow to Win evidence

Cracovia Krakow holds a strong 3rd place in the league versus Radomiak's 16th position.

Radomiak concedes an average of 2.4 goals per game, while Cracovia concedes only 1.0.

Cracovia averages 17.4 shots per game with 5.4 on target, indicating offensive pressure.

Radomiak's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, but Cracovia's defensive solidity may limit scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Cracovia Krakow to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.3, suggesting moderate scoring.
  • Radomiak's high over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Cracovia's more balanced approach, indicating this fixture could see a controlled tempo with selective attacking bursts rather than an open goal-fest.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Radomiak Radom5.67
Avg corners for
Cracovia Krakow6.8
Radomiak Radom8
Avg total corners
Cracovia Krakow13.2
Radomiak Radom2.67
Avg yellow cards
Cracovia Krakow1.6
Radomiak Radom15
Avg shots
Cracovia Krakow17.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.8 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Cracovia Krakow averages 6.8 corners and 17.4 shots per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure. Radomiak Radom's higher fouling rate and 3 yellows per game contrast with Cracovia's more disciplined 1.6 yellows, suggesting Cracovia may maintain composure while creating chances through set pieces and open play.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Radomiak Radom0.8
Avg goals scored
Cracovia Krakow1
Radomiak Radom2.4
Avg goals conceded
Cracovia Krakow1
Radomiak Radom60%
BTTS rate
Cracovia Krakow40%
Radomiak Radom80%
Over 2.5 goals
Cracovia Krakow40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 54% · edge +3.1 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Radomiak Radom's matches have a high over 2.5 goals rate at 80%, often due to their defensive vulnerabilities. However, Cracovia Krakow's more disciplined defense and lower BTTS rate suggest a more controlled game with fewer conceded goals, indicating that while goals may occur, Cracovia's defense could limit Radomiak's scoring.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCracovia Krakow to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Cracovia Krakow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The of 2.25 for Cracovia Krakow to win offer strong value given the model's 66.4% win probability. This significant reflects Cracovia's superior form and defensive solidity, making the market price attractive for backing the away side.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Radomiak Radom

DLLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
23 Aug 2026H Zaglebie Lubin0-0
14 Aug 2026A Legia Warszawa0-5
08 Aug 2026H Gornik Zabrze1-3
02 Aug 2026A GKS Katowice1-3
24 Jul 2026H Wieczysta Kraków2-1

Cracovia Krakow

WWDLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 1L
21 Aug 2026H Wieczysta Kraków3-2
16 Aug 2026H Raków Częstochowa2-1
09 Aug 2026A Slask Wroclaw0-0
03 Aug 2026H Pogon Szczecin0-2
25 Jul 2026A Lech Poznan0-0
Market aligned with main pickCracovia Krakow to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Cracovia Krakow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Cracovia Krakow has accumulated 8 points recently, showcasing better form compared to Radomiak Radom's 4 points. Cracovia's ability to score and defend effectively contrasts with Radomiak's struggles to keep clean sheets and score consistently, reinforcing Cracovia's momentum advantage heading into this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Radomiak Radom wins
1Draws
5Cracovia Krakow wins
11 May 2026Cracovia Krakow v Radomiak Radom0-0
07 Nov 2025Radomiak Radom v Cracovia Krakow3-0
08 Mar 2025Cracovia Krakow v Radomiak Radom1-2
31 Aug 2024Radomiak Radom v Cracovia Krakow2-1
03 Jul 2024Cracovia Krakow v Radomiak Radom0-1
10 Feb 2024Cracovia Krakow v Radomiak Radom6-0
Market aligned with main pickCracovia Krakow to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The ten previous meetings between Radomiak Radom and Cracovia Krakow have averaged 2.3 goals per game, showing moderate scoring trends. While historical results provide some context, current form and defensive records suggest Cracovia's defensive discipline may limit Radomiak's scoring opportunities, making past meetings a background factor rather than a decisive influence.
Season team stats

Ekstraklasa

Radomiak Radom5
Played
Cracovia Krakow5
Radomiak Radom0.8
Avg goals for
Cracovia Krakow1
Radomiak Radom2.4
Avg goals against
Cracovia Krakow1
Radomiak Radom1
Clean sheets
Cracovia Krakow2
Market aligned with main pickCracovia Krakow to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Cracovia Krakow Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over the season, Cracovia Krakow has maintained a strong defensive record, conceding only 1 goal per game, while scoring at a steady rate. Radomiak Radom's season stats reveal defensive frailties with 2.4 goals conceded per game and lower goal-scoring output, highlighting a mismatch in season-long performance levels favoring Cracovia.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Cracovia Krakow852210
16Radomiak Radom45113-8
Cracovia Krakow's 3rd place position in the Ekstraklasa table reflects consistent performance and competitiveness, whereas Radomiak Radom sits at 16th, indicating struggles and pressure near the relegation zone. This league context underscores Cracovia's motivation and quality edge in the match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Radomiak Radom Over 2.5
40%Cracovia Krakow Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.3, suggesting moderate scoring. Radomiak's high over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Cracovia's more balanced approach, indicating this fixture could see a controlled tempo with selective attacking bursts rather than an open goal-fest.

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