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GO Ahead Eagles crestGO Ahead Eagles
v
Groningen crestGroningen

Eredivisie | Sat 12 Sep, 17:45

GO Ahead Eagles v Groningen Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Eredivisie clash between GO Ahead Eagles and Groningen promises an open and attacking encounter. Both teams have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring games this season, with GO Ahead Eagles averaging 2.8 goals scored and Groningen 2.2 per match. Defensively, both sides concede around 2.4 goals per game, highlighting vulnerabilities that could lead to multiple goals. Recent form data shows both teams have had all their matches exceed 2.5 goals, setting the stage for an entertaining fixture with plenty of goalmouth action.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 100% rate of matches over 2.5 goals this season.
  • GO Ahead Eagles average 2.8 goals scored per game, Groningen 2.2.
  • Both teams concede an average of 2.4 goals per match, indicating defensive frailties.
  • High shot volumes: Groningen average 19 shots per game, GO Ahead Eagles 13.5.
  • Recent form strongly supports a high-scoring game with both sides involved in open play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 58% chance to Over 3.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking nature and defensive openness of both teams. Both sides have consistently participated in high-scoring matches, with a perfect 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season. Shot data supports this, as Groningen averages 19 shots per game and GO Ahead Eagles 13.5, indicating frequent attacking opportunities. The current of 2.0 offer positive value against the implied 50% chance, making this a strong selection based on statistical trends and attacking profiles.

Model Chance58%
Strong positive
Implied Chance50%
Positive
Value Edge8%
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% both teams
Strong positive
Shot VolumeHigh for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both GO Ahead Eagles and Groningen pushing forward aggressively. The attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities suggest a match ripe for multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice. The statistical trends and shot data reinforce the likelihood of a high-scoring contest.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive openness

“Both teams exhibit attacking intent and defensive lapses, creating fertile ground for a goal-rich game. The data strongly supports Over 3.5 Goals as a realistic outcome in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 100% rate of matches over 2.5 goals this season.

GO Ahead Eagles average 2.8 goals scored per game, Groningen 2.2.

Both teams concede an average of 2.4 goals per match, indicating defensive frailties.

High shot volumes: Groningen average 19 shots per game, GO Ahead Eagles 13.5.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2, slightly below the current season averages.
  • However, both teams' recent matches have consistently exceeded 2.5 goals, indicating a shift towards more open and attacking games.
  • This trend suggests that the tempo and attacking intent in this fixture could produce a higher goal count than historical encounters.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

GO Ahead Eagles2.8
Avg goals scored
Groningen2.2
GO Ahead Eagles2.4
Avg goals conceded
Groningen2.4
GO Ahead Eagles100%
BTTS rate
Groningen100%
GO Ahead Eagles100%
Over 2.5 goals
Groningen100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Both GO Ahead Eagles and Groningen have maintained a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season, with both teams consistently scoring and conceding. This trend highlights an open style of play and defensive fragility, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals and BTTS outcomes. The attacking output from both sides supports a high-scoring encounter with goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
GO Ahead Eagles Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
GO Ahead Eagles to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
Groningen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.0, reflecting a positive of 8% over the implied chance. This pricing aligns well with the model's 58% probability, indicating a favorable betting opportunity without being overly short-priced. The market correctly captures the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams, making this a price-sensitive but worthwhile selection.

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Useful next reads

Eredivisie hubcorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

GO Ahead Eagles5.2
Avg corners for
Groningen5.2
GO Ahead Eagles10.4
Avg total corners
Groningen9
GO Ahead Eagles0.8
Avg yellow cards
Groningen1.2
GO Ahead Eagles13.6
Avg shots
Groningen16.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
The teams generate significant attacking pressure, with Groningen averaging 19 shots and GO Ahead Eagles 13.5 shots per game, alongside similar corner counts around five per match. The moderate card averages suggest a competitive but not overly aggressive match, allowing for sustained attacking phases and shot volume. This attacking tempo and set-piece frequency underpin the potential for multiple goal-scoring opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

GO Ahead Eagles

DLWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 1L
08 Sep 2026A Utrecht3-3
29 Aug 2026A AZ Alkmaar2-5
23 Aug 2026H ADO Den Haag3-1
16 Aug 2026A Feyenoord2-2
08 Aug 2026H Willem II4-1

Groningen

DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
06 Sep 2026H Twente2-2
28 Aug 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-3
23 Aug 2026A PSV Eindhoven1-5
16 Aug 2026A ADO Den Haag4-1
09 Aug 2026H Utrecht2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 71% · edge +7.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
GO Ahead Eagles Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
GO Ahead Eagles to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
Groningen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Recent form strongly favors a high-scoring game, with both teams winning points while participating in matches that have all exceeded 2.5 goals. GO Ahead Eagles have scored an average of 2.8 goals per game in recent matches, while Groningen has maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating sustained attacking momentum and defensive openness that supports the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2GO Ahead Eagles wins
4Draws
4Groningen wins
11 Apr 2026Groningen v GO Ahead Eagles0-0
21 Dec 2025GO Ahead Eagles v Groningen1-1
18 Jan 2025GO Ahead Eagles v Groningen2-1
29 Sep 2024Groningen v GO Ahead Eagles0-1
07 May 2023GO Ahead Eagles v Groningen1-1
21 Aug 2022Groningen v GO Ahead Eagles1-0
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
GO Ahead Eagles to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
The previous ten meetings between GO Ahead Eagles and Groningen have averaged 2 goals per game, which is lower than the current season averages for both teams. While historical data shows a moderate scoring rate, recent form and attacking trends suggest this fixture could see more goals than past encounters, making the historical sample a cautious but not definitive guide.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eredivisie

GO Ahead Eagles5
Played
Groningen5
GO Ahead Eagles2.8
Avg goals for
Groningen2.2
GO Ahead Eagles2.4
Avg goals against
Groningen2.4
GO Ahead Eagles0
Clean sheets
Groningen0
Best odds for this sectionGO Ahead Eagles Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 56% · edge +5.7 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
GO Ahead Eagles to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Groningen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Season-long statistics reveal both teams have potent offenses and leaky defenses, with GO Ahead Eagles scoring 2.8 and conceding 2.4 goals per match, and Groningen scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.4. These figures underline a pattern of open games with multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of an Over 3.5 Goals outcome based on their attacking and defensive profiles.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7GO Ahead Eagles852212
10Groningen75212-1
GO Ahead Eagles and Groningen sit mid-table with 8 and 7 points respectively, reflecting competitive but not dominant form. While league position does not directly dictate goal volume, both teams' need for points and their attacking styles suggest they will seek to press forward, contributing to a potentially high-scoring match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%GO Ahead Eagles Over 2.5
100%Groningen Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2, slightly below the current season averages. However, both teams' recent matches have consistently exceeded 2.5 goals, indicating a shift towards more open and attacking games. This trend suggests that the tempo and attacking intent in this fixture could produce a higher goal count than historical encounters.

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