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PSV Eindhoven crestPSV Eindhoven
v
Groningen crestGroningen

Eredivisie | Sun 23 Aug, 13:30

PSV Eindhoven v Groningen Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 21:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PSV Eindhoven face Groningen in Eredivisie on Sun 23 Aug, 13:30. Peter Bosz's side responded to a 4-0 Johan Cruyff Shield defeat against AZ Alkmaar and a 2-2 league draw with Fortuna Sittard by winning 2-1 at SBV Excelsior.

BT4Y best bet

PSV Eindhoven to win and both teams to score

  • PSV Eindhoven to win and both teams to score is rated around 43% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a competitive match with multiple goals.
  • PSV Eindhoven need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show PSV Eindhoven on 4 and Groningen on 6.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for PSV Eindhoven and 100% for Groningen.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates PSV Eindhoven to win and both teams to score around 43% on the latest available numbers. PSV Eindhoven need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show PSV Eindhoven on 4 and Groningen on 6. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a competitive match with multiple goals.

PSV Eindhoven need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a competitive match.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: PSV Eindhoven Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a competitive match with multiple goals. PSV Eindhoven need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show PSV Eindhoven on 4 and Groningen on 6. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

PSV Eindhoven to win and both teams to score evidence

Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a competitive match with multiple goals.

PSV Eindhoven need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show PSV Eindhoven on 4 and Groningen on 6.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for PSV Eindhoven and 100% for Groningen.

PSV Eindhoven Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for PSV Eindhoven and 3 for Groningen are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

PSV Eindhoven to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

PSV Eindhoven2
Avg goals scored
Groningen3
PSV Eindhoven1.5
Avg goals conceded
Groningen1
PSV Eindhoven100%
BTTS rate
Groningen100%
PSV Eindhoven100%
Over 2.5 goals
Groningen100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Eredivisie fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for PSV Eindhoven v Groningencorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 83% · edge -21 pts
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
PSV Eindhoven to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 39%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
PSV Eindhoven Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

PSV Eindhoven

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
15 Aug 2026A Excelsior2-1
08 Aug 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-2

Groningen

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
16 Aug 2026A ADO Den Haag4-1
09 Aug 2026H Utrecht2-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 93% · edge -18.7 pts
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
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PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
PSV Eindhoven to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5
100%Groningen Over 2.5
4.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: PSV Eindhoven sit at 100% and Groningen sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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