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PSV Eindhoven crestPSV Eindhoven
v
Sparta Rotterdam crestSparta Rotterdam

Eredivisie | Sun 13 Sep, 19:00

PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PSV Eindhoven face Sparta Rotterdam in Eredivisie on Sun 13 Sep, 19:00. PSV Eindhoven come in with 13 recent points and 3.6 goals per match, while Sparta Rotterdam have 5 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Sparta Rotterdam to Win

  • At 13, Sparta Rotterdam to Win implies roughly 8%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 23%.
  • PSV Eindhoven have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sparta Rotterdam.
  • PSV Eindhoven have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sparta Rotterdam to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • PSV Eindhoven sit 2 in the table, while Sparta Rotterdam sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 23% for Sparta Rotterdam to Win sits against roughly 8% implied by the current price. PSV Eindhoven have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sparta Rotterdam.

Model chance vs price23% model chance against roughly 8% implied
Strong positive
PSV Eindhoven have the stronger recent points return, taking 13.Visible data support
Positive
PSV Eindhoven have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sparta Rotterdam Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers PSV Eindhoven have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sparta Rotterdam. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Sparta Rotterdam to Win evidence

PSV Eindhoven have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sparta Rotterdam.

PSV Eindhoven have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sparta Rotterdam Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

PSV Eindhoven sit 2 in the table, while Sparta Rotterdam sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sparta Rotterdam to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    PSV Eindhoven4
    Avg corners for
    Sparta Rotterdam10
    PSV Eindhoven5
    Avg total corners
    Sparta Rotterdam15.5
    PSV Eindhoven3
    Avg yellow cards
    Sparta Rotterdam0.5
    PSV Eindhoven16.5
    Avg shots
    Sparta Rotterdam18.5

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    PSV Eindhoven3.6
    Avg goals scored
    Sparta Rotterdam1.8
    PSV Eindhoven1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Sparta Rotterdam1.8
    PSV Eindhoven100%
    BTTS rate
    Sparta Rotterdam80%
    PSV Eindhoven100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sparta Rotterdam80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.05
    Check odds @ 1.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSparta Rotterdam to WinBet365 guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    13
    Check odds @ 13
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Sparta Rotterdam Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Sparta Rotterdam to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    PSV Eindhoven

    WWWWD
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 0L
    05 Sep 2026A Ajax3-1
    30 Aug 2026A Utrecht6-1
    23 Aug 2026H Groningen5-1
    15 Aug 2026A Excelsior2-1
    08 Aug 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-2

    Sparta Rotterdam

    DLDWL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 2L
    04 Sep 2026H PEC Zwolle2-2
    29 Aug 2026A Excelsior1-2
    22 Aug 2026H Utrecht3-3
    14 Aug 2026A Telstar3-1
    09 Aug 2026H Feyenoord0-1
    Market aligned with main pickSparta Rotterdam to WinBet365 guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    13
    Check odds @ 13
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 37%
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Sparta Rotterdam Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    9PSV Eindhoven wins
    1Draws
    0Sparta Rotterdam wins
    11 Apr 2026Sparta Rotterdam v PSV Eindhoven0-2
    09 Aug 2025PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam6-1
    18 May 2025Sparta Rotterdam v PSV Eindhoven1-3
    05 Oct 2024PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam2-1
    05 May 2024PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam4-2
    08 Oct 2023Sparta Rotterdam v PSV Eindhoven0-4
    Market aligned with main pickSparta Rotterdam to WinBet365 guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    13
    Check odds @ 13
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sparta Rotterdam to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eredivisie

    PSV Eindhoven5
    Played
    Sparta Rotterdam5
    PSV Eindhoven3.6
    Avg goals for
    Sparta Rotterdam1.8
    PSV Eindhoven1.2
    Avg goals against
    Sparta Rotterdam1.8
    PSV Eindhoven0
    Clean sheets
    Sparta Rotterdam0
    Market aligned with main pickSparta Rotterdam to WinBet365 guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    13
    Check odds @ 13
    Load more odds for this section
    Sparta Rotterdam Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Season data supports Sparta Rotterdam to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2PSV Eindhoven13541012
    11Sparta Rotterdam551220
    PSV Eindhoven sit in position 2, while Sparta Rotterdam sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the Sparta Rotterdam to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5
    80%Sparta Rotterdam Over 2.5
    3.3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: PSV Eindhoven sit at 100% and Sparta Rotterdam sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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