Cambuur

NEC Nijmegen

Eredivisie | Sat 12 Sep, 20:00

Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cambuur hosts NEC Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash where attacking intent is expected to dominate. Cambuur have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 3.6 goals per game, while NEC Nijmegen boast a more balanced profile with a stronger attack and a solid defensive record. NEC's recent form shows more consistency, accumulating seven points with an average of 2.2 goals scored per match. Both teams have demonstrated a tendency for high-scoring games, setting the stage for an open encounter with multiple goal opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Both Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season.
Cambuur concedes an average of 3.6 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
NEC Nijmegen averages 15.8 shots and 4.6 shots on target per game, reflecting offensive pressure.
Head-to-head matches average 1.9 goals, but recent form suggests a higher scoring trend this season.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 58% chance against an implied market chance of 54.6%, indicating a positive edge. Both teams have shown prolific attacking output and defensive frailties, especially Cambuur's high goals conceded rate. NEC Nijmegen's offensive players like P. Sierhuis contribute significantly to shot volume and goal threat, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals. The consistent over 2.5 goals rate for both sides further strengthens the case for a high-scoring match.

Model Chance58%

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance54.6%

Neutral

Cambuur Defensive Record3.6 goals conceded per game

Strong positive

NEC Nijmegen Offensive Pressure15.8 shots per game

Strong positive

Both Teams Over 2.5 Rate100%

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with NEC Nijmegen's attacking players likely to exploit Cambuur's defensive weaknesses. The high volume of shots and goal attempts from both sides suggests a match prone to multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection based on tactical and statistical evidence.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking and defensive dynamics

“The attacking profiles and defensive lapses set the stage for a goal-rich encounter, with NEC Nijmegen's forward momentum likely to test Cambuur's fragile backline repeatedly.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season.

Cambuur concedes an average of 3.6 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

NEC Nijmegen averages 15.8 shots and 4.6 shots on target per game, reflecting offensive pressure.

Head-to-head matches average 1.9 goals, but recent form suggests a higher scoring trend this season.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, but this season both teams have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate.
This trend suggests an increased tempo and attacking emphasis in recent games, supporting the expectation of a high-scoring match.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cambuur1.2

Avg goals scored

NEC Nijmegen2.2

Cambuur3.6

Avg goals conceded

NEC Nijmegen1.8

Cambuur80%

BTTS rate

NEC Nijmegen100%

Cambuur100%

Over 2.5 goals

NEC Nijmegen100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 55% · edge +3.4 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Both teams have a perfect 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Cambuur scoring 1.2 and conceding 3.6 goals per game, and NEC Nijmegen scoring 2.2 while conceding 1.8. This balance of prolific offense and defensive vulnerability supports a high-scoring match with goals expected at both ends.

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more Eredivisie analysis corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Cambuur Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

NEC Nijmegen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%

1.32

Check odds @ 1.32

Cambuur to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 5

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

Check odds @ 5

The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced at 1.83 with a of 58%, indicating a small positive . The reflect market recognition of the attacking potential but slightly underestimate the likelihood of a high-scoring game given both teams' recent trends.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cambuur3.8

Avg corners for

NEC Nijmegen5

Cambuur9.8

Avg total corners

NEC Nijmegen8

Cambuur1.4

Avg yellow cards

NEC Nijmegen1.4

Cambuur11.6

Avg shots

NEC Nijmegen15.8

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 52% · edge -2.2 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

Check odds @ 2

NEC Nijmegen averages 5 corners and 15.8 shots per game, while Cambuur averages 3.8 corners and 11.6 shots, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control by NEC. Both teams have similar yellow card averages (1.4), suggesting moderate fouling that may not disrupt attacking flow significantly.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cambuur

DLLLL

Last 50W 1D 4L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 4L

06 Sep 2026A Telstar2-2

30 Aug 2026H Twente1-4

23 Aug 2026H Feyenoord2-5

15 Aug 2026A Fortuna Sittard1-3

07 Aug 2026H Excelsior0-4

NEC Nijmegen

DLWWL

Last 52W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 1D 2L

08 Sep 2026H Excelsior2-2

05 Sep 2026H Feyenoord1-3

29 Aug 2026A PEC Zwolle3-1

15 Aug 2026A Willem II4-1

08 Aug 2026H Telstar1-2

Best odds for this sectionCambuur Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +14.7 pts

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

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NEC Nijmegen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%

1.32

Check odds @ 1.32

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Cambuur to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 5

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

Check odds @ 5

Cambuur's recent form shows only 1 point with a high goals conceded rate, while NEC Nijmegen has collected 7 points with a stronger offensive output. Both teams have maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, reinforcing the expectation of a high-scoring fixture based on current momentum.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Cambuur wins

3Draws

4NEC Nijmegen wins

27 Feb 2024Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen1-2

11 Feb 2023NEC Nijmegen v Cambuur0-0

04 Nov 2022Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen0-1

03 Apr 2022Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen1-2

16 Dec 2021Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen1-2

26 Nov 2021NEC Nijmegen v Cambuur2-3

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Load more odds for this section

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

NEC Nijmegen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Cambuur to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 5

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

Check odds @ 5

The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 1.9 goals per game, which is lower than the current season's scoring rates. While historical meetings provide context, recent form and attacking trends offer a stronger basis for expecting more goals in this fixture.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eredivisie

Cambuur5

Played

NEC Nijmegen5

Cambuur1.2

Avg goals for

NEC Nijmegen2.2

Cambuur3.6

Avg goals against

NEC Nijmegen1.8

Cambuur0

Clean sheets

NEC Nijmegen0

Best odds for this sectionCambuur Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +14.7 pts

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

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NEC Nijmegen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%

1.32

Check odds @ 1.32

Cambuur to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 5

Season-long data reveals Cambuur's defensive struggles with 3.6 goals conceded per game and NEC Nijmegen's balanced attack and defense, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.8 goals per game. Both teams' consistent over 2.5 goals matches underline the likelihood of a goal-heavy encounter.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
9	NEC Nijmegen	7	5	2	1	2	2
18	Cambuur	1	5	0	1	4	-12

Cambuur sits at the bottom of the table with just 1 point, indicating pressure to improve results, while NEC Nijmegen is mid-table with 7 points. The standings suggest Cambuur may adopt a more open approach to chase points, potentially increasing goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Cambuur Over 2.5

100%NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5

1.9H2H avg goals

In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, but this season both teams have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate. This trend suggests an increased tempo and attacking emphasis in recent games, supporting the expectation of a high-scoring match.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Cambuur

NEC Nijmegen

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Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Cambuur

NEC Nijmegen

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