Fortuna Sittard

Ajax

Eredivisie | Sat 12 Sep, 19:00

Fortuna Sittard v Ajax Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fortuna Sittard hosts Ajax in an Eredivisie clash where both teams have shown attacking intent early in the season. Fortuna Sittard sits 6th with 10 points, while Ajax is 8th with 7 points, reflecting competitive form. Both sides have averaged over two goals per game, with Fortuna's games featuring high scoring and open play. Ajax's potent forward line, combined with Fortuna's willingness to attack, sets the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter under lively conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Fortuna Sittard averages 2.2 goals scored and concedes 1.8 per game, with 80% of matches over 2.5 goals.
Ajax scores 2.25 goals per game and concedes 1.25, with 75% of their matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
The last 10 head-to-head meetings average 3.9 goals, indicating a history of open, high-scoring games.
Ajax averages 20 shots per game with 6.25 on target, showing strong offensive pressure.
Fortuna Sittard's attacking midfielder M. Ihattaren has 3 goals and 1.92 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting individual scoring threats.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 3.5 Goals at a 58% chance, slightly above the implied market chance of 54.6%, indicating a small positive . Both teams have demonstrated attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities, with Fortuna Sittard's matches frequently surpassing 2.5 goals and Ajax maintaining a high shot volume and goal output. The historical average of nearly 4 goals per game in their meetings supports the likelihood of a high-scoring match. No data limitations or price warnings reduce in this selection.

Fortuna Sittard scoring and conceding rates2.2 goals for, 1.8 against per game

Strong positive

Ajax offensive output and shot volume2.25 goals for, 20 shots per game

Strong positive

Head-to-head average goals3.9 goals per game over last 10 meetings

Positive

Market implied chance vs model chance54.6% vs 58%, small positive edge

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both teams pushing forward, as Fortuna Sittard's attacking midfield and Ajax's diverse forward options create multiple scoring opportunities. The data supports a high goal count given their recent form and historical encounters, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“This fixture features two sides with strong offensive profiles and a history of high-scoring matches, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical and data-backed selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Fortuna Sittard averages 2.2 goals scored and concedes 1.8 per game, with 80% of matches over 2.5 goals.

Ajax scores 2.25 goals per game and concedes 1.25, with 75% of their matches exceeding 2.5 goals.

The last 10 head-to-head meetings average 3.9 goals, indicating a history of open, high-scoring games.

Ajax averages 20 shots per game with 6.25 on target, showing strong offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters.
This sample suggests a fast tempo and open play style when these teams meet, supporting the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fortuna Sittard1.8

Avg corners for

Ajax5.5

Fortuna Sittard9.8

Avg total corners

Ajax8

Fortuna Sittard1.8

Avg yellow cards

Ajax2

Fortuna Sittard9.2

Avg shots

Ajax20

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Ajax's average of 20 shots and 5.5 corners per game, combined with Fortuna Sittard's 9.2 shots and 1.8 corners, indicates sustained attacking pressure and territorial battles. The moderate card counts suggest a competitive but not overly aggressive match, allowing for fluid attacking play and goal opportunities.

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Eredivisie hub corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fortuna Sittard2.2

Avg goals scored

Ajax2.25

Fortuna Sittard1.8

Avg goals conceded

Ajax1.25

Fortuna Sittard80%

BTTS rate

Ajax50%

Fortuna Sittard80%

Over 2.5 goals

Ajax75%

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 55% · edge +3.4 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Both teams have high scoring rates and frequent BTTS occurrences, with Fortuna Sittard's matches hitting over 2.5 goals 80% of the time and Ajax 75%. The combination of strong attacks and leaky defenses supports the likelihood of multiple goals and both teams scoring in this match.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Fortuna Sittard Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Fortuna Sittard to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%

5.75

Check odds @ 5.75

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

Ajax Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

1.26

Check odds @ 1.26

Ajax to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced at 1.83 with a of 58%, indicating a slight . The reflect a competitive market but do not fully account for the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams, suggesting this is a price-sensitive but justifiable selection.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fortuna Sittard

WWLWD

Last 53W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 1D 1L

06 Sep 2026A ADO Den Haag3-2

28 Aug 2026A Groningen3-2

22 Aug 2026H AZ Alkmaar0-2

15 Aug 2026H Cambuur3-1

08 Aug 2026A PSV Eindhoven2-2

Ajax

LWDW

Last 52W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 1D 1L

05 Sep 2026H PSV Eindhoven1-3

30 Aug 2026A Telstar4-0

16 Aug 2026H Heerenveen2-2

09 Aug 2026A PEC Zwolle2-0

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

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Fortuna Sittard Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Fortuna Sittard to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%

5.75

Check odds @ 5.75

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 59%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Ajax Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

1.26

Check odds @ 1.26

Ajax to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Recent form shows Fortuna Sittard averaging 2.2 goals per game with an 80% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, while Ajax averages 2.25 goals with a 75% over 2.5 rate. Both teams have scored consistently, indicating momentum towards an open and attacking fixture likely to produce multiple goals.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Fortuna Sittard wins

2Draws

8Ajax wins

14 Feb 2026Ajax v Fortuna Sittard4-1

06 Dec 2025Fortuna Sittard v Ajax1-3

09 Feb 2025Fortuna Sittard v Ajax0-2

18 Sep 2024Ajax v Fortuna Sittard5-0

10 Mar 2024Ajax v Fortuna Sittard2-2

03 Sep 2023Fortuna Sittard v Ajax0-0

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Load more odds for this section

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Fortuna Sittard to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%

5.75

Check odds @ 5.75

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

Ajax to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

The head-to-head record over the last 10 meetings shows an average of 3.9 goals per game, highlighting a history of open and attacking matches between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax. This trend provides strong contextual support for expecting a high-scoring game in this fixture.

Season team stats

Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard5

Played

Ajax4

Fortuna Sittard2.2

Avg goals for

Ajax2.3

Fortuna Sittard1.8

Avg goals against

Ajax1.3

Fortuna Sittard0

Clean sheets

Ajax2

Best odds for this sectionFortuna Sittard Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Load more odds for this section

Fortuna Sittard to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%

5.75

Check odds @ 5.75

Ajax Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

1.26

Check odds @ 1.26

Ajax to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Season-long data reveals both teams have potent offenses and relatively porous defenses, with Fortuna conceding 1.8 goals per game and Ajax 1.25. Their attacking efficiency and defensive lapses contribute to frequent high-scoring matches, reinforcing the Over 3.5 Goals selection.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
6	Fortuna Sittard	10	5	3	1	1	2
8	Ajax	7	4	2	1	1	4

Fortuna Sittard's 6th place and Ajax's 8th place standings reflect competitive teams pushing for points early in the season. While table position is close, both sides have shown attacking intent, suggesting a match where goal-scoring is prioritized over defensive caution.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Fortuna Sittard Over 2.5

75%Ajax Over 2.5

3.9H2H avg goals

The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters. This sample suggests a fast tempo and open play style when these teams meet, supporting the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Fortuna Sittard v Ajax Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Fortuna Sittard

Ajax

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Fortuna Sittard v Ajax Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Fortuna Sittard

Ajax

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