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PSV Eindhoven crestPSV Eindhoven
v
Fortuna Sittard crestFortuna Sittard

Eredivisie | Sat 08 Aug, 19:00

PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 07:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PSV Eindhoven face Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie on Sat 08 Aug, 19:00. PSV's strong home scoring form, with six wins in their last seven home league matches averaging over three goals, contrasts with defensive absences and recent clean sheet struggles. PSV's commanding home form contrasts with Fortuna's defensive frailties, suggesting a home victory is likely.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

PSV to win and both teams to score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 83%, above the 75% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 1.2, PSV to win and both teams to score implies roughly 83%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
  • A 3-1 scoreline reflects PSV's potent home attack and Fortuna's defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded the third-most goals last season.
  • PSV Eindhoven sit 1 in the table, while Fortuna Sittard sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

PSV to win and both teams to score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 83% while the model sits nearer 75% (-8.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 4.2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 75% for PSV to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 83% implied by the current price. PSV Eindhoven sit 1 in the table, while Fortuna Sittard sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. A 3-1 scoreline reflects PSV's potent home attack and Fortuna's defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded the third-most goals last season.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 83% implied
Negative
PSV Eindhoven sit 1 in the table, while Fortuna Sittard.Visible data support
Positive
A 3-1 scoreline reflects PSV's potent home attack.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: PSV Eindhoven Win is the preferred angle because a 3-1 scoreline reflects PSV's potent home attack and Fortuna's defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded the third-most goals last season. PSV Eindhoven sit 1 in the table, while Fortuna Sittard sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. PSV have won the last four meetings between these teams, but both sides scored in every one of those four encounters.

Main risk

PSV have won the last four meetings between these teams, but both sides scored in every one of those four encounters.

Key Data Signals

PSV to win and both teams to score evidence

A 3-1 scoreline reflects PSV's potent home attack and Fortuna's defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded the third-most goals last.

PSV Eindhoven sit 1 in the table, while Fortuna Sittard sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

PSV to win and both teams to score notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickPSV Eindhoven to WinBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 83% · edge -8.1 pts
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    PSV Eindhoven to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    PSV Eindhoven-
    Avg goals scored
    Fortuna Sittard-
    PSV Eindhoven-
    Avg goals conceded
    Fortuna Sittard-
    PSV Eindhoven-
    BTTS rate
    Fortuna Sittard-
    PSV Eindhoven-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Fortuna Sittard-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 38% · edge +11.8 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
    4.2
    Check odds @ 4.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.06
    Check odds @ 1.06
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    PSV Eindhoven

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for PSV Eindhoven yet.

    Fortuna Sittard

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Fortuna Sittard yet.

    Market aligned with main pickPSV Eindhoven to WinBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 83% · edge -8.1 pts
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.05
    Check odds @ 1.05
    PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    8PSV Eindhoven wins
    2Draws
    0Fortuna Sittard wins
    17 Jan 2026Fortuna Sittard v PSV Eindhoven1-2
    31 Oct 2025PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard5-2
    03 May 2025PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard4-1
    22 Sep 2024Fortuna Sittard v PSV Eindhoven1-3
    12 May 2024Fortuna Sittard v PSV Eindhoven1-1
    21 Oct 2023PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard3-1
    Market aligned with main pickPSV Eindhoven to WinBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 83% · edge -8.1 pts
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    The head-to-head sample gives context for PSV Eindhoven to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eredivisie

    PSV Eindhoven6
    Played
    Fortuna Sittard7
    PSV Eindhoven3.7
    Avg goals for
    Fortuna Sittard1.9
    PSV Eindhoven1.2
    Avg goals against
    Fortuna Sittard2
    PSV Eindhoven0
    Clean sheets
    Fortuna Sittard1
    Market aligned with main pickPSV Eindhoven to WinBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 83% · edge -8.1 pts
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Load more odds for this section
    PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Season data supports PSV Eindhoven to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1PSV Eindhoven16651015
    6Fortuna Sittard137412-1
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5
    -Fortuna Sittard Over 2.5
    3.9H2H avg goals
    A 3-1 scoreline reflects PSV's potent home attack and Fortuna's defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded the third-most goals last season.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.