Football Stats Hub

PSV Eindhoven crestPSV Eindhoven
v
Groningen crestGroningen

Eredivisie | Sun 23 Aug, 13:30

PSV Eindhoven v Groningen Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PSV Eindhoven hosts Groningen in an Eredivisie clash where both sides have demonstrated attacking intent early in the season. Groningen sits second with six points, while PSV is sixth with four points, reflecting a competitive fixture. Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games and open play, with Groningen's efficient forward line and PSV's creative midfield promising goal opportunities. This match carries stakes for early season momentum, and tactical openness suggests a lively encounter with multiple goal chances expected from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both PSV Eindhoven and Groningen have a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.
  • The average goals per game in their last 10 head-to-head matches is a high 4.3, indicating frequent high-scoring affairs.
  • PSV Eindhoven averages 20.5 shots per game with 7 on target, while Groningen contributes 16.5 shots and 9.5 on target, showing offensive pressure from both sides.
  • Groningen ranks 2nd and PSV 6th in the league, both with positive goal-scoring records early in the season, supporting an attacking game.
  • Key players like Groningen's Nils Eggens and PSV's A. Pléa contribute significant shots and key passes, enhancing goal-scoring potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 58% chance, slightly above the implied market chance of 55.6%, reflecting strong attacking data from both teams. Both sides have consistently produced high-scoring games this season, with 100% of their matches exceeding 2.5 goals. The head-to-head average of 4.3 goals per match further supports the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter. Offensive metrics such as shots and shots on target from key players reinforce the expectation of multiple goals. No data limitations affect in this prediction.

Model Chance58%
Strong positive
Both Teams Over 2.5 Goals Rate100%
Strong positive
H2H Average Goals4.3 goals per match
Strong positive
Shots and Shots on TargetHigh volume from both teams
Positive
Market Implied Chance55.6%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match as both PSV Eindhoven and Groningen have shown strong offensive form early in the season. The high volume of shots and goal involvement from key players suggests multiple goals are likely. This fixture's history of high-scoring games and current attacking momentum make Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking potential and player roles

“This fixture promises an entertaining contest with both sides pushing forward aggressively. The consistent high goal averages and attacking roles of players like Nils Eggens and A. Pléa highlight the potential for a goal-laden game.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both PSV Eindhoven and Groningen have a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.

The average goals per game in their last 10 head-to-head matches is a high 4.3, indicating frequent high-scoring affairs.

PSV Eindhoven averages 20.5 shots per game with 7 on target, while Groningen contributes 16.5 shots and 9.5 on target, showing offensive pressure from both sides.

Groningen ranks 2nd and PSV 6th in the league, both with positive goal-scoring records early in the season, supporting an attacking game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • The last ten head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 4.3 goals, indicating a historical trend of high-scoring games.
  • This trend, combined with recent attacking form, suggests a fast-paced match with multiple goal opportunities, reinforcing Over 2.5 Goals as a relevant trend indicator.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

PSV Eindhoven8
Avg corners for
Groningen3.5
PSV Eindhoven8.5
Avg total corners
Groningen6.5
PSV Eindhoven0.5
Avg yellow cards
Groningen0.5
PSV Eindhoven20.5
Avg shots
Groningen16.5

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

PSV Eindhoven2
Avg goals scored
Groningen3
PSV Eindhoven1.5
Avg goals conceded
Groningen1
PSV Eindhoven100%
BTTS rate
Groningen100%
PSV Eindhoven100%
Over 2.5 goals
Groningen100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both PSV Eindhoven and Groningen have scored and conceded freely this season, with every match exceeding 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in all games. Their attacking styles and defensive openness create a strong environment for multiple goals and BTTS outcomes.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Groningen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
5
Check odds @ 5
PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
PSV Eindhoven to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced with a slight edge, reflecting a 58% versus a 55.6% implied market chance. This small positive value suggests the fairly reward the attacking profiles of both teams, making it a sensible selection without major price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

PSV Eindhoven

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
15 Aug 2026A Excelsior2-1
08 Aug 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-2

Groningen

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
16 Aug 2026A ADO Den Haag4-1
09 Aug 2026H Utrecht2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Groningen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
5
Check odds @ 5
PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
PSV Eindhoven to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Both teams have started the season strongly with 100% of their matches going over 2.5 goals. PSV Eindhoven has scored 2 goals and conceded 1.5 per game, while Groningen has netted 3 and conceded 1, reflecting recent matches favoring open play and goal scoring.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

9PSV Eindhoven wins
0Draws
1Groningen wins
08 Feb 2026Groningen v PSV Eindhoven1-2
23 Aug 2025PSV Eindhoven v Groningen4-2
05 Apr 2025Groningen v PSV Eindhoven1-3
23 Nov 2024PSV Eindhoven v Groningen5-0
11 Feb 2023PSV Eindhoven v Groningen6-0
23 Oct 2022Groningen v PSV Eindhoven4-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
5
Check odds @ 5
PSV Eindhoven to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The ten previous meetings between PSV Eindhoven and Groningen have produced an average of 4.3 goals per game, demonstrating a consistent pattern of high-scoring encounters. This historical data supports expectations for an open match with several goals scored, aligning well with the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Season team stats

Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven2
Played
Groningen2
PSV Eindhoven2
Avg goals for
Groningen3
PSV Eindhoven1.5
Avg goals against
Groningen1
PSV Eindhoven0
Clean sheets
Groningen0
Best odds for this sectionGroningen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
PSV Eindhoven to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Season-long data shows both teams maintain high attacking outputs with PSV Eindhoven averaging 20.5 shots per game and Groningen 16.5, alongside strong shots on target figures. Defensive concessions are moderate, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Groningen622004
5PSV Eindhoven421101
Groningen's second-place position and PSV Eindhoven's sixth place early in the Eredivisie season reflect competitive teams with offensive capabilities. While standings provide background, the attacking form and goal metrics offer stronger insight into the expected high-scoring nature of this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5
100%Groningen Over 2.5
4.3H2H avg goals
The last ten head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 4.3 goals, indicating a historical trend of high-scoring games. This trend, combined with recent attacking form, suggests a fast-paced match with multiple goal opportunities, reinforcing Over 2.5 Goals as a relevant trend indicator.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.